Low pressure and a warm front moved out of the central US and across the northeast on January 11 and 12. Temperatures rose above freezing late on January 10, and rose to near 50 degrees during the day Saturday.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BTV wrote it up.
Low pressure and a warm front moved out of the central US and across the northeast on January 11 and 12. Temperatures rose above freezing late on January 10, and rose to near 50 degrees during the day Saturday. Three quarters to 1.5 inch of rain fell across Vermont on Saturday. Runoff from rainfall and snowmelt caused rivers to rise and break up the ice cover. Ice jams formed on several rivers and produced localized flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 11, 7:17 PM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 717 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE AREA OVERNIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY WEST TO EAST ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA LATER THIS EVENING. THE THREAT EXISTS FOR ICE JAM RELATED FLOODING AS RUNOFF FROM RAINFALL CAUSES SHARP RIVER RISES AND MOVEMENT OF ICE ON RIVERS AND STREAMS LATE TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... AS OF 655 PM EST SATURDAY...WE'RE SEEING SOME EVIDENCE OF ICE JAM PROBLEMS ON SOME RIVERS THIS EVENING...MAINLY IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MAD RIVER IN MORETOWN. WATCHING OTTER CREEK IN CENTRAL VERMONT WHICH IS RISING QUICKLY...AS WELL AS THE NEW HAVEN RIVER IN NEW HAVEN. I'M SURE THERE WILL BE OTHER RISES AS WELL DUE COMBINATION OF RAIN/SNOWMELT AND MILD TEMPS WHICH IS CAUSING DISRUPTION AND MOVEMENT OF THE RIVER ICE. STEADY RAIN WILL BE EXITING VERMONT EARLY TONIGHT...BUT STILL SOME SHOWERS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT AS COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT. STILL SOME AREAS OF FOG...PRIMARILY OVER EASTERN VERMONT AND OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN NEW YORK NEAR INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY REMAINING FOG WILL BE SCOURED OUT AS WINDS INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND THEN SHIFT INTO THE SOUTHWEST WITH FROPA AND BECOME GUSTY. TEMPS HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE 40S TO AROUND 50 ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT STILL SOME READINGS IN THE 30S...MAINLY ACROSS VALLEYS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN VERMONT. THESE TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 40S WITH APPROACH OF FRONT. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING...LIKELY CLEARING EASTERN VERMONT BY MIDNIGHT. STEADY RAIN ENDS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH ONLY SOME SHOWERS LINGERING. MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE A DUSTING TO TWO INCHES...TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THOUGH...SO ONLY SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. MAIN CONCERN OVERNIGHT WILL BE MONITORING POTENTIAL FOR RIVER FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS AFTER HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. SEE HYDRO SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. && .SHORT TERM /7 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 320 PM EST SATURDAY...COLD AIR ADVECTION AND NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE THE MAIN STORY FOR TOMORROW...WINDS WILL BE BRISK IN THE 10-20 MPH RANGE...SOME HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS DUE TO STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. SOME UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER IN THE DACKS AND GREENS...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST FACING SLOPES. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE...MAYBE ANOTHER DUSTING TO TWO INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT NOT A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD INTO THE REGION. WINDS AND SOME CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM DROPPING TOO DRASTICALLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH THIS WILL BE THE COOLEST PERIOD OF THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. ANOTHER SURFACE LOW APPROACHES AND PASSES WELL NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. MAINLY JUST SOME CLOUDS AROUND DURING THE DAY MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROF. ANOTHER WARM DAY THOUGH MONDAY AS 850 TEMPS START OUT WELL ABOVE ZERO AND THEN COOL THROUGH THE DAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE BREEZY THOUGH IN GRADIENT BETWEEN DEPARTING HIGH AND APPROACHING LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S ON MONDAY. MONDAY NIGHT HAVE CONTINUED WITH MENTION OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND WITH INCREASING CHANCE MOVING WEST TO EAST ACROSS OUR AREA. FAIRLY MINIMAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM THOUGH. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... AS OF 243 PM EST SATURDAY...MAIN FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATER PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND PERIODIC CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN AND/OR SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY. MERIDIONAL UPPER TROUGH WILL IN GENERAL SETTLE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST DURING THIS PERIOD WITH PERIODIC WEAK ENERGY IMPULSES BRINGING SLIGHT TO LOW CHC POPS TO OUR REGION...NOTHING SIGNIFICANT. BEST SHOT OF ADDL PCPN SHOULD OCCUR ON TUESDAY AS LEAD ENERGY BUNDLE ON THE FRONT NOSE OF THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. TEMPERATURES SUPPORT A MIX OF RAIN AND/OR HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS WITH THIS FEATURE. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT MOST RECENT GLOBAL RUNS...INCLUDING THIS MORNING'S EURO SOLN HAVE TRENDED TOWARD THE CONSISTENTLY WEAKER GFS OPEN WAVE IDEA SO AT THIS POINT NOT LOOKING AT ANYTHING HEAVY IN REGARD TO PCPN. THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES REMAIN SEASONABLY MILD BUT IN GENERAL WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN ON TUESDAY AS HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE 25 TO 35 DEG RANGE WED-FRI AND OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL TO 15 TO 25 UNDER VRB CLOUD COVER. SOME BROAD CONSENSUS THAT A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MAKE A RUN AT US BY LATER FRIDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES...BUT AT FIRST GLANCE IT DOESN'T LOOK NEARLY AS POTENT AS THE DEEP COLD SNAP WE RECENTLY EXPERIENCED. && .AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...AVIATION CATEGORIES RANGE FROM IFR TO VFR ACROSS THE REGION AT THIS TIME...AND THIS VARIABILITY CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY EAST ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT THROUGH 06Z. FOG AT PBG/MSS AND POSSIBLY MPV EARLY IN THE TAF PERIOD WILL LIFT AS WINDS INCREASE. OTHERWISE CIGS/VSBYS LOWERING TO MVFR/IFR AT TIMES THROUGH 06Z...AND THEN MAINLY MVFR CIGS AND VFR VSBYS 06Z-12Z. STEADIEST AND HEAVIEST OF THE RAINFALL EXITING THE REGION THIS EVENING...BUT STILL SOME SHOWERS THROUGH AROUND 06Z AS FRONT MAKES ITS WAY EAST ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS QUITE VARIABLE THIS EVENING BUT GENERALLY SOUTHERLY AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY THROUGH 04Z...THEN TRENDING GUSTY WEST/SOUTHWEST BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AFTER 12Z CONTINUED GUSTY WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH A MVFR/VFR CIGS AND SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS...AFFECTING MAINLY SLK WITH MVFR AND POSSIBLE IFR CONDITIONS. OUTLOOK 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... 00Z MONDAY THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. 00Z TUESDAY ONWARD...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. && .HYDROLOGY... AS OF 400 PM EST SATURDAY...HAVE EXPANDED FLOOD WATCH TO NOW INCLUDE THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY DUE TO RAINFALL THAT AREA HAD TODAY AS WELL AS HISTORY OF ICE JAMS IN MALONE AND FORT COVINGTON. THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 00Z MONDAY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...EXCEPT THE CHAMPLAIN ISLANDS WHICH HAVE BEEN LEFT OUT. MAIN THREAT STARTING SHORTLY WILL BE POTENTIAL ICE JAM AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING AS TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED WELL INTO THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON AND RAINFALL OF 0.5" TO OVER AN INCH...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL VT AND THE ADIRONDACKS WITH PROGRESSIVELY LOWER TOWARD THE NW. MUCH OF THE RAINFALL WILL GO DIRECTLY INTO RUNOFF WITH FROZEN GROUND AND EXISTING SNOW/ICE COVER ACROSS THE REGION FOLLOWING PROLONGED COLD/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURE STRETCH PAST SEVERAL WEEKS. SOME MELTING SNOW AND ICE WILL ADD TO RUNOFF FROM RAINFALL. THE WARMUP AND RAINFALL WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT AND POTENTIAL BREAKUP. THE SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE WITH QUICKER RESPONSE TO RUNOFF AND THINNER ICE COVER. SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD HAVE THE FIRST PROBLEMS BEGINNING THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. MAIN STEM RIVERS...ESPECIALLY FROM THE WINOOSKI SOUTH...COULD SEE PROBLEMS TONIGHT AND WITH A POTENTIAL CREST SUNDAY. THESE SOUTHERN BASINS WILL SEE THE GREATEST RAINFALL AND WARMEST TEMPS SO ICE MOVEMENT SHOULD BE MOST PRONOUNCED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VT. THAT SAID...CAN NOT RULE OUT ISOLATED ICE JAM PROBLEMS FOR ALL OF NORTHERN VT AND IN THE ADIRONDACKS...ESPECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH KNOWN EXISTING JAMS WHICH COULD SEE ADDITIONAL MOVEMENT ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED STREAMFLOW/RIVER LEVELS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. LOCAL STREET FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY DUE TO ICE/SNOW COVERED DRAINS AND CULVERTS. TIMING FOR MINOR STREET FLOODING WOULD MAINLY BE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR VTZ002>012-016>019. NY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR NYZ026>031-034-035-087. && SYNOPSIS...NEILES NEAR TERM...RJS/NEILES SHORT TERM...NEILES LONG TERM...JMG AVIATION...JMG HYDROLOGY...WFO BTV
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 319 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014 NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ002>012-016>019-122030- NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON- SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA- WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR- EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND- 319 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VTZ001-122030- GRAND ISLE- 319 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST VERMONT. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
An ice jam formed on the Middlebury River near its confluence with Otter Creek. Floodwaters covered portions of Route 7 and Three Mile Bridge Road, forcing their closure.
Ice jams on the Lamoille River caused flooding in Hardwick and East Hardwick, and forced the closure of Route 15.
Ice jams on the Winooski river caused flooding between Richmond and Bolton, closing Route 2 and Cochran Road and 9 houses were surrounded by water. Further downstream, North Williston Road in Essex VT was closed due to flooding due to an ice jam.
Runoff from snowmelt and heavy rain caused Otter Creek at Center Rutland to rise above flood stage. The river rose above flood stage of 8 feet at 10:33 am January 12 2014, and crested at 9.04 feet at 6pm est on January 12 2014. At 9 feet low lying roads near Otter Creek flood between Clarendon and Pittsford, along with widespread field flooding.
Ice Jams caused flooding in Lyndonville Vermont on the Passumpsic River and its tributaries, the East and West Branch of the Passumpsic and Miller Run. Water covered the intersections of Routes 5 and 122 on the north side of Lyndonville, closing the roads.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Vermont in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Vermont, January 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 490289, 490202, 490309, 490361, 490276.