A wintry mix fell across mainly the northern half of the CWA. Some areas north and northeast of the Metroplex received over a half inch of sleet.
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A wintry mix fell across mainly the northern half of the CWA. Some areas north and northeast of the Metroplex received over a half inch of sleet. The highest sleet accumulations were in Hopkins County where 1.5-3 of sleet fell.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 11:35 PM CST, 5 hours 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1135 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2014 .AVIATION... CONCERNS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING SUNDAY /09-16Z/. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET POSSIBLE LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN THE METROPLEX. A COLD FRONT EXTENDED SOUTHEAST OF A DURANT OKLAHOMA /KDUA/ TO DENTON /KDTO/ TO BRECKENRIDGE /KBKD/ LINE AS OF 05Z. THIS FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE METROPLEX TAF SITES AROUND 06Z /THE BEGINNING OF TAF PERIOD/...AND THROUGH WACO AROUND 12Z. THE VERY COLD AIR LAGS A FEW HOURS BEHIND THE INITIAL WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND FOR SEVERAL HOURS BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO FREEZING 15-16Z SUNDAY /9-10 AM CST/ IN THE METROPLEX. AT THAT TIME...THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE AFTERNOON AND IF THIS HAPPENS...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL END UP BEING HEAVIER THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST. ALSO NOTE THAT THE FORECAST ACCUMULATIONS ARE FOR THE GROUND...AND ICING ON ELEVATED SURFACES WILL START AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH EARLY TO MID EVENING...SHUTTING OFF 02-03Z. WIND SPEEDS WITH THE INITIAL WIND SHIFT WILL BE AROUND 15 KNOTS BUT WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 30 KNOTS BEFORE DAYBREAK SUNDAY. CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF FRONTAL PASSAGE. CEILINGS SHOULD LOWER TO IFR TOWARD 10Z AND SOME LIGHT FOG MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO 3-5SM. CEILINGS SHOULD IMPROVE TO THE LOWER END MVFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON BUT NOT RETURN TO VFR UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT /PROBABLY AROUND 09Z MONDAY/. AT WACO...A SIMILAR SCENARIO IS EXPECTED. MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN 06-08Z AND QUICKLY LOWER TO IFR AROUND 09Z. THE ARCTIC FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND 12Z...WITH NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED AFTER DAYBREAK SUNDAY. IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE DAY. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO FREEZING MID AFTERNOON /21Z/...THE RAIN WILL BECOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END BY MID EVENING SUNDAY /03Z MONDAY/. 58 && .UPDATE... THE FORECAST IS STILL BEING UPDATED BUT HERE IS A QUICK DISCUSSION REGARDING THE CHANGES THAT ARE BEING MADE TONIGHT... AS ANTICIPATED...THE ARCTIC FRONT IS AHEAD OF SCHEDULE AND HAS ALREADY ENTERED OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT DRASTICALLY DROPPING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT WITH THE TRUE ARCTIC AIR LAGGING A FEW HOURS BEHIND THE LEADING EDGE. AT 9 PM...THE FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR A LINE FROM CLAYTON OKLAHOMA TO SHERMAN TO BRECKENRIDGE TO SOUTH OF LUBBOCK. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT IN OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES ARE NOW IN THE 50S BUT TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA ARE ALREADY IN THE 30S AND LOWER 40S. SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA ARE IN THE UPPER 20S. WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST TO REFLECT THE FASTER MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT. BY 1 AM...THE FRONT WILL BE NEAR A CISCO TO DFW TO PARIS LINE...REACHING KILLEEN...WACO AND CANTON AROUND 5 AM AND FINALLY THROUGH OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES BY MIDDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW WITH OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES OCCURRING BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND DAYBREAK DEPENDING ON THE FRONTS LOCATION. WILL NOT MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PRECIPITATION TYPES OR CHANCES...BUT WITH THE EARLIER ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT...WILL ADD A MENTION OF WINTER PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS....INCLUDING TEMPLE/KILLEEN. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES ARE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD IMPACT BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. THE NAM...TX TECH WRF...RAP...AND OUR LOCAL WRF ALL HAVE REASONABLE PRECIPITATION TRENDS TOMORROW AND AM LEANING TOWARDS THEIR SOLUTIONS. THEY HAVE PRECIP OCCURRING ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH A LITTLE LULL IN THE ACTIVITY DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS AND AROUND MIDDAY. THEN THE PRECIPITATION REDEVELOPS BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES JUST NORTH OF THE REGION. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION...OCCURS OVER ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION. THIS IS WHEN WE EXPECT THE HEAVIER QPF AMOUNTS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO OCCUR AND SOUNDINGS INDICATE THUNDERSLEET MAY OCCUR IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL REMAIN AS IS BUT HAVE UPGRADED OUR NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES TO A WINTER STORM WARNING...ALONG AND EAST OF A BONHAM TO GREENVILLE LINE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN THESE COUNTIES COULD REACH A QUARTER OF AN INCH WITH THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION THAT IS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE WARNING WILL BE FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED WEST...POSSIBLY INTO THE DFW METROPLEX AREA...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE ADVISORY MAY HAVE TO EXPANDED SOUTH ALONG AND EAST OF I-35. HOWEVER...WILL CONTINUE TO ANALYZE NEW MODEL DATA TONIGHT BEFORE MAKING ANY MORE CHANGES TO THE ADVISORY AND WARNING LOCATIONS/PRODUCTS. 82/JLD && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2014/ REGARDING THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS...WENT AHEAD AND EXPANDED THE ADVISORY SOUTH TO A CISCO TO CLIFTON TO ATHENS LINE WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. THE BIGGEST IMPACTS FROM FREEZING RAIN AND/OR SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM GRAHAM TO PLANO TO SULPHUR SPRINGS. POINTS SOUTH OF THIS LINE TO THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO SEE IMPACTS FROM LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS...BUT THESE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED ON ELEVATED SURFACES...IN PART DUE TO THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. DETAILS REGARDING THE FORECAST CONTINUE BELOW: A 21Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A BOUNDARY LIFTING SLOWLY NORTH TOWARDS THE RED RIVER WHERE MOST GUIDANCE INDICATES IT WILL STALL OUT BY SUNSET. TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WERE GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S FOR MOST LOCATIONS...WITH A NOTABLE EXCEPTION SOUTHWEST OF THE DFW AREA...WHERE TEMPERATURES SPIKED INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ALONG AN 850 MB THERMAL RIDGE. WITH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT IN THE 70S TO 80S ON CONSECUTIVE DAYS FOR MOST POINTS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS...SOIL TEMPERATURES ARE WARM...AND THIS WILL PLAY AN IMPORTANT ROLE IN OUR FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TO OUR NORTH...21Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA RANGED FROM THE LOWER TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S. COMPARING THESE TEMPERATURES TO THE MORNING NAM 21Z FORECAST FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURES INDICATED THAT THE NAM WAS RUNNING 8 TO 10 DEGREES TOO WARM WITH AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT. UNFORTUNATELY THE NAM IS THE COLDEST OF THE POPULAR OPERATIONAL FORECAST MODELS...SO THERE ARE SOME SIGNIFICANT SHORT TERM SURFACE TEMPERATURE ISSUES TO CONTEND WITH IN THE FORECAST MODELS MOVING FORWARD. THE RAP IS DOING THE BEST JOB RESOLVING 21Z TEMPERATURES...BUT THAT IS LARGELY DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE RAP INGESTS NEW DATA EACH HOUR. AT ANY RATE...CONTINUED TO RELY UPON THE NAM HEAVILY WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...JUST LIKE THE MIDNIGHT CREW...BECAUSE THE NAM IS THE COLDEST AND FASTEST WITH THIS ARCTIC COLD FRONT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF TWO BOUNDARIES IN THE AREA (THE NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT NEAR THE RED RIVER...THEN THE ARCTIC FRONT TO THE NORTH) IT WAS DIFFICULT TO TRACK THE SOUTHERN PROGRESS OF THE ARCTIC FRONT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS PARTIALLY DUE TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH OF THE RED RIVER FRONT...AND PARTIALLY DUE TO NORTHERLY WINDS EXTENDING FROM THE RED RIVER NORTH THROUGH KANSAS MASKING THE WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TRULY ARCTIC AIRMASS. BASED ON HOURLY TEMPERATURE TRENDS...AT 21Z THE FRONT APPEARED TO BE NEAR A LINE FROM CANADIAN TX TO WATONGA OK TO PONCA CITY OK. TRACKING THIS FRONT WILL ALSO PLAY AN IMPORTANT ROLE IN THE FORECAST FOR PRECIPITATION TYPE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A FASTER OR SLOWER FRONTAL PASSAGE COULD HAVE DRASTIC IMPACTS ON OUR FORECAST AND IMPACTS. TO THE FORECAST...THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE AT THE RED RIVER JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...PUSHING INTO THE DFW AREA BETWEEN 3 AND 4 AM CST. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS WACO AROUND 7 AM...AND THEN ACROSS PALESTINE AND TEMPLE/KILLEEN AN HOUR LATER. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE SOUTHEAST OF THE FORT WORTH CWA BEFORE NOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...REGARDING THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES. PARAMETERS ARE THERE INDICATIVE OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S IN PLACE CURRENTLY ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL TEXAS. MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE WILL BE AROUND 1000 J/KG OF CAPE FOR STORMS AND KEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR OF AROUND 50 KTS. TAKEN AT FACE VALUE THE INTERSECTION OF THIS PARAMETER SPACE IS SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS...PROBABLY SUPERCELLS OR POSSIBLY MULTI-CELL CLUSTERS ASSUMING STRONG FORCING ALONG THE COLD FRONT IS LARGELY RESPONSIBLE FOR RELEASING THE POTENTIAL CONVECTIVE ENERGY INTO STORMS. THE PROBLEM IS THAT THE CONSENSUS OF MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A LARGE CAPPING INVERSION IN THE 850 TO 800 MB LAYER...WHICH IS QUITE STOUT AT 300 TO 400 J/KG OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION FOR SURFACE BASED AIR PARCELS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE THAT STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL LIFT AND COOL A LARGE CHUNK OF THIS CAPPING INVERSION...HOWEVER THE CAP APPEARS TO BE CONSISTENTLY IN PLACE UNTIL 2-3 HOURS BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS BEING THE CASE...THERE WOULD BE NEARLY A ZERO CHANCE OF SURFACE BASED STORMS AND TORNADOES ACROSS THE CWA OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT TOMORROW MORNING. DAMAGING WIND MAY BE POSSIBLE...HOWEVER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME QUITE ELEVATED BEHIND THE FRONT...SO ANY VERTICAL MOTIONS WITHIN THE FRONTAL INVERSION ARE EXPECTED TO BE DAMPENED BY HIGH STABILITY. THAT LEAVES A CHANCE FOR ELEVATED STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL...WHICH CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME. LEFT A MENTION OF AN ELEVATED RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN CWA FOR TOMORROW MORNING AS A RESULT IN OUR GRAPHICAL HAZARD IMAGES. BEHIND THE FRONT...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF SCATTERED PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH PERSISTENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND FRONTOGENETIC FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. WENT AHEAD AND BUMPED POPS UP TO 80 PERCENT FOR MOST LOCATIONS SUNDAY MORNING AS CHANCES FOR ALL LOCATIONS TO RECEIVE AT LEAST ONE HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION LOOKS VERY HIGH AT THIS TIME. MOST PRECIPITATION SUNDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...HOWEVER CANNOT RULE OUT SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AS AIR PARCELS LIFTED FROM THE 900 TO 850 MB LAYER ARE CONSISTENTLY FORECAST TO HAVE 3-500 J/KG OF POSITIVE CAPE. MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNFORTUNATELY AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SPREADS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE CWA. THIS IS UNFORTUNATE BECAUSE THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE THROUGH THE ENTIRE CWA BY THIS TIME WITH SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES BUILDING QUICKLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS OF THE DAY. DEPENDING ON HOW FAST TEMPERATURES FALL BEHIND THE FRONT...WE SHOULD SEE A TRANSITION FROM RAIN SHOWERS TO FREEZING RAIN...TO FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET TO ALL SLEET THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. AT THIS TIME HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATING ICE AND SLEET FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM GRAHAM TO PLANO TO SULPHUR SPRINGS AS THESE LOCATIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO SPEND MOST OF THE DAY SUNDAY AT OR BELOW FREEZING. FROM THIS LINE SOUTH TO A LINE FROM CISCO TO CLIFTON TO ATHENS (THIS INCLUDES THE DFW METROPLEX)...EXPECT LESSER AMOUNTS OF ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATION SIMPLY BECAUSE THE SUB-FREEZING AIR IS SLOWER TO BUILD IN...AND THESE AREAS SAW TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOUT 10 DEGREES HIGHER TODAY THAN LOCATIONS FURTHER NORTH. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE VERY HARD TO PIN DOWN BECAUSE WE HAVE BEEN SO WARM OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. JUST LOOKING AT MODEL OUTPUT AND FORECAST WATER EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AND CONVERTING THAT DIRECTLY INTO ICE IS A VERY POOR ESTIMATE OF ICE ACCUMULATION FOR THIS EVENT BECAUSE SOIL TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE CWA. IT WILL TAKE QUITE A BIT OF TIME FOR SOIL TEMPERATURES TO FALL...MEANING THAT A LARGE PORTION OF ANY LIQUID PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS...EVEN WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING...WILL NOT STICK TO THE GROUND. ESTIMATING HOW MUCH RAINFALL WILL RUN OFF VERSUS HOW MUCH WILL ACCUMULATE AS ICE IS EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. AT THIS TIME FORECAST ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS ARE APPROXIMATELY 25 PERCENT OF WHAT WE EXPECT TO FALL AS WATER EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION. WHETHER THIS IS AGGRESSIVE OR CONSERVATIVE WILL DEPEND AT LEAST PARTIALLY ON HOW FAST WE FALL BELOW FREEZING BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT. FALLING BELOW FREEZING FASTER THAN EXPECTED WILL RESULT IN GREATER IMPACTS ON AVERAGE. WE WILL MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...AND IF IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL GET COLDER SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER...WE MAY HAVE TO UPGRADE SOME PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY INTO A WINTER STORM WARNING BEFORE SUNDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS ICE ACCUMULATION AND IMPACTS MAINLY RELEGATED TO ELEVATED SURFACES...WHICH IS WHY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AND NOT A WINTER STORM WARNING AT THIS TIME. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...ALONG WITH LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH...MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. WITH MOST ATTENTION FOCUSED ON SUNDAYS FRONT AND ASSOCIATED WINTER WEATHER...HERE IS A QUICK SUMMARY OF THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY EVENING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING ALL NIGHT...MEANING ANY RESIDUAL WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE UP CAUSING ADDITIONAL TRAVEL PROBLEMS. MONDAY MORNING WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE ZERO TO MINUS 5 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS...ASSUMING THIS DOES NOT CHANGE IN FUTURE FORECASTS...WE WILL NEED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF THE CWA EARLY MONDAY MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE VERY COLD WIND CHILL VALUES. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...WE HAVE A CHANCE FOR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS OF THE DAY. WE WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CLOSELY IN CASE IMPACTS ARE GREATER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. CURRENTLY...ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LIGHT...ON THE ORDER OF ONE HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH. WE WILL WARM UP FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...BUT HAVE LOW RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH YET ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PASSING OVER THE REGION. THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN AT THIS TIME. CAVANAUGH && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 36 35 16 36 24 / 60 80 20 0 10 WACO, TX 59 53 20 41 29 / 30 80 20 0 10 PARIS, TX 35 35 11 34 22 / 60 80 80 0 10 DENTON, TX 32 32 14 34 21 / 60 80 20 0 10 MCKINNEY, TX 33 34 13 34 19 / 60 80 30 0 10 DALLAS, TX 38 37 16 37 25 / 60 80 20 0 10 TERRELL, TX 44 42 15 36 23 / 50 80 50 0 10 CORSICANA, TX 59 57 18 38 26 / 30 80 30 0 10 TEMPLE, TX 66 58 21 42 30 / 20 80 20 0 20 MINERAL WELLS, TX 32 32 14 36 23 / 60 80 10 0 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR TXZ115>123-129>135-144>146. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO NOON CST SUNDAY FOR TXZ094- 095-105>107. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM NOON TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR TXZ094-095- 105>107. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY FOR TXZ091>093-100>104. && 58/82
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 411 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2014 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-031015- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 411 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM GOLDTHWAITE TO ATHENS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF A BONHAM TO GREENVILLE LINE. ICE WILL ACCUMULATE MAINLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THEN ON SOME AREA ROADS LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN THE WARNING AND ADVISORY AREAS. PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME TO AN END SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF A COMANCHE TO PALESTINE LINE MONDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A GOLDTHWAITE TO CANTON LINE TUESDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 131 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:32 UTC.
4 sleet, 2 winter storm, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Around half an inch of sleet covered areas in Howe and in and around Sherman. A trained spotter 2 miles west of Gunter reported 0.70 of sleet. In addition, up to 0.20 of freezing rain coated surfaces.
Sleet and freezing rain affected Hopkins County resulting in slick roads. The freezing rain total averaged 0.10 but sleet totals between 1.5-2 was reported in Cumby with another 1.5 reported northwest of Sulphur Springs and around 0.50 in Sulphur Springs. Over 3 of sleet and ice was reported in Tira.
Three-quarters of an inch of sleet was reported in Jacksboro.
Sleet up to 1 deep was reported on several roads around the county. Traffic on I-45 was moving very slowly or brought to a standstill.
Nickel sized hail was reported between Rice and Corsicana.
Between 1-1.5 inches of sleet was reported in and around Athens. Over half an inch of sleet was also reported in Trinidad and Gun Barrel City. The roads were slick and icy because of the sleet.
An inch of sleet was measured in Phalba. Two inches of sleet was reported in Van.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 506173, 506395, 506387, 506388, 506385, 506389, 506400.