Winter Weather in Texas, February 10 to 11, 2014

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
310 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT INTO NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT WITH
NEARLY ALL LOCATIONS COOLING TO FREEZING OR BELOW BY MIDNIGHT.
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TRAPPED IN THE COLD AIR THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND RESULT IN PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AND PATCHY FOG.
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF AN EASTLAND...MINERAL WELLS TO
SHERMAN LINE HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCED FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUE TO SEE SOME TRAVEL IMPACTS...ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. WE WILL KEEP AN ADVISORY FOR FREEZING
RAIN/DRIZZLE IN EFFECT THROUGH THE NIGHT AND ALL DAY TUESDAY.
FARTHER SOUTH...TEMPERATURES HAVE EITHER RECENTLY FALLEN BELOW
FREEZING OR WILL THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...WE WILL ISSUE AN
ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE/RAIN FOR THE REMAINDER OF NORTH
TEXAS. SINCE IT APPEARS THAT THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DRIZZLE WILL NOT
OCCUR UNTIL OVERNIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING...WE WILL NOT START THE NEW
ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

WE FEEL THAT THE PRECIPITATION TYPE TONIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING WILL
PRIMARILY BE FREEZING DRIZZLE. ICE AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT
BUT WILL RESULT IN SOME TRAVEL IMPACTS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD NOT
EXCEED A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME
BRIEF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET FROM LATE TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND LARGE
SCALE FORCING INCREASE WITH A PASSING SHORT WAVE. SINCE
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT WARM MUCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND MANY AREAS
WILL BE NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING...TRAVEL IMPACTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS EVEN A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW NEAR THE RED RIVER MAINLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. LITTLE
TO NO ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL END ACROSS NORTH TEXAS BEFORE SUNSET TUESDAY AS
THE SHORT WAVE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...ANY RESIDUAL
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FROZEN THROUGH THE NIGHT WHICH COULD RESULT
IN TRAVEL IMPACTS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM
ABOVE FREEZING IN ALL LOCATIONS BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY UNDER A MOSTLY
SUNNY SKY.

THE WEATHER PATTERN THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR THOSE YEARNING FOR SPRING. UPPER
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST WHILE SOME WEAK
SURFACE LEE TROUGHING BRINGS A RETURN OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THIS
PATTERN SHOULD RESULT IN MOSTLY SUNNY DAYS AND MOSTLY CLEAR NIGHTS
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S. AS OF
NOW...WE SEE NO STRONG SIGNALS FOR RAIN OTHER THAN SOME WARM AIR
ADVECTION SHOWERS MONDAY MORNING OF NEXT WEEK.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  25  33  26  47  33 /  30  50  20   5   0
WACO, TX              29  34  26  52  33 /  40  50  20  10   0
PARIS, TX             27  32  23  46  31 /  30  50  20  10   0
DENTON, TX            24  33  24  48  31 /  30  50  10   5   0
MCKINNEY, TX          26  33  23  48  30 /  30  50  20   5   0
DALLAS, TX            28  34  28  47  33 /  30  50  20   5   0
TERRELL, TX           27  32  24  47  31 /  40  50  20  10   0
CORSICANA, TX         28  33  27  49  33 /  40  50  20  10   0
TEMPLE, TX            30  32  26  55  34 /  50  50  20  10   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     25  34  23  51  30 /  30  50  10   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY
FOR TXZ094-095-105>107-118>123-130>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR TXZ091>093-
100>104-115>117-129.

&&

82/79

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
305 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111230-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
305 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
TUESDAY ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS
FROM A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
ON ELEVATED SURFACES...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...BUT SOME SECONDARY
ROADS MAY DEVELOP SLICK SPOTS OVERNIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE...PATCHY FOG MAY
REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO AROUND ONE MILE AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
6 PM TUESDAY FOR ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. LIGHT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS FROM A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ARE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES...BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES...BUT SOME SECONDARY ROADS MAY DEVELOP SLICK SPOTS.

A WINTRY MIX OF LIGHT RAIN...FREEZING DRIZZLE...LIGHT SLEET AND
LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND NEAR
THE RED RIVER COULD TOTAL UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. LIGHT SNOW
AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WOULD CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. ROAD CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 20S TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING...ANY RESIDUAL WATER OR MOISTURE ON ROADWAYS WILL REFREEZE
CAUSING ADDITIONAL ICY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME BUT ANY REPORTS OF
ICY ROAD CONDITIONS ARE APPRECIATED.