Warm, moist air from the south overran a shallow arctic airmass at the surface leading to light freezing rain over parts of South Central Texas. Accidents were reported on Hwy 41 and I-10 in Kerr County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Warm, moist air from the south overran a shallow arctic airmass at the surface leading to light freezing rain over parts of South Central Texas. Accidents were reported on Hwy 41 and I-10 in Kerr County. Icy roads and bridges were reported in Edwards, Uvalde, and Bandera Counties.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 6:07 AM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 607 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 .UPDATE... PLEASE SEE THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. && .AVIATION... DRIER AIR IN THE LOW-LEVELS IS KEEPING VFR CONDITIONS IN PLACE AT KAUS EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME LIGHT ECHOES ARE OBSERVED ON RADAR... BUT THE LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY EVAPORATING BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. WE/LL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS INTACT AT KAUS TODAY...WITH MVFR CIGS LIKELY TO DEVELOP AROUND 00Z AS PRECIPITATION INCREASES AND THE LOW-LEVELS MOISTEN. FARTHER SOUTH AT KSAT/KSSF...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW-LEVELS REMAIN A LITTLE MORE MOIST. A BRIEF PERIOD OF VFR SKIES IS EXPECTED LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE CIGS LOWER INTO MVFR AROUND 01/04Z. OUT WEST AT KDRT...IFR CIGS AND LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. CIGS SHOULD MANAGE TO RISE INTO THE LOW END MVFR RANGE BY MID-AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY WORSEN AFTER 01/03Z AS PRECIPITATION INCREASES AND CIGS LOWER BACK DOWN TO IFR. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014/ SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)... RADAR INDICATIONS SUGGEST MORNING DRIZZLE HAS BEEN LIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES...ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SMALL DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY GIVEN THE DFX RADAR OUTAGE. UNDER THE EWX COVERAGE SOME AREAS AROUND SAN ANTONIO ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF WET ROADS...BUT THE BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE KEEPING NEW BRAUNFELS MOSTLY DRY AND WOULD EXPECT THE SAME FOR AREAS OF CENTRAL TX. THE DRY AIR ADVECTION AND LIGHT EVAPORATIVE COOLING INFLUENCES SHOULD UNFORTUNATELY RESULT IN A FEW HOURS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. WITH THE MAJORITY OF MODEL DATA SHOWING ONLY A TRACE OR FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY OVER THE AREAS EXPECTED TO SEE FREEZING TEMPS...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND HANDLE WITH SPS WORDING AS WE CONCENTRATE ON THE MORE IMPORTANT LATER PERIODS. BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SPC SREF TOOLS SHOW A HIGH PROBABILITY OF FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE TO IMPACT THE EDWARDS PLATEAU CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY MORNING...WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW INVERSIONS SEEN IN MODEL SOUNDING DATA. FINER RES MODELS SHOW QPF VALUES INCREASING TOWARD 06Z...WITH HIGHEST PRECIP POTENTIAL FARTHER NORTH OF WEST CENTRAL TX. THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND WESTERN HILL COUNTRY COUNTIES WOULD LIKELY SEE ICE ACCUMULATION SUFFICIENT FOR LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AT LEAST ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT WESTERN PARTS OF WILLIAMSON...TRAVIS...HAYS...AND COMAL COUNTIES COULD HOLD ON TO FREEZING TEMPS AND PICK UP LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AS WELL. HOWEVER...THE MODEL RUN-TO-RUN TRENDS REFLECT A MORE MODIFIED LAYER AND TEMPERATURES HAVING A HARDER TIME FALLING TO THE FREEZING MARK. WILL UPGRADE THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WARNING FOR THE TIME AND AREA SET FORTH IN THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WATCH. EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL MAINLY 1/10 INCH OR LESS...BUT SOME LIGHT SLEET IS POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD ADD TO LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS. IN ANY EVENT...TRAVEL IMPACTS COULD BE SEVERE WITH ICING OVER THE HILLY TERRAIN. THE WARM ADVECTION PATTERN SHOULD MODIFY THE AIR OVER ALL AREAS BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING WITH TRAVEL IMPACTS TO IMPROVE BY NOON. NO BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...AND A COLD LIGHT RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE NEW YEARS DAY. LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... AN UPPER LOW THE WEST WILL FINALLY BECOME INFLUENTIAL OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TX BY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH THE LIFT LAYER POSSIBLY BECOMING DEEP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ISENTROPIC LIFT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY MECHANISM...SO WILL CONTINUE WITH MAINLY SHOWERS INTO SATURDAY MORNING WHEN THE UPPER LOW FINALLY EJECTS NORTHEAST. ALTHOUGH SOME FAIR SKIES ARE EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...A COLD FRONT REINFORCES THE COOL PATTERN SUNDAY MORNING AND ANOTHER COLD AIR SURGE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEDNESDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 40 35 40 37 44 / 20 40 60 80 70 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 40 35 41 36 45 / 20 40 60 80 70 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 41 36 42 39 47 / 30 40 60 80 70 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 37 31 38 35 42 / 20 50 70 80 70 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 40 36 44 41 51 / 40 50 30 40 30 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 39 33 39 35 42 / 20 40 70 80 70 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 41 34 42 39 49 / 30 40 50 70 50 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 40 35 40 38 45 / 20 40 60 80 70 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 44 38 43 40 48 / 20 30 60 70 70 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 41 36 42 39 47 / 30 40 60 80 60 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 42 37 43 40 49 / 30 30 50 70 60 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: BANDERA...BLANCO...BURNET...EDWARDS... GILLESPIE...KENDALL...KERR...LLANO...REAL...VAL VERDE. && MESOSCALE/AVIATION...24 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 639 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-011245- LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- 639 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY...WHICH WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO AT OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE NORTH OF A LINE FROM LANGTRY...TO KERRVILLE...TO BURNET TODAY. LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON EXPOSED SURFACES. FOR SAFETY...MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION ON AREA BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. FOR THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A COMSTOCK TO BOERNE TO BURNET LINE. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING 6 PM THIS EVENING FOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1/10 OF AN INCH. ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY LOCALLY REACH 1/4 OF AN INCH IN HEAVIER SLEET SHOWERS. THESE ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BRING HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS TO THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL NOON ON THURSDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE MENTIONED AREAS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY MID DAY THURSDAY AND CONDITIONS WILL THEN IMPROVE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 546 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 TXZ171-172-183>190-312200- LLANO-BURNET-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE- KENDALL-BLANCO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...DEL RIO... ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG... BOERNE...BLANCO 546 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 ...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE EVENT TO BEGIN TODAY AND INCREASE TONIGHT... AN ARCTIC AIR-MASS WILL SETTLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY AND NEW YEARS DAY. VERY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE HAS BEGUN TO FALL OVER THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY TODAY...WITH SOME AREAS ALREADY SEEING THE PRECIPITATION CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... PRECIPITATION RATES SHOULD BE TOO LIGHT TO ACCUMULATE ON ROAD SURFACES. HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION RATES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING. SINCE EVEN MORE AREAS SHOULD FALL TO BELOW FREEZING DURING THIS PERIOD...A WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON THURSDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS LATE TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TO AROUND 1/10 INCH. A FEW BANDS OF SLEET SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED AREAS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 1/4 INCH. THESE ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS...AS MANY ROADWAYS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY ARE CURVY AND HAVE STEEP INCLINES. EVENING HOLIDAY FESTIVITIES WILL ONLY ADD TO TRAVEL HAZARDS...SINCE MORE VEHICLES ARE EXPECTED TO BE OUT AT TIMES WHEN ACCUMULATIONS ARE MOST LIKELY. ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS ON NEW YEARS DAY...AS WARMING TEMPERATURES CONVERT THE FREEZING RAIN BACK OVER TO RAIN. TXZ173-191>194-202>209-217>225-228-312200- WILLIAMSON-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-MEDINA-BEXAR- COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-FRIO-ATASCOSA- WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN... BASTROP...GIDDINGS...BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO... SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE... EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE... KARNES CITY...GONZALES...CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS 546 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 ...COLD AND DAMP CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT... COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL SETTLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THIS NEW YEARS EVE...WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS AND LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE ADDING AN EXTRA CHILL TO TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. CURRENTLY...FREEZING TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU...WITH ONLY DAMP ROADWAYS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH NEW YEARS DAY. AREAS CLOSEST TO THE BALCONES ESCARPMENT MAY SEE TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY REACH NEAR FREEZING...WITH ONLY BRIEF PERIODS OF LIGHT ICING ON EXPOSED SURFACES EXPECTED. PLEASE MONITOR THE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS CLOSELY IN CASE TEMPERATURES TREND COLDER FOR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.
Warm, moist air from the south overran a shallow arctic airmass at the surface leading to light freezing rain over parts of South Central Texas. Accidents were reported on Hwy 41 and I-10 in Kerr County. Icy roads and bridges were reported in Edwards, Uvalde, and Bandera Counties.
Warm, moist air from the south overran a shallow arctic airmass at the surface leading to light freezing rain over parts of South Central Texas. Accidents were reported on Hwy 41 and I-10 in Kerr County. Icy roads and bridges were reported in Edwards, Uvalde, and Bandera Counties.
Warm, moist air from the south overran a shallow arctic airmass at the surface leading to light freezing rain over parts of South Central Texas. Accidents were reported on Hwy 41 and I-10 in Kerr County. Icy roads and bridges were reported in Edwards, Uvalde, and Bandera Counties.
Warm, moist air from the south overran a shallow arctic airmass at the surface leading to light freezing rain over parts of South Central Texas. Accidents were reported on Hwy 41 and I-10 in Kerr County. Icy roads and bridges were reported in Edwards, Uvalde, and Bandera Counties.
Warm, moist air from the south overran a shallow arctic airmass at the surface leading to light freezing rain over parts of South Central Texas. Accidents were reported on Hwy 41 and I-10 in Kerr County. Icy roads and bridges were reported in Edwards, Uvalde, and Bandera Counties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, December 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 553122, 553127, 553135, 553138, 553139.