Oregon, 2014

High Wind in Oregon, November 21, 2014

November 21, 2014 · NWS PQR · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

A strong Front resulted in gusty winds for the beaches and headlands of the Northwest Oregon coast.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PQR wrote it up.

A strong Front resulted in gusty winds for the beaches and headlands of the Northwest Oregon coast.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 21, 9:42 AM PST, 3 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 21, 9:42 AM PST, 3 hours 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
942 AM PST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MORE TYPICAL FALL WEATHER IN STORE FOR SOUTHWEST
WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON TODAY. A FAIRLY STRONG AND MOIST
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING GUSTY COASTAL WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO THE
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WILL CAUSE
THE SNOW LEVELS TO LOWER BELOW THE CASCADE PASSES EARLY SATURDAY
WHILE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT
SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES ALL THE WAY DOWN TO PASS LEVELS THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE REGION EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THEN PERHAPS SOME DRIER WEATHER BY MIDWEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A FAIRLY STRONG AND MOIST FRONTAL SYSTEM IS RAPIDLY
APPROACHING THE NW COAST TODAY...RIDING A ROBUST 160+ KT UPPER LEVEL
JET. A PRECIPITATION SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF
THE LEADING WARM FRONT IS MOVING ONSHORE THIS MORNING. THE STEADIER
PRECIPITATION IS MAINLY CONFINED TO THE COAST SO FAR...BUT WILL
PROCEED INLAND LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. THE LATEST
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE STILL SHOWING SOME TEMPS AROUND FREEZING IN
THE CENTRAL COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE AND UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY...SO
THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY FREEZING RAIN DURING THE ONSET OF PRECIP
THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...EFFECTIVELY ENDING ANY ICING CONCERNS.

SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO PICK UP ALONG THE COAST AROUND
MIDDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST SHORT TERM RAP AND HRRR MODEL
RUNS...DECIDED TO EXPAND THE EXISTING HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE NORTH
AND CENTRAL OREGON COAST TO INCLUDE THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AS
WELL. IT APPEARS THAT THE SURFACE LOW MIGHT BE TRACKING A BIT FURTHER
NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED...WHICH MAY OPEN THE DOOR FOR AREAS
LIKE CAPE DISAPPOINTMENT TO PICK UP A FEW HIGH WIND CRITERIA GUSTS.
OVERALL...IT STILL LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY MARGINAL WIND EVENT. SOME
BEACH AND EXPOSED HEADLAND LOCATIONS MAY SEE A FEW GUSTS AROUND 60 TO
65 MPH...BUT THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL LIKELY SEE WINDS TOPPING
OUT AROUND 50 TO 55 MPH. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE
AROUND 4 TO 6 PM...AFTER WHICH THE COASTAL WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF
RAPIDLY. THE INTERIOR LOWLANDS MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
GUSTY WINDS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

A BATCH OF HEAVY RAIN WILL PUSH INLAND DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH 1.5 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN LIKELY FOR THE
COAST...COAST RANGE AND CASCADES OVER ABOUT A 12 HR PERIOD ENDING
TONIGHT. THE INTERIOR LOWLANDS WILL BE CLOSER TO AN INCH. IT DOES NOT
APPEAR THAT RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING
CONCERNS.

SNOW LEVELS WILL INCREASE ABOVE ALL BUT THE HIGHEST PEAKS IN
THE AREA TODAY WITH THE WARM FRONT. SNOW LEVELS WILL CRASH
TO AROUND 3000 TO 4000 FT SATURDAY MORNING. OROGRAPHICS BECOME
FAVORABLE IN THIS COLDER AIR MASS. 850 MB WINDS ARE WESTERLY 25 TO
45 KT SAT ALONG WITH ABUNDANT SHOWERS. SNOW WILL BE HEAVIER AT TIMES
AS IMPULSES MOVE THROUGH. IT APPEARS THE PERIOD OF HIGHER SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION WILL BE SAT INTO EARLY SUN. THIS PERIOD MAY END UP
NEEDING A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.  CURRENT SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT COVERS THIS UNTIL THEN.

500 MB TEMPERATURES DROP TO AROUND -25 TO -30 C ON SATURDAY. LIFTED
INDEX LOWERS TO AROUND 0 TO -2. THERE IS ALSO A WEAK VORT MAX THAT
MOVES THROUGH DURING THE DAY TO ASSIST IN THE INSTABILITY. SO HAVE
ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS AND INLAND TO
THE COAST RANGE. THE INTERIOR LOWLAND MAY NEED TO BE ADDED AS
WELL...BUT THREAT APPEARS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME. PYLE/26

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MORE WESTERLY OR
ZONAL FLOW THAT SETS UP OVER THE WEEKEND DURING THE LATTER PART OF
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD BEGINS TO BUCKLE A BIT IN THE EARLY PART OF
THE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH SOME FLAT RIDGING DEVELOPING OVER THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC. HAVE DECIDED TO CONTINUE TO STICK MORE WITH A
DIRTY RIDGE SCENARIO OF THE ECMWF VS THE HIGHER AMPLITUDE RIDGING OF
THE OPERATIONAL GFS MODEL. CONFIDENCE DECREASES THROUGHOUT THE LONG
TERM PERIOD AS MODEL VARIABILITY INCREASES...THOUGH THE TREND IS
TOWARD DRIER DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PARTS OF NEXT WEEK. TOLLESON

&&

.AVIATION...MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CIGS TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS
WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL PICK UP FROM THE
SOUTH BEHIND THIS FRONT...LIFTING MOST THE AREA TO VFR CIGS. MAY
BE SOME SPEED SHEAR JUST ABOVE THE GROUND...AS SOUTHERLIES
INCREASE FROM 10 TO 30 OR 40 KTS BELOW FL030. EXPECT MIX OF VFR
AND MVFR TO PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA...THOUGH STRONG LOW-LEVEL
WINDS MAY KEEP CIGS MAINLY VFR. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AROUND
06Z TO 09Z WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO DIE DOWN THIS
EVENING...BRINGING CIGS BACK DOWN TO MVFR AND SOME IFR TONIGHT.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONTINUES THROUGH THIS MORNING...THOUGH
HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY CAUSE OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS. SOUTHERLIES
INCREASE FROM 10 KTS AT THE SURFACE TO 30 OR 40 KTS BELOW FL030
THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL DECREASE BEHIND COLD FRONT AROUND 06Z TO
09Z THIS EVENING.

-MCCOY

&&

.MARINE...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOUTHERLY
WINDS CURRENTLY 20 TO 25 KTS GUSTING TO 35 CURRENTLY...AND WILL
CONTINUE TO RAMP UP THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECTING SOLID GALES
WITH SOME STORM FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE INNER WATERS
WITH A COASTAL JET. STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...BEFORE DECREASING THIS EVENING BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT.

SEAS 10 TO 12 FT THIS MORNING WILL BUILD QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON TO
NEAR 20 FT BY 4-6PM THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BEHIND THE
FRONT...DROPPING TO 12 TO 14 FT BY MIDNIGHT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
SEAS ABOVE 10 FT LOOK TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

-MCCOY

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CENTRAL
    OREGON COAST-NORTH OREGON COAST.

WA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR SOUTH
     WASHINGTON COAST.

PZ...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL WATERS
    FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL 10 PM
    PST THIS EVENING.

&&

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.

Event by event

3 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Northern Oregon Coast

When
November 21, 1:15 PM PST to 4:15 PM PST
Where
Northern Oregon Coast forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Two weather stations on the North Oregon Coast measured wind gusts of 63 mph, one at Garibaldhi and the other in Pacific City.

High Wind, Central Coast Range of W Oregon

When
November 21, 2:10 PM PST to 7:10 PM PST
Where
Central Coast Range of W Oregon forecast zone
Measured
78 kt (90 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Mary's Peak recorded a peak gust of 90 mph, and the Rockhouse RAWS measured a peak gust of 62 mph.

High Wind, Central Oregon Coast

When
November 21, 2:15 PM PST to 7:00 PM PST
Where
Central Oregon Coast forecast zone
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Six weather stations on the Central Oregon Coast measured wind gusts greater than 58 mph for at least 2 hours. The highest gust of 82 mph was recorded at Sea Lions Caves. The next highest gust, 70 mph, was measured in Newport at the Yaquina Bar.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oregon in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, November 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 548321, 548324, 548322.