A warm fronted lifted across northern Ohio during the evening hours of October 27th. Some showers developed along this front.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CLE wrote it up.
A warm fronted lifted across northern Ohio during the evening hours of October 27th. Some showers developed along this front. One of the stronger showers produced a 58 mph wind gust near Toledo.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 27, 6:36 PM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 736 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT NEAR KANSAS CITY WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY THEN WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY THEN HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AND OFF THE EAST COAST MONDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... LINE OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE. ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD THE TOLEDO AND FINDLAY AREAS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO MORPH INTO A LINE ALONG THE LAKE SHORE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ALONG THE WARM FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD MORNING AND OUT OF THE AREA. ADJUSTED POPS FURTHER SOUTH TO ACCOUNT FOR ACTIVITY. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... THE SHORT PERIOD OF WARM TEMPS WILL COME TO AN END AS THE FIRST COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TUE. THE MODELS SHOW A DISTINCT BAND OF MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT SO MOST OF THE RAIN SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED DURING A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME AROUND FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE GOOD SHEAR AND WEAK INSTABILITY MAY SET UP FOR SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS. DRIER AIR PUNCHES INTO THE CWA ALONG WITH THE COLDER TEMPS AFTER FROPA SO MOST PLACES SHOULD SEE THE PRECIP FROM THIS SYSTEM BE DONE SHORTLY AFTER FROPA. HOWEVER...WRAP MOISTURE WORKING SE INTO THE AREA TUE NIGHT AND IMPROVING LAKE EFFECT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AT LEAST SCT SHRA IN THE SNOWBELT LATER TUE NIGHT...WED AND WED NIGHT. TEMPS BY WED NIGHT MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR A LITTLE SNOW TO MIX WITH THE RAIN. THERE STILL COULD BE A FEW LINGERING LIGHT SHRA THU MORNING IN THE SNOWBELT BUT WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA HELPING TO END THE LAKE EFFECT. THE BREAK FOR PRECIP IN THE AREA WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS A S/W TROUGH DIGS SE TOWARD THE AREA THU NIGHT INDUCING A WEAK SURFACE LOW TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. MOISTURE POOLING WILL OCCUR SO THINK THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A CHC FOR SOME SHRA TO OCCUR. WILL INCREASE THE POPS FOR LATER THU NIGHT. TEMPS WILL STAY BELOW NORMAL THRU THU. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... A PIECE OF ENERGY WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE ARCTIC PUSHING A STRONG COLD FRONT SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ON OUR DOORSTEP TO START THE DAY ON FRIDAY AND WE SHOULD HIT OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE DAY DURING THE MORNING THEN FALLING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE GFS IS STILL TRYING TO SHOW THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OVER NE OHIO ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD SUPPORT A LONGER PERIOD OF FRONTOGENESIS AND WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA. THE ECMWF STILL SHOWS A SLIGHTLY MORE CONSOLIDATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH QUICKLY SWINGS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WITH LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER LAKE ONTARIO BEFORE SHIFTING EAST. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHER COVERAGE IN THE EAST...BUT DID NOT WANT TO RAISE POPS TOO MUCH AT THIS TIME UNTIL MODELS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT. LONG RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT VERY DRY AIR ALOFT ARRIVING BEHIND THE TROUGH WHICH COULD RESULT IN JUST A BRIEF SHOT OF PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT. PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH SNOW AS EARLY AS MID AFTERNOON IN NW OHIO IF SHOWERS ARE STILL ONGOING. A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING ENOUGH THAT MINOR ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE WHERE PRECIPITATION LINGERS IN NE OH/NW PA. A BREAK IN THE SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY EVENING AS WE TRANSITION FROM THE SYNOPTIC PRECIPITATION TO THE LAKE EFFECT. MOISTURE DEPTH COULD STILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR FOR SNOW FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY BUT EXPECT THE FAVORABLE LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY TO WIN OUT AT LEAST FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. ALSO EXPECTING ENOUGH PRE-CONDITIONING OF THE AIRMASS FROM LAKE HURON THAT WE COULD SEE SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS IN THE SNOW BELT FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WE WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR MODEL TRENDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS FOR THE SNOWFALL FORECAST. LOWS ON FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE NEAR 30 ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH HIGHS ONLY RECOVERING FROM THE MID 30S TO NEAR 40 ON SATURDAY. MOISTURE REALLY DOES DWINDLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD SEE ANY LINGERING LAKE EFFECT COME TO AN END. THE RIDGE QUICKLY BUILDS IN ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND ALREADY UNDERWAY BY MONDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW. && .AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... IT WILL BE A BUSY TAF PERIOD. RADAR CURRENTLY SHOWING SOME WEAK RETURNS OVER LAKE ERIE AND ALSO MOVING INTO NW OH. THESE AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM FRONT AND SHOULD DRIFT NORTH OF THE AREA BY 06Z. WILL INCLUDE A VICINITY AT KTOL AND KERI FOR A FEW HOURS BUT REALLY DON'T EXPECT ANYTHING MORE THAN SPRINKLES. THE COLD FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK FOR TUESDAY. WILL TIME THE PRECIP AND FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. PRECIP WILL REACH NW OH AFTER 12Z AND NW PA DURING THE AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDER WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA AS THE COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER AND THUS ALLOW MORE HEATING. EXPECT A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF PRECIP AT ALL OF THE TAF SITES. CIGS SHOULD DIP TO MVFR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. VERY STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ALOFT OVERNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LLWS ALL BUT KERI WHERE SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONGER. EXPECT SW SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. .OUTLOOK...NON-VFR DEVELOPING TUESDAY INTO TUE EVENING IN SHRA/TSRA THEN MAINLY SNOWBELT ON WED. WIDESPREAD NON VFR RETURNING THU NIGHT INTO FRI. && .MARINE... WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS ON LAKE ERIE TONIGHT AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN AND 20 TO 25 KNOTS ON TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS IN THE NEARSHORE WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 20 KNOTS...BUT WITH AN OFFSHORE FLOW...MAY BE ABLE TO GET BY WITHOUT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. CONDITIONS WILL CERTAINLY BE A LITTLE CHOPPY BUT WILL ALLOW NEXT SHIFT TO RE-EVALUATE. THE FLOW SHIFTS TO MORE WESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED EAST OF WILLOWICK THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE LAKE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LAKE ON FRIDAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST AGAIN BY SUNDAY. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. PA...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...ADAMS NEAR TERM...LOMBARDY SHORT TERM...ADAMS LONG TERM...KEC AVIATION...KUBINA MARINE...KEC
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 310 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027>029-036-037-281915- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA- ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD- OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-MARION-MORROW- 310 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OHZ011>014-023-089-PAZ001>003-281915- CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-TRUMBULL-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- 310 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY FOR THE SNOWBELT AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OHZ020>022-030>033-038-047-281915- MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-KNOX- 310 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST OHIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 126 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:04 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A strong shower produced a 58 mph thunderstorm wind gust at Toledo Executive Airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, October 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 544629.