The outer rain bands associated with Hurricane Arthur produced locally heavy rainfall of 3 to 4 inches and minor flooding across Edgecombe County. Additionally, an area of convection which developed well west of the circulation produced some isolated thunderstorm wind damage.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
The outer rain bands associated with Hurricane Arthur produced locally heavy rainfall of 3 to 4 inches and minor flooding across Edgecombe County. Additionally, an area of convection which developed well west of the circulation produced some isolated thunderstorm wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 3, 10:50 AM EST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1150 AM EDT THU JUL 3 2014 .SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND CROSS OUR REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG OR JUST OFFSHORE THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 1150 AM THURSDAY... COMPLICATED FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS CENTRAL NC REMAINS BETWEEN HURRICANE ARTHUR WHICH WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NC COAST TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY AND AN APPROACHING NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS ABOUT THE INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE CREST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A SUBTLE SURFACE TROUGH APPEARS IN THE ANALYSIS NEAR GREENSBORO THAT EXTENDS NORTHEAST. IN ADDITION...THE MORNING UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS A MID AND UPPER LEVEL REGION OF FRONTOGENESIS ACROSS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT. THIS FEATURE WAS LIKELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SCATTERED CONVECTION THAT MOVED THROUGH THAT REGION EARLIER TODAY. THE COMPLICATED INTERACTION OF THESE FEATURES LEADS TI A DIFFICULT FORECAST IN RESOLVING DETAILS ABOUT WHERE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL SETUP AND MOVE. AHEAD OF ARTHUR IN A REGION OF GOOD INSOLATION...TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY WARMED INTO THE 87-90 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAINS AND THE NORTHEAST PIEDMONT. LATEST RADAR OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE WESTERN NC PIEDMONT BAND OF SHOWERS HAS WEAKEND CONSIDERABLY WHILE A SURGE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ADVANCING NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. HAVE RECEIVED MIXED SIGNALS FROM CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS ABOUT THE PREFERRED PLACEMENT AND TRANSITION OF RAIN BANDS WITH ARTHUR BUT THE HRRR IN GENERAL HAS HANDLED THIS SYSTEM WELL ALTHOUGH IT FAILED TO CAPTURE THE EARLY MORNING WESTERN PIEDMONT CONVECTION. FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY...SHOWERS ROTATING WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF ARTHUR WILL OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN AND SANDHILLS REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BANDS WILL BE LOCATED IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE HURRICANE...A REGION TYPICALLY NOT PREFERRED FOR SEVERE CONVECTION OR TORNADOES. ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE THE RAH CWA IN SAMPSON AND WAYNE COUNTIES WILL REQUIRE SOME MONITORING OF CONVECTIVE CELLS. IN ADDITION...CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DEVELOP JUST EAST OF THE NC MOUNTAINS ALONG THE COLD FRONT DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND THEN DRIFT EAST. AS CLOUDS INCREASE...MAX TEMPERATURES WILL SOON BE REALIZED ACROSS CENTRAL NC. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COMPLICATED BY ONGOING OR DEVELOPING CONVECTION AS WELL. IN GENERAL HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE IN THE 86 TO 92 RANGE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT THIS EVENING WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN. IN BETWEEN...CONVECTION COVERAGE MAY BE MINIMALIZED ACROSS THE NORTHER PIEDMONT AND TRIANGLE AREA. WHILE ARTHURS TRACK HAS SHIFTED WEST DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST A LONGER PERIOD OF RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN...RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE INSUFFICIENT FOR ANY FLOODING CONCERNS. EXPECT AROUND AND INCH OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS EASTERN WAYNE AND SAMPSON COUNTIES WITH AMOUNTS DECREASING TO THE WEST. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DECREASE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS THE CENTER OF ARTHUR REACHES CAPE HATTERAS AT AROUND 400 AM. LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD RANGE IN THE UPPER 60S IN THE TRIAD TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTHEAST. SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN WITH SKIES BECOMING AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON. A COOLER AIR MASS SPREADS INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF ARTHUR WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. A FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CUMULUS FIELD ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA WILL LARGELY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET ON FRIDAY WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. IT WIL BE DRAMATICALLY COOLER AND DRIER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. -BLAES && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 250 AM THURSDAY... BEGINNING ON SATURDAY...BROAD RIDGING ALOFT IS FORECAST OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN QUICKLY FOR OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...AND WITH AFTERNOON PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FORECAST BY THE GFS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...SOME OF THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SURFACE DEW POINTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON MAY ACTUALLY APPROACH OR...IN SOME LOCATIONS...FALL SLIGHTLY BELOW 50F SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S ON SATURDAY WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS MOSTLY AROUND 60 SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW 50S SPRINKLED IN ESPECIALLY NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE TRIANGLE IN THE DRIER AIR. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 250 AM THURSDAY... GRADUALLY...AS HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AND THE SURFACE PATTERN BECOMES MORE TYPICAL WITH THE PIEDMONT TROUGH IN PLACE...MOISTURE WILL START TO INCREASE ONCE AGAIN IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY WEEKEND FORECAST IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...THEN AS THE MOISTURE STARTS TO INCREASE AND HEIGHTS ALOFT START TO FALL...WILL GRADUALLY INTRODUCE AND ALSO INCREASE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. ON MONDAY...THE FORECAST WILL SHOW ONLY A VERY SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ABOUT KGSB TO KFAY NEAR ANY SEA BREEZE AS ALLUDED TO BY THE ECMWF...THEN ON TUESDAY THE FORECAST WILL SHOW A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...THOUGH WITH BETTER CHANCES RELATIVE TO THE REST OF THE AREA AGAIN IN THE WESTERN PIEDMONT AND TOWARD THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. BY WEDNESDAY...WITH THE APPROACH OF A FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST...WHICH SHOULD AT LEAST GET CLOSE TO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA BASED ON BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SEEM REASONABLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 80S OVER THE WEEKEND...NEAR 90 IN THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT SUNDAY...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND INTO THE LOWER TO MID 90S BY TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A STEADY RISE IN OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM NEAR 60 TO THE LOWER TO MID 70S AT THE END OF THIS LONG-TERM PERIOD. CERTAINLY DEPENDING ON THE HIGHS AND THE SURFACE DEW POINTS AT THE END OF THIS PERIOD...A RETURN TO NEAR TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY EASTERN AREAS ON WEDNESDAY. && .AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 700 AM THURSDAY... 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD: THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE PRETTY ACTIVE AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND ARTHUR MOVES UP THE CAROLINA COAST WITH RAINBANDS POTENTIALLY AFFECTING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. A LINE OF SHOWERS FORMED A FEW HOURS AGO BETWEEN KRDU AND KGSO AND CONTINUES TO HOLD NEARLY STATIONARY THERE. AS SOME OF THE OUTER BANDS OF ARTHUR ARE APPROACHING THE COAST...THIS LINE OF SHOWERS TO THE WEST HAS BEGUN TO RETROGRADE A BIT AND IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT KGSO WILL SEE A SHOWER IN THE VICINITY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS THAN WILL KRDU. TAFS ARE CURRENTLY SET UP TO HANDLE THE IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS AT EASTERN SITES AND WILL RETURN TO VFR BY 15Z. AS FAR AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS CONCERNED...MOST SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL PLUS OR MINUS 18Z...WHEN PRE-FRONTAL PRECIPITATION MOVES INTO THE TRIAD AND RAINBANDS FROM ARTHUR BEGIN AFFECTING EASTERN SITES. ARTHUR WILL PICK UP SPEED DURING THE EVENING AND MOST CONVECTION SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS COULD GUST UP TO 25 KTS IN CONVECTION BUT OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIONS...GUSTS SHOULD STAY 20 KTS OR BELOW. LONG TERM: ARTHUR WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING AND NO SIGNIFICANT THREATS TO AVIATION CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LONG TERM. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SYNOPSIS...KRD/WSS NEAR TERM...BLAES SHORT TERM...DJF LONG TERM...DJF AVIATION...ELLIS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 105 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>042-073>077-083>086-041715- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE- JOHNSTON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND- HOKE- 105 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST AND HURRICANE ARTHUR MOVES ALONG THE COAST. THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LIMITED FROM THESE FEATURES BUT THE MAIN THREAT IS FROM MINOR FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ043-078-088-089-041715- WILSON-WAYNE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 105 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE ARTHUR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN AND SANDHILLS. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT IS LIMITED...IT IS POSSIBLE FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO TO DEVELOP IN AN OUTER RAIN BAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...A SOME MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
117 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014
NCZ026>028-041>043-031815-
WAKE-FRANKLIN-NASH-WILSON-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-
117 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014
...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF WAKE...
FRANKLIN...NASH...WILSON...SOUTHWESTERN EDGECOMBE AND JOHNSTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM EDT...
AT 115 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AN ARC FROM FOUR OAKS TO
SMITHFIELD TO WILSON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RALEIGH...CARY...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...NASHVILLE...LOUISBURG...
WILSON...WAKE FOREST...GARNER AND FUQUAY-VARINA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.
BOATERS ON THE OPEN WATER AND THOSE CAMPING OUTDOORS ARE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO THE DANGERS OF LIGHTNING. SEEK HARBOR IMMEDIATELY AND
FIND SAFE SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES CAN OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM...PRIOR TO THE
ARRIVAL OF RAIN AND WIND.
&&
LAT...LON 3583 7772 3564 7771 3561 7776 3560 7806
3544 7816 3530 7843 3540 7860 3552 7869
3557 7888 3564 7898 3587 7888 3587 7883
3593 7880 3592 7876 3593 7876 3606 7864
3602 7855 3615 7851 3620 7837 3620 7802
TIME...MOT...LOC 1715Z 143DEG 27KT 3541 7843 3567 7812 3567 7783
MWSThe Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 12 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:45 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A pine tree was snapped off at Hilltop Avenue and Circle Drive. An oak tree in Cary was also snapped in half.
Two trees were blown down on Cunningham Road.
Several trees were blown down with debris in the road.
High water was reported on Cutchin Farm Road. Division of Highways were dispatched to put up signs.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 535403, 535404, 535405, 535400.