New Mexico, 2014

High Wind in New Mexico, June 4, 2014

June 4, 2014 · NWS ABQ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Southwest flow aloft over the peaks of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in northern New Mexico created a mountain wave that crashed in and near Raton blowing yard items around as well as a resultant 58 mph gust at the airport.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

Southwest flow aloft over the peaks of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in northern New Mexico created a mountain wave that crashed in and near Raton blowing yard items around as well as a resultant 58 mph gust at the airport.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 4, 4:30 AM MST, 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 4:30 AM MST, 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
530 AM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WIND GUSTS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 20-30KTS...ALTHOUGH HIGHER
GUSTS TO NEAR 34KTS ARE POSSIBLE AT KLVS. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED
AFTERNOON VIRGA SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING 50KTS WIND GUSTS AND MAY COME CLOSE TO KTCC AND KROW.

11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...303 AM MDT WED JUN 4 2014...
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO WITH AN ATTENDANT FLAT RIDGE EXTENDING FROM
SONORA MEXICO TO LOUISIANA IS THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE IN THE CURRENT
WEATHER PATTERN.  SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE IS
DRAWING A VERY HOT AND DRY AIRMASS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS WHERE SURFACE MOISTURE
HAS MIGRATED ACROSS THE REGION ON SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS.  THE
CLASH OF THESE AIRMASSES HAS SETUP A NORTH TO SOUTH DRYLINE ACROSS
THE EASTERN PLAINS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FORECAST ISSUES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ARE THE SCALE
INTERACTION ALONG THE DRYLINE SETUP BETWEEN DRY AIRMASS ADVECTED
EAST INTO WEST...NORTH AND CENTRAL NM FROM AZ ON SOUTHWEST WINDS AND
THE MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS.

THIS AFTERNOON SUBSIDENCE DERIVED FROM THE LARGER SYNOPTIC SCALE
594H5 HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NOW OVER SE NEW MEXICO WILL INHIBIT
POTENTIAL CONVECTION...LIMIT INSTABILITY AND RESULT IN ONLY SLIGHT
CHANCE HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WITH DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS ALONG THE DRYLINE IN EASTERN NM.  WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH
PRESSURE IN PLACE AND FEWER HIGH CLOUDS ANOTHER ROUND OF NEAR RECORD
OR RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED TODAY.

TOMORROW THE UPPER HIGH IS DISPLACED SOUTHEAST INTO WEST TEXAS WITH
A 592H5 CENTER NEAR THE BIG BEND.  MORE NEAR RECORD MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EASTERN PLAINS. THE SHIFT OF THE
UPPER HIGH INTO WEST TEXAS WILL ALLOW FOR A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT TO
PUSH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...GENERATING
EASTERLY GAP WINDS THROUGH THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS LATE TOMORROW INTO
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  POPS INCREASE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND
EASTERN PLAINS FRIDAY AS A RESULT.

SATURDAY MODELS INDICATE THAT A 578H5 SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS ACROSS
AZ MOVING EAST INTO NM ON SUNDAY...DISPLACING THE UPPER HIGH FURTHER
EAST INTO LOUISIANA.  THE DRY SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW IS ENDED...
ALLOWING FOR A MORE ROBUST BACKDOOR FRONT TO PUSH MOISTURE ACROSS NE
NM TOWARDS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS ON SUNDAY.  POPS INCREASE ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PLAINS BUT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WEST
SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WHERE MOST FAVORABLE
OROGRAPHIC INFLUENCES WILL TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE GREATER INSTABILITY
AND MOISTURE.  THE INCREASED MOISTURE WILL INCREASE CLOUDINESS AND
LOWER TEMPERATURES BUT WETTING RAINS WILL BE ELUSIVE EXCEPT FOR THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.  DRY LIGHTNING WILL REMAIN
A CONCERN. THIS FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE ECMWF...NAM AND GFS.
THERE IS MODEL CONSENSUS ON THIS MOISTURE INTRUSION WITH THE ECMWF
BEING THE MOST BULLISH AND THE GFS THE LEAST BULLISH.

A RECYCLING MOISTURE MODE IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY THAT WILL
GENERATE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTED SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS.  A DRY WESTERLY WIND FLOW ALOFT RETURNS NEXT WEDNESDAY...
ELIMINATING POPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.

01

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TO PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL AND
WESTERN AREAS INTO THE WEEKEND...

POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING WEST OF THE
DRYLINE...WITH FAIR RECOVERY IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND GOOD
RECOVERY EAST OF THE DRYLINE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL
PLAINS. ANOTHER BONE-DRY DAY IS ON TAP WITH HIGHS 5 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL AS A DRY SLOT BEGINS TO EDGE INTO THE AREA...PUSHING
THE DRYLINE FURTHER EAST. SURFACE DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
TO CRATER OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WEST WHERE
NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGIT VALUES ARE POSSIBLE. AT THE SAME TIME...CIRRUS
WILL BE THINNING/CLEARING...REMOVING ANY LIMITS TO THE HOT...DRY AND
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS FORECAST. SUPER HAINES IS SHOWING UP ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER TODAY AND
AGAIN THURSDAY. WITH THE HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS COME
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY WITH VALUES
PEAKING BETWEEN 20-23K FT AGL. THE NORTHEAST QUARTER WILL BE EXEMPT
FROM ALL OF THIS BUSINESS ON THURSDAY THANKS TO A BACKDOOR FRONT.
THE MORE AGGRESSIVE 00Z NAM12 SHOWS THE FRONT PROGRESSING SOUTHWEST
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE GAPS IN THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. WITH
THIS DEEPER PUSH OF MOISTURE BEHIND THE FRONT COMES IMPROVED CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAIN LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MAINLY FROM THE SANGRES
EAST TO THE TX/OK BORDERS. MOISTURE LOOKS TO SCOUR-OUT FRIDAY IN THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY...HENCE THE REAPPEARANCE OF SUPER HAINES LATE DAY.

CHANGES ARE FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER
HIGH WANES AND A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES SLOWLY FROM THE WEST.
HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ARE STILL FORECAST...BUT FURTHER
WEST ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. HUMIDITY
RECOVERY WILL BE IMPROVING THROUGH THE WEEKEND MOST AREAS AS
MOISTURE PUSHES FURTHER WEST. A ROBUST BACKDOOR FRONT IS STILL
FORECAST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND WILL RESULT IN A
COOL-DOWN CENTRAL AND EAST WITH BELOW NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR A
CHANGE. CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND WILL FAVOR AREAS
ALONG/EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...BUT MAY INCLUDE THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY ON SUNDAY IF THE MORE BULLISH 00Z ECMWF WORKS-OUT. LOW
FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEYOND SUNDAY...BUT WE COULD SWING BACK TO MORE
OF A SUPER HAINES-TYPE REGIME EARLY NEXT WEEK AFTER A SHORT-LIVED
BREAK.

11

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

01
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 4, 4:52 AM MST, 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
552 AM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

NMZ501>540-051145-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
532 AM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DRY...HOT AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
WITH MOST CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

STRONG OUTFLOW/DOWNBURST WINDS FROM DRYLINE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE FROM NEAR CAPITAN TO SANTA ROSA THEN NORTHEAST TO NEAR
CLAYTON THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING GENERATING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH DRY LIGHTNING. EASTERLY GAPS WINDS AT ALBUQUERQUE AND SANTA
FE ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. A BACKDOOR
FRONT ON SUNDAY WILL FUEL ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS AS WELL
AS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

01

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Far Northeast Highlands

When
June 4, 5:06 AM MST to 5:16 AM MST
Where
Far Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

The ASOS at the Raton Crews Airport recorded a non-thunderstorm wind gust to 58 mph.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 510392.