An upper trough moving over the region resulted in high winds over the Guadalupe Mountains.
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The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
An upper trough moving over the region resulted in high winds over the Guadalupe Mountains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 4, 4:40 PM MST, 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
540 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2014
.DISCUSSION...
&&
.AVIATION...
The gusty West wind will be on the decrease with sunset but this will
be short lived as a strong cold front blows into the area overnight.
Expect a gusty N/NW wind behind the front. VFR this evening with
MVFR cigs possible behind the front during the morning hours. Expect
fropa will be dry but could have some blowing dust with it.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2014/
DISCUSSION...
Latest sfc analysis shows an elongated trough lying N-S across West
Texas/SE NM, under an upper-lvl trough moving thru Texas.
Stratus/fog that has plagued the region over the past 36 hours has
eroded, as strong westerlies rounding the base of the trough have
mixed down to the sfc, resulting in gusty conditions over much of
the CWA. Warnings/Advisories cover current conditions, and will be
allowed to expire at 00Z. To the north, a cold front is barreling
southward, entering the Panhandles, and should fropa KMAF at around
08Z, according to latest buffer soundings. Unfortunately, today's
warmer weather will end w/the arrival of the front, which will
plunge the area back into well-below normal temperatures for at
least the next couple of days. Models handled this last front/event
poorly, and tried to clear out/warm back up too quickly, and look to
possibly do so again. W/plenty of cloud cover expected behind the
front for the next few days, we expect much less diurnal range in
temps than what guidance is selling, and so prefer the warmer side
of mins, and the lower side of maxes. NE zones should stay
subfreezing thru Thursday. We don't expect to begin warming until
after Thursday, when winds veer to return flow, and cloud cover
begins to dissipate.
As the sfc ridge slides south behind the front, pressure gradients
are forecast to tighten up Wednesday night over SE NM, and gap winds
thru Guadalupe Pass should rise into warning territory overnight.
Models still bring a shortwave thru the region Wednesday night,
which could interact w/modest isentropic lift to generate a little
precip over the area. However, latest forecast soundings are drier
in the upper levels than models have advertised the last couple of
days, so the question remains as to precip type for much of the
area. Models do bring in a saturated layer H5-H6 or so for a
feeder-seeder scenario, so we've left a slight chance of SN over the
nrn 2/3rds of the CWA, and IP/FZRA south. However, QPFs remain
light, so POPs remain small.
As mentioned above, West Texas/SE NM should begin climbing out of
the soup Friday, warming up to a few degrees below normal Saturday,
before a secondary cold front moves into the area Saturday night.
The ECMWF and GFS are now in agreement on timing, and fropa KMAF at
around 06Z Sunday. ATTM, this front does not look to be as strong
as tonight's, and w/less cloud cover, so expect a quicker recovery
on temps. In fact, forecast soundings/temp fields suggest temps
could hit normal or better Monday afternoon, and possibly Tuesday.
Next chance of precip in the extended looks to be Tuesday, when
models bring an upper trough thru the area. Extended grids stay dry
for now, though.
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.
WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... Eddy County Plains.
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING until 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ this evening FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES... Davis/Apache Mountains Area...Guadalupe
Mountains.
HIGH WIND WARNING from 6 PM Wednesday to 6 AM MST Thursday FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.
WIND ADVISORY until 6 PM CST this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... Loving...Marfa Plateau...Pecos...Reeves County and
Upper Trans Pecos...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor...Ward.
&&HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 259 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-052100- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 259 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014 /159 PM MST TUE FEB 4 2014/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WESTERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH, AND GUSTS TO 65 MPH, WILL PERSIST IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS THROUGH 6 PM CST. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL THEN. WESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH, WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF EDDY COUNTY...THE TRANS PECOS...THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR AND MARFA PLATEAU UNTIL 6 PM CST. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS UNTIL THEN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH IN GUADALUPE PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THEREFORE, A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT . WINTRY PRECIPITATION COULD DEVELOP OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH SNOW POSSIBLE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10, AND SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH, AND SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE VERY LIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, February 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 493605.