Michigan, 2014

Winter Weather in Michigan, December 2 to 3, 2014

December 2 to 3, 2014 · NWS MQT · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Moderate lake effect snow showers developed over northwest and north central Upper Michigan on the 2nd and 3rd in the wake of a cold frontal passage.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MQT wrote it up.

Moderate lake effect snow showers developed over northwest and north central Upper Michigan on the 2nd and 3rd in the wake of a cold frontal passage.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 2, 12:58 PM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 2, 12:58 PM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1258 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 357 AM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

UPPER AIR PATTERN CONSISTS OF A BROAD 500 MB TROUGH OVER MOST OF THE
U.S. WITH A SHORTWAVE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THIS MORNING. THIS
SHORTWAVE HEADS EAST AND MOVES INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY
TONIGHT. NAM SHOWS SOME 850-500 MB Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE AND DEEPER
MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE CWA TODAY WITH THE Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE
MOVING OUT TONIGHT.

SOME LAKE MICHIGAN LAKE EFFECT FLURRIES HAVE STARTED TO FALL AT IMT
AND AT THE OFFICE AND ADDED FLURRIES INTO THE FORECAST FOR THIS
MORNING. LAKE MICHIGAN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR TODAY IN
AREAS AFFECTED BY SOUTH WINDS IN SOUTH SNOWBELTS AND KEPT IN CHANCE
POPS FROM MNM THROUGH ISQ WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN ERY. THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BETTER MOISTURE ARRIVES AND KEPT IN THE
CHANCE POPS OVER MOST OF THE CWA. BY TONIGHT...THE SOUTH WINDS OFF
LAKE MICHIGAN WILL HELP PRIME THE EASTERN CWA AND WENT LIKELY POPS
THERE AND CHANCE POPS ELSEWHERE IN THE EVENING. OVERALL...DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL NOT GET OUT OF HAND AS THE MOISTURE IS FAIRLY SHALLOW
UNDERNEATH A STRONG INVERSION. COULD STILL SEE A COUPLE INCHES OF
SNOW EAST OF ESC AND MUNISING.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 450 AM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

12Z WEDNESDAY WILL START OFF WITH WNW FLOW NEAR THE SFC...WITH 850MB
TEMPS AROUND -9 TO -12C. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE WNW FAVORED SNOW BELTS /THE KEWEENAW
PENINSULA...AND FOR AREAS EAST OF MUNISING ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR/. 2
TO NEARLY 5IN OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...HIGHEST EAST OF GRAND MARAIS. BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AS WELL AS BEACH EROSION WITH WAVES IN EXCESS OF 8FT
ALONG THE ALGER AND LUCE COUNTY SHORELINES. EXPECT GUSTS IN THE 25
TO NEAR 30KT RANGE.

DIMINISHED THE IMPACT OF LES A BIT QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY FCST...AS
WINDS BECOME MORE SW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...SLOWLY TRANSITIONING FROM IWD THROUGH E LUCE COUNTY/E LAKE
SUPERIOR AS HIGH PRESSURE TEMPORARILY BUILDS IN FROM THE WSW.

DRY WEATHER...WITH MAINLY ZONAL FLOW AT 500MB AND A SLOWLY EXITING
SFC RIDGE. A WEAK TROUGH SET UP ACROSS S CENTRAL CANADA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. GIVEN LIMITED MOISTURE...WILL KEEP MOST OF THE AREA DRY
THURSDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. THE WEAK FRONT WILL SHIFT E FRIDAY
EVENING...WITH NW WINDS BRIEFLY RETURNING AND BRINGING JUST SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS BACK INTO THE FCST FOR THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AND AREAS
EAST OF MUNISING ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR.

LOOK FOR MODERATING TEMPS FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH HIGHS
IN THE LOW 30S FRIDAY. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR HIGH TEMPS
THROUGH MONDAY. THE 02/00Z RUN OF THE GFS SHOWS 850MB TEMPS HOVERING
-1 TO -4C THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...BEFORE WARMING UP TO 0
TO 2C ON SUNDAY ON S-SW WINDS.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF ANY SNOW WILL LIKELY BE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY...AS YET ANOTHER SFC LOW NEARS FROM THE NW. A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL NOT GET TOO SPECIFIC AT THIS POINT
AS PLENTY OF DISCREPANCIES STILL REMAIN IN THE FCST MODELS..
&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. IT WILL PRODUCE MVFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT
CMX AND SAW. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUDS BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000 FEET
FORECAST WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AT CMX.

&&

.MARINE...(FOR THE 4 AM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 357 AM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ON LAKE SUPERIOR THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH TWO GALE EVENTS THIS PERIOD. THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF S
GALES MAINLY OVER THE E HALF OF THE LAKE TODAY WHEN THE SHARPEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT PASSES THROUGH AND KEPT THE GALE WARNING GOING
OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR. THIS GALE EVENT WILL BE
RELATIVELY SHORT LIVED AS THE TROF/WEAKER GRADIENT PASSES W-E
THROUGH THE UPPER LAKES LATE TODAY...WITH GALES ENDING THIS EVENING.
ANOTHER W-NW GALE EVENT WED AFTERNOON/NIGHT FOLLOWS A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE. BUT SINCE THE WEATHER PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE...THE PASSAGE
OF THE TRAILING HI PRES RIDGE THRU THE AREA ON THU WILL RESULT IN
DIMINISHING/BACKING WINDS TO THE SW FOR LATER IN THE WEEK. NO GALES
ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
NONE.
LAKE SUPERIOR...
  GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LSZ266-267.

  GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LSZ264-265.

LAKE MICHIGAN...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...KF
AVIATION...
MARINE...07
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 2, 3:54 PM EST, 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
354 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

MIZ001>003-009-032100-
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-GOGEBIC-
354 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014 /254 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LIGHT TO POTENTIALLY MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA OVERNIGHT...DUE TO MOIST WEST WINDS OFF LAKE
SUPERIOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LIGHT TO POTENTIALLY MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW...AND BLOWING SNOW...WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND FAVORED SNOWBELTS ALONG LAKE
SUPERIOR THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE. THE PUBLIC MAY ALSO PROVIDE REPORTS
BY USING THE SUBMIT STORM REPORT OPTION ON OUR WEB PAGE...OR THROUGH
FACEBOOK AND TWITTER.

MIZ004-005-010>014-084-085-032100-
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-
SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
354 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014 /254 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE UPPER PENINSULA
FROM WATERSMEET AND L'ANSE TO MARQUETTE AND ESCANABA. THE SNOW
WILL CREATE SLICK ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS FOR THE EVENING COMMUTE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE. THE PUBLIC MAY ALSO PROVIDE REPORTS
BY USING THE SUBMIT STORM REPORT OPTION ON OUR WEB PAGE...OR THROUGH
FACEBOOK AND TWITTER.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-032100-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM-SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-
BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI-
ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI-
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING
KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI-
MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-
GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE
CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE
ROYALE NATIONAL PARK-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU
ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
354 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014 /254 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SOUTHERLY GALES OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING OVER THE EAST HALF OF LAKE SUPERIOR. SEE THE LATEST
MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE AND OPEN WATER FORECAST FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF WESTERLY GALES OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS ARE ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE AND
OPEN WATER FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

LMZ221-248-250-032100-
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
354 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

MIZ006-007-032100-
ALGER-LUCE-
354 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CREATE SLICK ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MINOR BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE
IN ALGER AND LUCE COUNTIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO 10 TO 13 FOOT
WAVE ACTION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE. THE PUBLIC MAY ALSO PROVIDE REPORTS
BY USING THE SUBMIT STORM REPORT OPTION ON OUR WEB PAGE...OR THROUGH
FACEBOOK AND TWITTER.

MPC/AK

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 2, 3:34 PM EST, 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
334 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014

MIZ004>007-010>014-085-022300-
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-
SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...L'ANSE...GWINN...MARQUETTE...
GRAND MARAIS...MUNISING...NEWBERRY...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN...
MENOMINEE...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE...SENEY
334 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014 /234 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2014/

...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...

AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING EAST OVER MINNESOTA...LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN WISCONSIN AND
MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL UPPER PENINSULA THROUGH THE REST
OF THE AFTERNOON. AREAS FROM WATERSMEET TO IRON MOUNTAIN TO
MARQUETTE CAN EXPECT THIS SNOW TO ARRIVE OVER THE NEXT ONE TO TWO
HOURS AND DROP AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW BY THE START OF THE EVENING.
EXPECT AREA ROADWAYS TO BECOME SLICK FOR THE EVENING COMMUTE IN
THESE AREAS. THIS SNOW WILL THEN SPREAD EAST INTO THE MUNISING TO
NEWBERRY AREAS BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

MPC

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Weather, Luce

When
December 2, 4:00 PM EST to December 3, 4:00 PM EST
Where
Luce forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
46.368, -85.509 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The spotter near Pine Stump Junction estimated nine inches of lake effect snow over a 24-hour period.

Winter Weather, Alger

When
December 2, 5:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Alger forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
46.451, -86.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The spotter 15 miles south of Wetmore estimated between two and three inches of lake effect snow fell in less than five hours.

Winter Weather, Delta

When
December 2, 5:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Delta forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
45.792, -86.871 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The spotter 15 miles south of Wetmore estimated between two and three inches of lake effect snow fell in less than five hours.

Winter Weather, Southern Houghton

When
December 3, 2:30 AM EST to 2:30 PM EST
Where
Southern Houghton forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
46.992, -88.652 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

There was a public report of six inches of lake effect snow in 12 hours at Nisula.

What these are

Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Michigan in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, December 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 550084, 550081, 550082, 550083.