The Green River rose above flood stage due to a combination of melting snow and light rainfall. After a major winter storm on the 2nd and 3rd, temperatures rose into the 60's and 70's by the 10th.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The Green River rose above flood stage due to a combination of melting snow and light rainfall. After a major winter storm on the 2nd and 3rd, temperatures rose into the 60's and 70's by the 10th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 8, 2:42 PM CST, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 242 PM CST Sat Mar 8 2014 .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday Night) ISSUED AT 242 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2014 Still having fun with radar trends this afternoon. Now have a sliver of likely PoPs to account for the narrow band of shower activity stretching from Perry County Missouri eastward across southern Illinois. The SREF and NAM both represent this band well this afternoon, but weaken it quickly this evening and have nothing overnight. Followed a blend of the two for PoPs through the evening. Very minor QPF is expected and any shower activity should be over before temperatures get cold enough for snow to reach the round. Observations today indicate colder air and more cloud cover behind the front than previously expected. Tried to account for that through the evening, but it should be clearing out from north to south late this evening and overnight. Likewise, north winds around 10 mph will prevail this evening behind the front, but they will weaken overnight. If the wind becomes calm, may have to watch for more fog and extremely low clouds to develop by sunrise. This would be most likely over northern portions of the area and into the northern half of southeast Missouri, including KCGI. The consensus of guidance should be close for lows tonight. Plenty of sun, and light and variable winds can be expected Sunday with surface high pressure overhead. Once again consensus guidance should be close for highs, but went just a bit above in many locations. The lone exception was in and around New Madrid county where the snowpack is likely to still hold temperatures down a few degrees. Southwest winds will prevail throughout the area Sunday night and then really pick up and become gusty on Monday. This should lead to a mild night and a very pleasant day. Went on the warm end of guidance for highs Monday and stayed close to consensus for lows. Winds will subside some Monday night as a weak surface boundary dips southward toward the area. Undercut guidance a bit in a few locations, mainly across southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois, where the winds will be the weakest. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday) ISSUED AT 242 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2014 At the beginning of the extended forecast period, the WFO PAH forecast area experiences the last influence of the southwestern U.S. closed low/wave that has been in place since the beginning of the week. At 7 am CDT Tuesday, the southern stream low closes off once again in southern Texas, while a northern stream shortwave trough pushes southeast from the upper Midwest, east of the western U.S. ridge. The net effect of the southern Texas low allows both the northern and southern streams to come into phase, supporting the development of a narrow, but long surface trough and cold front, with a dryline stretching into southwest Texas. The net warm front develops and remains north of the WFO PAH forecast area, keeping the local area embedded in the warm sector. In addition, warm air advection is maximized, leading to temperatures nearly 15 degrees above normal for early March (upper 60s to lower 70s forecast Tuesday afternoon). With most of the shear and limited instability remaining post-frontal, the primary focus will be a 18 to 24 hour period of mainly light rain showers from Tuesday night into Wednesday. Although the impact of the increased insolation in March will be noticeable with respect to precipitation type (liquid rain), strong cold air advection behind will still lead to max/min temperatures falling some 5 to 10 degrees below normal on Wednesday and Thursday behind the cold front and building high pressure ridge. Temperatures should recover to near seasonable normals by Friday as the upper ridge moves over and the surface ridge shifts east bringing a return southerly flow of winds and temperatures to the region. Temperatures and dewpoints are reflected by a slightly adjusted (temperatures move spatially northeast) Canadian numerical guidance with some influence of the 12z GFS. Sky cover is primarily influenced by the GFS and with the remaining sensible weather elements a consensus blend. Note: Although the forecast insolation and atmosphere will not have changed appreciably from today's package to Sunday's, the time offset of max/min temperature occurrence will be delayed by approximately one hour. This will more accurately reflected in the Sunday forecast package following the conversion to daylight savings time. && .AVIATION... ISSUED AT 1153 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014 Not exactly a fun set of TAFs this morning. The cold front has reached KCGI and will spread east through all sites by 21Z. Am expecting that the IFR ceilings in and around KPAH will mix out before the front arrives, but the way things have gone this morning, take that with a grain of salt. Assuming that VFR conditions are achieved before the front arrives, there will be a quick increase in mid-level clouds right behind the front, but the MVFR ceilings will be delayed around 3 hours behind the wind shift. Am reasonably confident in at least MVFR ceilings for awhile behind the front, with KCGI having the longest duration and KEVV the shortest. Some scattered light showers will also be possible at all sites late this afternoon and this evening. Skies should clear out by morning, but winds will be weakening as well. This could lead to yet another round of fog or very low ceilings by daybreak. This would be most likely KCGI, and IFR conditions have been added to the forecast there. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && SHORT TERM...DRS LONG TERM...Smith AVIATION...DRS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 432 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-091100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 432 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred along the Green River near Paradise. There was minor flooding of fields and woodlands near the river.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, March 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 501452.