Kentucky, 2014

Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Kentucky, February 2 to 3, 2014

February 2 to 3, 2014 · NWS JKL · 6 events in 6 counties and zones

A well developed area of low pressure that passed across the Tennessee valley region brought freezing precipitation and snow to portions of eastern Kentucky on February 2nd and 3rd. The bulk of precipitation that occurred with this system fell in the form of sleet and freezing rain.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.

A well developed area of low pressure that passed across the Tennessee valley region brought freezing precipitation and snow to portions of eastern Kentucky on February 2nd and 3rd. The bulk of precipitation that occurred with this system fell in the form of sleet and freezing rain. Light accumulations of both contributed to slick roads and numerous car accidents in several counties north of the Mountain Parkway. Some snow also accompanied the system, with 3 to 4 inches reported across portions of Fleming county.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 2, 3:09 PM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 3:09 PM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
309 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 309 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
THIS AFTERNOON AND PRESENTLY EXTENDS FROM MARTIN COUNTY...BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST TO MCCREARY COUNTY. THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD PUSH ON THROUGH
THE LAST OF EASTERN KENTUCKY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH
TEMPERATURES BEGINNING THEIR RATHER QUICK DECENT. TEMPERATURES BEHIND
THE FRONT HAVE ALREADY FALLEN INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S ACROSS THE FAR
NORTH. THIS IS IN LINE WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...SO OUR
TEMPERATURES SEEM TO BE RUNNING FAIRLY CLOSE TO EXPECTED VALUES.
MEANWHILE...PRECIPITATION IS ALREADY LOADING UP UPSTREAM...WITH
RADAR RETURNS RAMPING UP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THIS
PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD EASTERN KENTUCKY OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...WITH MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED AT THE ONSET. WITH TEMPERATURES
ALREADY INTO THE LOWER 30S IN THE NORTH...WE COULD SEE SNOW AT THE
ONSET. A STRONG FRONTOGENETICAL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT...WITH IMPRESSIVE OMEGA EXPECTED
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. A CROSS SECTION ACROSS
EASTERN KENTUCKY REVEALS A NEGATIVE AREA OF SATURATED EQUIVALENT
POTENTIAL TEMPERATURE...SUGGESTING SOME POSSIBLE ELEVATED THUNDER
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALL OF THIS POINTS TO SOME PRETTY
IMPRESSIVE SNOWFALL RATES AS THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW TAKES
PLACE. THUS...GIVEN THE EXPECT 0.75 TO 0.90 OF LIQUID MODELS ARE
PUTTING OUT ACROSS THE NORTH...A BAND OF 6 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOWFALL
CERTAINLY SEEMS POSSIBLE AND PERHAPS EVEN LIKELY. BASED ON UPSTREAM
TRENDS...IT APPEARS THE I-64 CORRIDOR SEEMS TO THE BE THE TARGET
GROUND FOR THE BEST SNOWFALL. PLAN TO INTRODUCE SOME THUNDER INTO THE
FORECAST GIVEN THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY. WILL ALSO INCREASE THE
WORDING TO HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS. NO CHANGES PLANNED
TO CURRENT HEADLINES.

LOOKS LIKE WE SHOULD SEE A FAIRLY SHARP GRADIENT WITH SNOWFALL
TONIGHT AS THE THE COLD AIR BLEEDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST...SLOWLY
CHANGING PRECIPITATION OVER. THIS CHANGEOVER MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL VERY
LATE TONIGHT...IF AT ALL...WITH SOUTHEAST AREAS POSSIBLY STAYING RAIN
OR EVEN FREEZING RAIN. FREEZING RAIN SHOULD NOT BE A HUGE IMPACT
HOWEVER...AS TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONLY FALL TO JUST AROUND 32 BY 7 AM
MONDAY MORNING...AND WITH RECENT MILD WEATHER...MAY NOT BE A BIG
IMPACT. REGARDLESS...A FEW SLICK SPOTS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AND
PLAN TO RIDE WITH THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY MAY ONLY SEE A DUSTING TO AN INCH OF
SNOWFALL.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN MONDAY MORNING...BEFORE COMING TO AN END
ACROSS THE EAST BY MIDDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE HELD DOWN
ACROSS THE NORTH WITH THE FRESH SNOW...WHILE AREAS IN THE SOUTH MAY
RECOVER BACK TO AROUND 40 BY THE AFTERNOON. BY MONDAY NIGHT...FRESH
SNOW COVER AND CLEARING SKIES WILL ALLOW A QUICK DROP OFF IN
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTH...WITH VALLEY LOCATIONS LIKELY FALLING
INTO THE LOW 20S FOR LOWS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

THE MODELS START OUT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A TROUGH ON THE
SOUTHERN STREAM EXTENDING SOUTH FROM COLORADO TO THE THE SONORA
DESSERT. THERE IS ANOTHER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM IDAHO TO UTAH ON THE
NORTHERN STREAM. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN MICHIGAN TO
SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA ON THE NORTHERN STREAM AND ANOTHER FRONT LIES
ALONG THE GULF COAST. A LOW IS FORECAST TO FORM ON THE FRONT OVER
LOUISIANA ON TUESDAY MORNING. THE LOW WITH STRENGTHEN AND MOVE TO
THE NORTHEAST AS THE NORTHERN STREAM COLD FRONT ALSO DIP TO THE
SOUTH. THE UPPER LOWS LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE PHASING AND THIS WILL
BRING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. THE SURFACE
LOW THAT WAS ORIGINALLY OVER LOUISIANA...WILL PUMP SOME MOISTURE UP
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. THE MAIN LOW WILL EVENTUALLY PASS TO THE NORTH
OF THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF THE PHASING UPPER TROUGHS AND THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL GIVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM THAT COULD RESULT IN SOME INITIAL
LOCALIZED FLOODING FOLLOW BY SOME HIGH RIVERS. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
OUT OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW AND
THEN BECOME ALL SNOW AS A LAST GASP AS THE SYSTEM EXITS. VERY LITTLE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AS THE LAST OF THE SNOW MOVES INTO VIRGINIA
ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .

THE UPPER AIR BECOMES MORE ZONAL ON WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER BY FRIDAY
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL DROP INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL ENTER INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND REMAIN UNSETTLED
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 100 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

IFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE AS A COLD FRONT REMAINS JUST SOUTH OF THE
AREA. THE MODELS ARE PREDICTING THAT A WAVE WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT
AND PASS TO THE SOUTH OF AREA. AS THIS FRONT NEARS...IT WILL
ENERGIZE THE FRONT AND WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD RAIN TO TURN TO SNOW THE
QUESTION IS WHERE THE CUT OFF IS BETWEEN THE RAIN AND THE SNOW AND IF
THERE WILL BE ANY FREEZING RAIN AT THE TAF STATIONS. SOME OF THE TAF
MOS SOLUTIONS HAD SOME FREEZING PRECIPITATION PREDICTED AT THE TAF
STATIONS...HOWEVER FROM DOING TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON THE NAM BUFFER
SOUNDINGS...THE FREEZING PRECIPITATION LOOKS VERY UNLIKELY. IT IS
POSSIBLE...THAT SME AND LONDON MAY NOT HAVE MUCH SNOW BUT BE MORE OF
A RAIN AND SNOW MIX. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE
LOW TRACK WHICH COULD CAUSE BIG ADJUST TO THE FORECAST. THE AREA
NORTH OF I 64 IS THE MOST LIKELY TO SEE THE HEAVY SNOW.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR KYZ044-050>052.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST MONDAY
FOR KYZ058>060-104-106-108-111.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY FOR KYZ079-080-110-113-115>117-119-120.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EST MONDAY
FOR KYZ083>088-118.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY
FOR KYZ068-069-107-109-112-114.

&&

SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM...JJ
AVIATION...JJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 4:00 PM EST, 2 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
400 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

KYZ044-050>052-032100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
400 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FALLING HEAVY AT TIMES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES EXPECTED.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...AS
WELL AS FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

KYZ058>060-104-106-108-111-032100-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE
400 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FALLING HEAVY AT TIMES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY MORNING...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 9 INCHES EXPECTED.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...AS
WELL AS FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

KYZ079-080-110-113-115>117-119-120-032100-
PULASKI-LAUREL-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...LONDON...PRESTONSBURG...
HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
400 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN WITH THE SNOW
AT TIMES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY MORNING...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES EXPECTED.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...AS
WELL AS FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

KYZ083>088-118-032100-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG
400 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY MORNING...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...AS
WELL AS FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY.

KYZ068-069-107-109-112-114-032100-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...PAINTSVILLE...
SALYERSVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE
400 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FALLING HEAVY AT TIMES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY EVENING...AS
WELL AS FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

KAS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 winter storm, 1 winter weather, 1 sleet. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Fleming

When
February 2, 6:00 PM EST to February 3, 10:42 AM EST
Where
Fleming forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
38.370, -83.697 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Three and a half inches of snow fell 2 miles north of Flemingsburg. Sleet mixed in with the snow over the southern end of the county reducing snowfall amounts there.

Winter Storm, Bath

When
February 2, 6:00 PM EST to February 3, 10:42 AM EST
Where
Bath forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.145, -83.743 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At least half an inch of sleet had fallen along the Bath and Menifee county line. Up to 2 inches of snow later accumulated on top of the layer of sleet. A quarter to a half an inch of sleet accumulation had occurred in Owingsville, causing cars to slide off the road and into the median.

Winter Weather, Montgomery

When
February 2, 8:00 PM EST to 11:29 PM EST
Where
Montgomery forecast zone
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
38.034, -83.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A slushy layer of sleet covered the roads in Mount Sterling with up to 2 inches of snow across the county.

Sleet, Menifee

When
February 2, 8:00 PM EST to February 3, 10:42 AM EST
Where
Menifee forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
37.941, -83.599 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Half an inch of sleet had fallen in Wellington.

Winter Storm, Rowan

When
February 2, 9:00 PM EST to February 3, 10:42 AM EST
Where
Rowan forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.196, -83.421 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Up to an inch of sleet and freezing had accumulated and was later covered by less than an inch of snow fall.

Winter Storm, Elliott

When
February 2, 9:00 PM EST to February 3, 10:42 AM EST
Where
Elliott forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.118, -83.098 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At least half an inch of sleet and freezing rain accumulated in Sandy Hook overnight and was later covered by 2 inches of new snow fall.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.
Sleet
Sleet accumulating half an inch or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, February 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 493224, 493236, 493220, 493246, 493235, 493237.