Rivers continued to recede after heavy rainfall in late December. The heavy rainfall was caused by a slow-moving cold front that passed across the Lower Ohio and Mid Mississippi Valleys between December 20th and 22nd.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Rivers continued to recede after heavy rainfall in late December. The heavy rainfall was caused by a slow-moving cold front that passed across the Lower Ohio and Mid Mississippi Valleys between December 20th and 22nd. Several low pressure systems moved north-northeast along the front, touching off numerous showers and thunderstorms. The rivers fell below flood stage in early January.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 11:38 PM CST, 22 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1138 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2013 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 1133 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013 Updated the aviation discussion for the 06Z TAF issuance. UPDATE ISSUED AT 938 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013 It appears high thin clouds over most of the PAH forecast area will be with us into part of the overnight hours. With a srly breeze, and the clouds, the diurnal drop in temps may be temporarily slowed or stopped, but should achieve forecast lows by daybreak. && .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday) ISSUED AT 203 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013 The primary forecast concern remains the potential for light wintry precipitation Wednesday night into Thursday. Models have come into much better alignment with regard to precipitation type and timing over the past 24 hours. Although still the driest model, the NAM12 is now wetter than it has been. Meanwhile, the ECMWF is faster than its predecessors, and tremendously lighter with its QPF forecast. However, the most consistent model over the past few days appears to be the GFS; thus it is the model that carries the greatest weighting in our current forecast. Much of the precipitation event is forecast to occur within a 6 hour period at any one location, with the emphasis on Wednesday night as the mid level wave approaches. Model forecast soundings indicate the precipitation may start out as light rain at the onset. However, since most of the event will be post-frontal, the greater majority will fall as snow. Model QPF forecasts generally paint less than a tenth of an inch near the Arkansas and Tennessee borders, up to about two tenths of an inch near Interstate 64. Using a transition from a 10:1 snow ratio at the beginning of the event to a 14:1 ratio by the end of the event, our total snow accumulation forecast arrives at as much as 2 inches along Interstate 64, tapered down to an inch or so over southern sections of Missouri and Kentucky. This would generally be below advisory criteria except for far northern portions of southern Illinois into southwest Indiana. Later shifts may need to address the issuance of an advisory in this area if forecast remains on track. The snow will taper off from west to east late Wednesday night and Thursday morning as the wave departs. Southwest Indiana and the Pennyrile region of western Kentucky will be the last areas to see the snow come to an end. By Thursday afternoon, clearing will already be working its way across the region. Given the strong cold air advection behind the front, temperatures on Thursday will likely remain nearly steady in the mid to upper 20s throughout the day. Until the system approaches, dry weather will continue tonight into Wednesday as high pressure shifts to our east and a front lingers over the Missouri Valley. This will promote a southerly breeze which should keep temperatures from falling too drastically tonight, with lows in the mid to upper 20s. New Years Day promises to be the mildest day of the week as temperatures surge into the mid and upper 40s by afternoon. .LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday) ISSUED AT 203 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013 The start of the long term portion of the forecast begins with the departure of our mid week weather system. With its departure, we get a punch of cold air, that drops Thursday night lows into the teens. Notice we see 850mb isotherms in the -6C to -12C range migrate across the FA by 12z Friday. This helps keeps temps largely in the 20s for Friday daytime highs. The profile warms as we head into the weekend. Warm air advection kicks in Friday night through Saturday, ahead of the developing next weather system. We should be back into the 40s for highs by Saturday. In comes our next precipitation chance beginning Saturday night. With boundary layer temps in the 40s, it should start as rain across the south. As the front begins passage late Saturday night, boundary layer temps begin to cool, supporting a changeover first across the north late Saturday night into early Sunday. The front makes slow progress thru the remainder of the FA Sunday, and precip ultimately changes over to all snow by Sunday night. Very cold air will start to settle into the area then, but precip should shut off by midnight as the profile is already drying then. At this time, light accumulations are expected. The primary impact of this system will be the arctic blast it brings for early next week. The ECMWF shows 850mb temp drawdown to -20C or colder, while the GFS suggests numbers about 5C warmer. Either way, single digit lows, and sub freezing highs are expected to start next week. && .AVIATION... ISSUED AT 1133 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013 VFR conditions expected at all sites through the period. May see -RASN at KCGI/KEVV between 04-06Z. Southerly winds aob 10 knots through 03Z, then variable aob 5 knots. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && PUBLIC...DB AVIATION...JP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 309 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-011100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 309 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT MAINLY MINOR RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE...AS DETAILED IN THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY LIGHT SNOW IS LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME SLICK ROADWAYS. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SNOW LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION APPEARS POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME. MAINLY MINOR RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. RJP
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding lingered along the Ohio River through the first week of 2014. Low-lying fields and woodlands were underwater, along with river access roads and a boat ramp.
Minor flooding lingered along the Ohio River through the first few days of 2014. Low-lying fields and woodlands were flooded, including riverside parks. River access roads were flooded.
Minor flooding lingered along the Ohio River through the first couple days of 2014. Low-lying fields and woodlands were flooded.
Minor flooding lingered along the Little Wabash River for the first few days of 2014. Some county roads were inundated. Low-lying fields and woodlands were underwater.
Minor flooding lingered along the Wabash River through the first few days of 2014. Low-lying woods and fields were underwater.
Minor flooding lingered along the Wabash River for the first few days of 2014. Several local river roads were flooded. All oil field production ceased with the exception of pumping units on substructures. Access to these was by boat only. Many river cabins were inaccessible.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, January 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 489900, 489901, 489902, 489904, 489906, 489907.