California, 2014

Wildfire in California, July 3 to 9, 2014

July 3 to 9, 2014 · NWS MFR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Lightning and dry fuels combined on July 3rd to spark the Gulch fire. The last report on this fire on 07/09/14 stated that the fire held at 1469 acres and was 100% contained.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.

Lightning and dry fuels combined on July 3rd to spark the Gulch fire. The last report on this fire on 07/09/14 stated that the fire held at 1469 acres and was 100% contained. As of 07/09/14, 1.6 million dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 3, 1:31 PM PST, 2 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 1:31 PM PST, 2 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
231 PM PDT THU JUL 3 2014

.DISCUSSION...AS EXPECTED, MARINE STRATUS HELD STRONG WELL INTO
THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST AND NORTH OF THE UMPQUA DIVIDE. AS
OF 2 PM, TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY IN THE UPPER 60S AT ROSEBURG. CAN
SEE THE STRATUS ERODING AND BECOMING MORE OF A STRATOCUMULUS DECK
TO THE NORTH IN THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY, SO EXPECT THIS TO OCCUR
FARTHER SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON SUCH THAT SKIES TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY
AT LEAST FOR AWHILE INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

CUMULUS ARE DEVELOPING EAST OF THE CASCADES, BUT THE ATMOSPHERE IS
CAPPED IN MOST AREAS AND EXPECT THIS IS HOW THEY'LL STAY. HRRR AND
THE NAM12 ARE INDICATING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWA THIS EVENING, PERHAPS
IN NORTHERN WASHOE, NORTHWEST HUMBOLDT OR SOUTHERN HARNEY COUNTY,
BUT SHOULD STAY OUT OF OUR PUBLIC ZONES.

WE'LL HAVE TO DEAL WITH ANOTHER MARINE PUSH TONIGHT, BUT THE
MARINE LAYER IS EXPECTED TO BE SHALLOWER AND LIKELY WON'T EXTEND
AS FAR INLAND AS LAST NIGHT.

A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA ON
INDEPENDENCE DAY. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AND SOME OF THESE WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE EAST OF THE
CASCADES. IT'LL ALSO MIX DOWN SIGNFICANTLY DRY AIR. WINDS COMBINED
WITH LOW AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS RESULTED IN THE
ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST SIDE AND
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SEE RFWMFR AND THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION
BELOW FOR THE SPECIFICS.

DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
AND TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE BACK INTO THE UPPER 90S FOR
HIGHS IN THE VALLEYS WEST OF THE CASCADES AND IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. EAST SIDE AREAS WILL GET BACK INTO THE LOWER 90S. A
STRONG RIDGE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE GREAT BASIN AND THIS WILL ALLOW
HEIGHTS TO RISE OVER SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY
NEXT WEEK. MODEL 850 TEMPS REACH APPROXIMATELY 23-25C MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, WHICH WOULD BRING A RETURN OF TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT TO MANY
AREAS.

THE FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY WEST OF THE CASCADES
INTO MIDWEEK, BUT IT WILL BE MORE SOUTHERLY FROM NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE CASCADES AND EASTWARD BEGINNING
TUESDAY AND PERSISTING THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW MOISTURE
TO RETURN FROM THE SOUTH, WHILE SHORT WAVE ACTIVITY INCREASES ON
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. AT THIS POINT, IT'S STILL
EARLY TO SAY WITH MUCH CONFIDENCE WHERE AND WHEN THE BEST CHANCES
OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE. BUT, AS IT STANDS, WE HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SPILDE

&&

.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 03/18Z TAFS...
MARINE LAYER STRATUS WILL BE SLOW TO BURN OFF TODAY...WITH MOST
AREAS ALONG THE COAST AND INTO THE UMPQUA BASIN NOT CLEARING OUT
UNTIL THE EARLY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE AND ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO RETURN TO THE COAST LATER
TONIGHT...BUT INLAND SPREAD SHOULD NOT BE AS EXTENSIVE AS THIS
MORNING. -BPN

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED THURSDAY 3 JULY 300 PM PDT...
NORTHERLY WINDS AND SHORT PERIOD SEAS WILL SUBSIDE ON FRIDAY AS A
LOW APPROACHES THE REGION AND WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER
THE WATERS. THE OFFSHORE HIGH WILL STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE INTENSIFIES INLAND. STRONGER NORTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING
SHORT PERIOD SEAS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. RES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MODELS SHOW 700MB WINDS INCREASING BETWEEN 25 AND
30 KTS LATE FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THEY SHOW
THE WINDS WEAKENING SOME LATER IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT STILL
REMAINING ELEVATED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WINDS NEAR 600 MB ARE
SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND SOME OF THOSE STRONGER WINDS COULD MIX DOWN
NEAR THE SURFACE. AT THE SAME TIME, VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ARE EXPECTED RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF INDEPENDENCE DAY FROM THE SHASTA VALLEY
AND UPPER KLAMATH BASIN EASTWARD. NEW STARTS FROM RECENT LIGHTNING
AND FIREWORKS WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF RAPID FIRE
SPREAD. CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE WE'LL REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR
PARTS OF FIRE ZONES 624, 625, 284 AND 285. AT THIS TIME WERE NOT
EXPECTING GUSTY WINDS TO LAST LONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT RED FLAG
CONDITIONS IN WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY AND SHASTA VALLEY. A HEAT
WAVE WILL BEGIN THIS WEEKEND AND IS LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH AT
LEAST MID-WEEK. THE MODELS SUGGEST THE NEXT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT NORTHERN CAL BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
-PETRUCELLI

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR ORZ624-625.

CA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR CAZ284-285.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 11 AM
     PDT FRIDAY FOR PZZ376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 11 AM PDT FRIDAY
     FOR PZZ376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
     PZZ356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY
     FOR PZZ356.

MAS/MAP/RES/BPN

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Modoc County

When
July 3, 4:30 PM PST to July 9, 12:00 AM PST
Where
Modoc County forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
41.590, -120.725 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Lightning and dry fuels combined on July 3rd to spark the Gulch fire. The last report on this fire on 07/09/14 stated that the fire held at 1469 acres and was 100% contained. As of 07/09/14, 1.6 million dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in California, July 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 528802.