A thunderstorm produced heavy rain over Oak Creek Canyon.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
A thunderstorm produced heavy rain over Oak Creek Canyon.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 9:30 AM MST, 3 hours earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 930 AM MST SUN JUL 6 2014 .SYNOPSIS...A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS ARIZONA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH SOME STORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. && .DISCUSSION...A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS RESIDES ACROSS AZ TODAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER /PW/ WAS 1.05 INCHES THIS MORNING WHICH IS IN THE 95TH PERCENTILE. THE 12Z SOUNDING ALSO HAD ABUNDANT INSTABILITY WITH A MIXED PARCEL SHOWING AROUND 700 TO 800 J/KG OF CAPE AND IS ABOUT THE 80TH PERCENTILE. THE COMBINATION OF VERY HIGH PW AND LARGE INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TODAY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION THIS MORNING SHOWS AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WHICH IS PRODUCING A LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS NRN AZ. GIVEN THIS SETUP EXPECT STORMS TO FORM ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF OF NRN AZ THEN SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WITH THE WEAK STEERING FLOW ALOFT STORM MOTION WILL PROBABLY BE DRIVEN IN PART BY OUTFLOWS. WITH SLOW MOVING STORMS...THE MAIN THREAT TODAY WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING. MODELS INDICATE A CONTINUATION OF THE PATTERN WITH DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NRN AZ FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. && .AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT INCREASING CLOUD THIS MORNING WITH BASES 5-7KFT AGL. SCT TO NMRS SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING WITH ISOLD +TSRA THROUGH 03Z MONDAY. PRECIP COVERAGE DECREASING SLOWLY THIS EVENING. PSBL MVFR/IFR VSBY/CIGS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. && .FIRE WEATHER... A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD AND FREQUENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY...SOME STORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AMPLE MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER ARIZONA. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY...WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && PUBLIC.........DB AVIATION.......DL FIRE WEATHER...PETERSON FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 1000 AM MST SUN JUL 6 2014 AZZ004>018-037>040-070700- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS- MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY- 1000 AM MST SUN JUL 6 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOVE TOWARDS LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STEERING WINDS ALOFT ARE WEAK TODAY AND STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING THUS THERE IS AN ENHANCED THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EXPECT AN ACTIVE PERIOD OF DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK...WITH AN ENHANCED THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain fell over Oak Creek Canyon including the Slide Fire scar. Debris flowed across Highway 89 in the switchback area and trapped one car.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 535007.