Winter Storm, Coffee
- When
- January 28, 1:00 PM EST to January 29, 7:00 AM EST
- Where
- Coffee forecast zone
- Property damage
- $200,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 31.403, -85.988 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The third winter storm to impact the NWS Tallahassee County warning area in five years brought a wintry mix of precipitation to virtually the entire forecast area. The predominant precipitation types were sleet and freezing rain, although snow did fall across portions of southeast Alabama.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
The third winter storm to impact the NWS Tallahassee County warning area in five years brought a wintry mix of precipitation to virtually the entire forecast area. The predominant precipitation types were sleet and freezing rain, although snow did fall across portions of southeast Alabama. Up to 1 inch of snow was reported in Houston county. Total liquid equivalent estimates were greater than a quarter inch across all of southeast Alabama. In Dale county, around 41 trees were knocked down due to the weight of the ice, and power outages occurred across all of southeast Alabama with treacherous road conditions.
On the morning of January 28th, there was a trough approaching from the west with moist southwest flow and precipitation ahead of it over the Southeast. At the surface, a cold front was stalled across north central Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. However, the deep arctic air was still well north of our region. During the day, the precipitation changed over to snow and/or sleet in places like Atlanta, Birmingham, Macon, and Mobile, as progressively colder air flowed into the region. This caused major traffic problems, especially in Atlanta. | |Late in the afternoon and early evening the rain began to change to freezing rain and sleet in portions of Southeast Alabama, Southwest Georgia, and western portions of the Florida Panhandle. There appeared to be a secondary cold front (a fairly common occurrence when arctic air moves southward) that helped accelerate the advance of the cold air and changeover to freezing/frozen precipitation during the evening.
During the night (January 28th January 29th) the cold air continued to spread south and east. By the morning of January 29th, many locations in our forecast area had changed to either freezing rain, sleet, or a mix. Much drier air in the mid to upper atmosphere overspread Southeast Alabama and Southwest Georgia. This caused the precipitation to end there during the morning hours. However, light wintry precipitation lingered across the Florida Big Bend throughout the day, as the upper level trough continued to approach from the west. The combination of the unusually cold air and thick clouds prevented many locations from getting above freezing, a very rare occurrence in the Deep South.
The Wednesday morning surface chart showed the main cold front finally on the move again through South Florida, while high pressure and very cold, dry air continued to infiltrate the Gulf Coast Region. This precipitation tapered off during the evening as the atmosphere dried out.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 28, 10:52 AM EST, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1052 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2014
...Accumulating Ice and Snow Expected Today and Tonight...
.Near Term [Through Today]...
Rare winter storm is beginning to unfold across the region this
morning. Regional radar shows precipitation spreading from central
Louisiana eastward into southern Mississippi and central Alabama.
This precipitation will continue to increase through the day and
slowly sag southward as a potent shortwave digs southward to the
central Gulf Coast. At the surface, the cold front has pushed
through the forecast area with a shallow arctic airmass moving
south in its wake. Temperatures have fallen into the mid 30s
across the northwestern third of the forecast area, with 40s and
50s across the remainder of the forecast area.
Temperatures will remain steady or slowly fall through the
remainder of the day as the cold air settles in. Light sleet and
freezing rain is expected to begin in SE Alabama and the northern
Florida Panhandle late this morning, with rain expected elsewhere.
The precip over the northwestern counties will increase and
transition to mostly freezing rain early this afternoon...
primarily north and west of a line from Blakely to Defuniak
Springs. Travel will likely become treacherous quickly across this
area this afternoon.
Very few changes made to the previous forecast grids this morning.
Only change was to add sleet for SE Alabama during the onset of
precip this morning.
&&
.Prev Discussions [701 AM EST]...
.Short Term [Tonight Through Thursday]...
Our rare winter event will peak during the onset of the short term
period. Expect widespread precipitation tonight with the large scale
ascent and deep layer moisture in place. Sub-freezing temperatures
will gradually spread south and east with the strong cold air
advection in the wake of the Arctic front. By daybreak Wednesday,
all but the southeast Big Bend zones should see freezing
temperatures. This coincides well with the outline of the Winter
Storm Warning which will remain unchanged. I've dropped temperatures
just a few degrees for our northwest and northernmost zones tonight
and adjusted weather grids accordingly for precip type. This means
we could see a changeover to light snow possibly mixed with ice
pellets around 00z or shortly thereafter across SE AL and gradually
spreading into our NW GA zones and the western FL panhandle by 06z.
Otherwise, there were only minor changes to inherited forecast
through Wednesday. We still expect total ice accumulations near or
just under one-quarter inch for this event in an area generally
across our SE AL zones and northern GA zones. This will have to be
monitored closely as more than that will require an Ice Storm
Warning. We also could see snow amounts on the order of 1 to 2
inches generally north of a line from northern Walton County, FL to
just north of Albany GA.
The wintry precip will be tapering off from north to south as a much
drier airmass filters in with the deepening upper trough and surface
high building in. It will be a very cold day Wednesday with max
temps only in the lower to mid 30s for all but the SE Big Bend where
upper 30s look more likely. We also may see a few lingering showers
in the SE Big Bend late in the day. A hard freeze looks likely over
all or most of the Tri-state region Wednesday night with min temps
possibly down into the teens for our northern and most of our
western zones.
.Long Term [Thursday Night Through Monday]...
The GFS and ECMWF were in good agreement as their forecast 500 mb
height patterns gradually transition from a fairly zonal one early
in the period, to that of a more amplified (but still progressive)
one by the weekend. After a possible light freeze Friday morning,
our forecast area will undergo a warming trend. Highs will be in
the 60s Friday, then 70s for the weekend and early next week.
Lows will be in the 40s Saturday, then 50s Sunday and Monday. A
weak frontal system will increase PoPs into the 20-30% range
Sunday and Monday.
.Aviation...
[Through 12Z Wednesday] IFR to MVFR conditions at most of the
terminals early this morning are expected to only improve slightly
to MVFR levels as the day progresses, due to a rapidly developing
Winter Storm over the north central Gulf coast. Conditions could
easily worsen back to IFR levels tonight as rain, freezing rain,
sleet, and even snow will overspread will over the terminals from NW
to SE. Both Vis and Cigs could be highly variable given this
situation, and any Taf sites which receive accumulating freezing
rain or snow will likely be saddled with travel delays. The worst
conditions during this event are expected (regarding the frozen
precip) at DHN and ABY, but all of our terminals could be impacted
significantly before the storm is over.
.Marine...
Advisory level conditions will gradually spread from west to east
across the local waters today and tonight. Winds and seas will
remain elevated at these levels at least through Wednesday. A
decrease in winds and seas is expected for the end of the week.
.FIRE WEATHER...
No Red flag conditions are expected during the next several days.
.Hydrology...
No significant hydrology concerns are expected through the next
several days.
&&
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Tallahassee 44 31 36 25 54 / 80 80 50 0 0
Panama City 44 33 38 29 51 / 80 80 40 0 0
Dothan 36 26 33 19 48 / 90 80 20 0 0
Albany 38 28 34 19 49 / 90 80 30 0 0
Valdosta 46 31 36 26 51 / 80 80 50 0 0
Cross City 59 36 39 34 57 / 60 80 50 10 0
Apalachicola 49 35 39 31 52 / 70 80 50 0 0
&&
.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...Winter Storm Warning until 1 PM EST /Noon CST/ Wednesday for
Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal
Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-
Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-
Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-Jackson-Leon-Liberty-Madison-
South Walton-Washington.
GA...Winter Storm Warning until 1 PM EST Wednesday for Baker-Ben Hill-
Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-
Early-Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-Miller-Mitchell-
Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.
AL...Winter Storm Warning until Noon CST Wednesday for Coffee-Dale-
Geneva-Henry-Houston.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
Wednesday for Apalachee Bay-Coastal waters From Ochlockonee
River to Apalachicola FL out to 20 NM-Coastal waters from
Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from
Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Wednesday for Coastal waters
from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from
Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.
&&
NEAR TERM...CAMP
SHORT TERM...BARRY
LONG TERM...FOURNIER
AVIATION...GOULD/HOLLINGSWORTH
MARINE...BARRY
FIRE WEATHER...GOULD
HYDROLOGY...MCDERMOTTThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alabama in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, January 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 491780, 491781, 491782, 491783, 491784.