Washington, 2013

Heavy Snow in Washington, November 2, 2013

November 2, 2013 · NWS SEW · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A Puget Sound convergence zone produced 12 inches of snow at Stevens Pass.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SEW wrote it up.

A Puget Sound convergence zone produced 12 inches of snow at Stevens Pass.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 2, 8:14 AM PST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 2, 8:14 AM PST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
914 AM PDT SAT NOV 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...A 994 MB LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHWEST WASHINGTON THIS
MORNING AND OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG PRESSURE
RISES BEHIND THE LOW WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO MOST OF WESTERN
WASHINGTON THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE TODAY
IN SOME AREAS. AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN THIS MORNING WILL TAPER OFF TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AS THE LOW MOVES EAST. DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BRING A MOSTLY DRY DAY ON SUNDAY. A WEAK OCCLUDED FRONT WILL
BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. A STRONGER
WEATHER SYSTEM MAY REACH THE AREA AROUND MID-WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A 994 MB SURFACE LOW REACHED THE N WA COAST NEAR LA
PUSH AROUND 7 AM THIS MORNING AND IS NOW HEADED INLAND ENE FOR A
DATE WITH VANCOUVER AROUND 2 PM. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN SHOWING
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS DEVELOPING OVER W WA BEHIND THE LOW AS IT
MOVES INLAND. FORECASTS REMAIN UNCHANGED WITH HIGH WIND FORECAST FOR
THE COAST...N INTERIOR...STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA...HOOD CANAL...AND
EVERETT. HIGH WIND HAS ALREADY VERIFIED ON THE COAST AT DESTRUCTION
ISLAND...AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE COMING UP THROUGH PUGET
SOUND...WITH WINDS ALREADY IN THE ADVISORY RANGE. PER THE RUC13 W
WINDS THROUGH THE STRAIT PROBABLY WILL NOT INCREASE UNTIL MIDDAY.
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN WHETHER HIGH WINDS WILL MATERIALIZE
OVER SOME PARTS OF THE N INTERIOR. AND AT SOME POINT THE W FLOW
THROUGH THE STRAIT WILL LIKELY BLOCK THE S WINDS COMING UP THROUGH
PUGET SOUND...ALLOWING THEM TO DECREASE A LITTLE. 1525Z ACARS
SOUNDING FROM KSEA SHOWS 40-45KT SW WINDS AT 2000 FEET AND A
FREEZING LEVEL OF ABOUT 5900 FEET. THE S WINDS THROUGH PUGET SOUND
HAVE ALREADY BEGUN MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE FOR GUSTS TO 45 KT.
PAINE FIELD AND THE EVERGREEN POINT BRIDGE ARE ALREADY CLOSE TO THAT
RANGE.

STRONG NW FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WITH SNOW LEVELS
FALLING QUICKLY TO BELOW PASS LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON...SNOW WILL
BEGIN PILING UP OVER THE CASCADES. THE DURATION OF THE STRONG NW
FLOW SHOULD BE SHORT ENOUGH TO LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS TO THE ADVISORY
RANGE...LESS THAN A FOOT...BUT THE VOLCANOES MAY COME CLOSE. A SNOW
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CASCADES THROUGH TONIGHT.

WITH THE FRONT ALREADY E OF THE AREA THIS MORNING PRECIP OVER THE
LOWLANDS HAS ALREADY BECOME MORE LOCALIZED AND SHOWERY. THIS WILL
REMAIN THE CASE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

DRIER NW FLOW ALOFT IS STILL EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART
OF MONDAY. MODELS ARE PRETTY DRY OVER THE LOWLANDS BUT MOS GUIDANCE
STILL HANGS ON TO CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS. CANNOT RULE OUT A ROGUE
SHOWER BUT IT WILL BE MAINLY DRY.

THE LATEST GFS AND NAM SHOW PRECIP FROM AN APPROACHING WEAK OCCLUDED
FRONT WORKING INLAND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH IS A
LITTLE FASTER THAN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. KAM

.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM THE 245 AM AFD...A WEAKENING
WARM FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...BRINGING A LITTLE RAIN. A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL REACH THE
AREA WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY WITH THE ECMWF 6-12 HOURS SLOWER THAN THE
GEM AND GFS. DRIER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ON FRIDAY.
SCHNEIDER

&&

.HYDROLOGY...FLOODING IS UNLIKELY WITH THIS STORM. THE SYSTEM IS
FAST MOVING AND MOST PRECIPITATION IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF SNOW...WITH THE SNOW LEVEL FALLING TO 2500 FEET BY SUNDAY
MORNING. MORE SYSTEMS ARRIVE LATER NEXT WEEK BUT NONE LOOK WET
ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING. SCHNEIDER

&&

.AVIATION...A 994 MB LOW PRES CENTER WILL CROSS WESTERN WA TODAY
WITH STRONG WEST TO SW WIND ACROSS THE AREA. SURFACE WINDS OF 30 TO
40 KT WILL BE COMMON...WITH GUSTS TO 50-60 KT POSSIBLE. THE WIND
ALOFT IS WEST TO NORTHWEST. CIGS ARE MAINLY MVFR TO LOW-END VFR WITH
SHOWERS. WINDS WILL EASE THIS EVENING AS THIS SURFACE LOW EXITS
EAST...WITH SHOWERS MAINLY AFFECTING THE CASCADES.

KSEA...STRONG S/SW WINDS OF 25-40 KT THROUGH THIS EVENING. WILL SEE
SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE REGION WHICH MAY LOWER CIGS INTO MVFR
RANGE. WINDS WILL EASE THIS EVENING. 33

&&

.MARINE...A 994 MB LOW IS OVER THE NORTH COAST NEAR LA PUSH AND WILL
SHIFT EAST TOWARD KBLI THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO
SOUTHERN B.C. THIS EVENING. STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS DEVELOPING BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM WITH STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND THE
STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA. ELSEWHERE...GALES ARE FORECAST. WINDS WILL
EASE THIS EVENING AS THIS SYSTEM EXITS ALTHOUGH WILL STILL LIKELY
SEE GALES IN THE STRAIT.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH AND CENTRAL COAST.
COMBINED SEAS OF 20-24 FT WILL AFFECT THE COAST STARTING THIS
MORNING AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

IT LOOKS LIKE LOW PRESSURE CROSSING WESTERN WASHINGTON TODAY WILL
NOT COINCIDE WITH HIGH TIDE. HOWEVER...HIGH WIND WAVES FROM STRONG
WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HIGHER TIDAL ANOMALIES. COASTAL FLOODING
STILL LOOKS UNLIKELY...BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH IT THROUGH THE
DAY. 33

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM COAST...NORTH INTERIOR...STRAIT OF
     JUAN DE FUCA AREA...OLYMPICS...EVERETT AND VICINITY...AND HOOD
     CANAL AREA.
    .WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA...TACOMA
     AREA...SOUTHWEST INTERIOR...EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS...AND
     LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA.
    .WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE 2500 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND
     TONIGHT FOR THE NORTH AND CENTRAL CASCADES.

PZ...STORM WARNING COASTAL WATERS...CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT OF JUAN
     DE FUCA.
     GALE WARNING ALL OTHER ZONES.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR BAR.

&&

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 2, 7:54 AM PST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
854 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0816 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  4 ENE SEATTLE           47.64N 122.27W
11/02/2013  M44 MPH          KING               WA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            SUSTAINED WIND ON THE 520 FLOATING BRIDGE PEAKED AT 44
            MPH

&&

HANER
Local storm report, Nov 2, 8:13 AM PST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
913 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WOODINVILLE             47.75N 122.11W
11/02/2013                   KING               WA   PUBLIC

            POWER OUT IN DOWNTOWN WOODINVILLE

0900 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW SEATTLE           47.59N 122.45W
11/02/2013  M60.00 MPH       PZZ135             WA   MESONET

            ALKI POINT REPORTED SUSTAINED 39 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
            ON 9 AM OBSERVATION.

&&

HANER
Local storm report, Nov 2, 8:27 AM PST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
927 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  5 WNW SEATTLE           47.66N 122.44W
11/02/2013  M46 MPH          KING               WA   C-MAN STATION

            WEST POINT LIGHTHOUSE AT DISCOVERY PARK REPORTING
            SUSTAINED 46 MPH GUSTING 53 MPH.

&&

HANER
Local storm report, Nov 2, 8:33 AM PST, 1 hour 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
933 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 7 SSE MOUNT VERNON      48.33N 122.26W
11/02/2013                   SKAGIT             WA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FALLEN TREES WERE BLOCKING ALL LANES OF SR 534 AT COYOTE
            LANE, MILEPOST 4.

&&

HANER
Local storm report, Nov 2, 9:02 AM PST, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1002 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0812 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  WESTPORT                46.89N 124.11W
11/02/2013  M46 MPH          GRAYS HARBOR       WA   MESONET

            SITE AT COAST GUARD STATION MEASURED SUSTAINED 46 MPH
            WITH GUST TO 54 MPH AT 812 AM. LAST MEASURED 44 MPH
            GUSTING 55 MPH AT 936 AM.

&&

HANER
Local storm report, Nov 2, 9:21 AM PST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1021 AM PDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 WNW GRISDALE          47.38N 123.76W
11/02/2013  M63 MPH          GRAYS HARBOR       WA   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 7 W GRISDALE /HUFW1/

&&

NWS SEATTLE WA
IRIS SYSTEM

Event by event

2 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, West Slopes Northern Cascades and Passes

When
November 2, 10:00 AM PST to 10:00 PM PST
Where
West Slopes Northern Cascades and Passes forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service

USFS NWAC station at Stevens Pass measured 12 inches snow in 10 hours ending 10 pm Nov 2.

Heavy Snow, West Slopes Central Cascades and Passes

When
November 2, 10:00 AM PST to 10:00 PM PST
Where
West Slopes Central Cascades and Passes forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service

USFS NWAC station at Stevens Pass measured 12 inches snow in 10 hours ending 10 pm Nov 2.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Washington in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, November 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 479221, 479222.