North Dakota, 2013

Extreme Cold in North Dakota, December 22 to 23, 2013

December 22 to 23, 2013 · NWS BIS · 10 events in 9 counties and zones

Temperatures in the 20s below zero combined with winds of around 10 miles per hour to produce wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero during the evening of the 22nd and the morning of the 23rd.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
10

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS BIS wrote it up.

Temperatures in the 20s below zero combined with winds of around 10 miles per hour to produce wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero during the evening of the 22nd and the morning of the 23rd.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 22, 3:28 PM CST, 4 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 3:28 PM CST, 4 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
328 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 328 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

MAIN FORECAST ISSUE IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD IS THE CONTINUATION
OF COLD TEMPERATURES. FORECAST MODELS ARE MAINLY DRY TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A COLD AIRMASS OVER THE AREA...
SCATTERED FLURRIES OR BRIEF SNOW SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT THIS
AFTERNOON...OR AGAIN MONDAY...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY WAS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...AND FOR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT FOR CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. AFTER UPDATING HOURLY TEMPERATURES
WE ARE GETTING A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA DROPPING INTO THE 40 TO 45 BELOW RANGE FOR
WIND CHILLS LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. HAVE DECIDED TO
UPGRADE THE NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES TO A WIND CHILL WARNING.
ALTHOUGH THE SUB -40 WIND CHILLS DO NOT BEGIN UNTIL LATE THIS
EVENING...AND END BY MID TO LATE MORNING MONDAY...WILL JUST KEEP
THE CURRENT START AND END TIMES TO AVOID UNNECESSARY CONFUSION.

FORECAST LOWS TONIGHT ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE 20 TO 30 BELOW.
THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO WARM UP LATE MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM THAT ENTERS THE WEST MONDAY EVENING. EASTERN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA COULD SEE HIGHS MONDAY AROUND 10 BELOW.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 328 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

HIGHLIGHTS IN THE LONG TERM REVOLVE AROUND POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING
RAIN WEST MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY BRISK
WINDS AND BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN ACTIVE
PERIOD CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT
FORECAST TO SWEEP THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW
FOLLOWED BY FRIGID AIR.

FOR MONDAY NIGHT...AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL RESULT IN THE
PRODUCTION OF A WINTRY MIX WEST...AND LIGHT SNOW CENTRAL. ANALYZED
THE H85 ISOTHERM PATTERN PER NAM/GFS/ECMWF/GEM/SREF. THE NAM IS THE
COLDEST MODEL BY FAR KEEPING ANY POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN/SLEET
IN THE FAR WEST AND ONLY IN A NARROW RIBBON. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE FROM ITS PREVIOUS WARMER SOLUTIONS. THE GFS/GEM/SREF/ECMWF
ARE SOMEWHAT SIMILAR WITH EACH OTHER WITH ADVERTISING A POCKET OF
+2C TO +4C IN THE SOUTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT. THE GFS/ECMWF ALSO SHOW A
+3C TO +5C H85 WARM POCKET IN THE FOUR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF
SLOPE/BOWMAN/ADAMS/HETTINGER. OVERALL...MODELS ARE SIMILAR IN
GENERATING A BRIEF WARMUP TO AROUND +2C THROUGH 06Z IN THE
WEST...THEN QUICKLY COLLAPSING THE WARMTH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
THROUGH 12Z. HAVE UTILIZED A BLEND OF THE ABOVE SOLUTIONS EXCEPT THE
NAM...AND THIS RESULTS IN SLEET IN THE +2C TO +3C AREA WHICH
ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE FAR WEST. HAVE GREATER CONFIDENCE IN
FREEZING RAIN FOR THE SOUTHWEST...MIXING WITH SLEET MONDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER WOULD LIKE ANOTHER CYCLE OR TWO OF H85 TEMPERATURE SOLUTIONS
TO SOLIDIFY AN ACCURATE ADVISORY AREA. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON HOW
FAR NORTH THE MELTING LAYER WILL GET...IN ADDITION TO BETTER
CONSISTENCY ON THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE WARMEST H85 TEMPERATURES IN
THE WARM SECTOR. BELIEVE THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION IS TO HAVE THE
EVENING/MIDNIGHT SHIFTS TAKE ANOTHER LOOK...AND EVEN POSSIBLY HAVING
THE DAYSHIFT MONDAY MAKING A FINAL DECISION FOR A POTENTIAL
ADVISORY.

FOR TUESDAY...AS THE WARM FRONT PROPAGATES THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...EXPECT LIGHT SNOW DURING THE MORNING THEN TAPERING OFF IN
THE AFTERNOON WITH AROUND ONE INCH OF SNOWFALL FORECAST FOR MOST OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE HIGHER TOTALS OF AROUND ONE TO
ONE AND A HALF INCHES FAVORS THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY THROUGH 00Z
WEDNESDAY. COLD AIR ADVECTION BEGINS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TUESDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH.

TUESDAY NIGHT/CHRISTMAS DAY...WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHC/CHC OF SNOW
MENTION WITH NEUTRAL TO WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION IN COMBINATION WITH
A JET STREAK AND A COUPLE OF WEAK SHORTWAVES TRAVERSING THROUGH.
BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE PATCHY BLOWING
SNOW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY A DRY PERIOD OR AT THE VERY
LEAST THE MOST INACTIVE PERIOD FOR PRECIPITATION. WARM AIR ADVECTION
ENSUES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY. PER
GFS/ECMWF...H85 TEMPS WARM TO +6C TO +8C FOR MOST OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGH
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 25F NORTH TO 35 ABOVE SOUTHWEST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...ANOTHER ARCTIC SURGE WITH A BAND OF SNOW
IS FORECAST TO WORK ITS WAY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE COLDEST AIR ARRIVES SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO TEENS. COULD BE SOME BLOWING SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SNOW
AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 328 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE
00 UTC TAFS AS CLOUDS HAVE SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AS ARCTIC HIGH
SETTLES OVER NORTH DAKOTA. HOWEVER...SCATTERED MVFR-IFR CLOUD
BASES AND SCATTERED FLURRIES CANNOT BE RULED OUT DUE TO THE
ARCTIC AIR. ALSO CANNOT RULE OUT PATCHY/INTERMITTENT FOG LATE
TONIGHT...BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO EITHER IN TAFS.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CST /NOON MST/ MONDAY FOR
NDZ017>020-031>034-040>045.

WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL 1 PM CST MONDAY FOR NDZ001>005-009>013.

WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR
NDZ003>005-011>013.

WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR NDZ021>023-025-
035>037-046>048-050-051.

&&

SHORT TERM...TWH
LONG TERM...KS
AVIATION...TWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 4:18 PM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 22, 2:25 PM CST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
225 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     SNOW             N WILLISTON             48.15N 103.63W
12/22/2013  M2.0 INCH        WILLIAMS           ND   PUBLIC

&&

AJ
Local storm report, Dec 22, 2:42 PM CST, 5 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
242 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     SNOW             HAZEN                   47.29N 101.62W
12/22/2013  M1.0 INCH        MERCER             ND   PUBLIC

&&

AJ
Special weather statement, Dec 22, 3:19 PM CST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
319 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-230700-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...
BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER...
RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER...
GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA...
DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH...
MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...
NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
319 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013 /219 PM MST SUN DEC 22 2013/

...WINTRY MIX AND BLOWING SNOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS
INCLUDES LOCATIONS SUCH AS WILLISTON...DICKINSON...KILLDEER...
BEACH...BOWMAN AND HETTINGER. AT THIS TIME...FREEZING RAIN IS MORE
LIKELY IN THE SOUTHWEST WITH MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE...LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING...TAPERING OFF
FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND
ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE FOR MOST OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS MAY CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH
REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SLICK ROADS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

THOSE WITH CHRISTMAS TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POTENTIAL
SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. STAY UP TO DATE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS

KS/TM

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

10 extreme cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Renville

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Renville forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.719, -101.658 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Pierce

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Pierce forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.250, -99.972 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Bottineau

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Bottineau forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.792, -100.833 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, McHenry

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
McHenry forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.235, -100.636 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Ward

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Ward forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Renville

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Renville forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.719, -101.658 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Burke

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Burke forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.791, -102.518 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Divide

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Divide forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.815, -103.487 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Mountrail

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Mountrail forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.201, -102.356 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Williams

When
December 22, 8:00 PM CST to December 23, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Williams forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
48.344, -103.480 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill temperatures as low as 45 below zero were observed.

What these are

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
Temperatures or wind chills at or below the local warning criteria, or cold that caused deaths.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Dakota in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in North Dakota, December 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 484705, 484706, 484707, 484708, 484709, 484710, 484711, 484712, 484713, 484714.