New York, 2013High Wind in New York, January 20, 2013
January 20, 2013 · NWS BUF · 17 events in 16 counties and zones
A deepening storm system moved across the Upper Great lakes. The system brought strong, damaging winds to the entire region late Saturday night into Sunday (20th-21st).
Every event with a place to put it; 17 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $265,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 17
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A deepening storm system moved across the Upper Great lakes. The system brought strong, damaging winds to the entire region late Saturday night into Sunday (20th-21st). Trees, power poles and wires were brought down by the winds. Numerous roads were blocked by fallen trees, wires and debris. Some structural damage was also reported. Some of the more significant reported included: an awning ripped off in Lancaster, roof trusses were downed on an building under construction in Batavia, part of a metal roof blown off in Portageville, a trailer was damaged by a fallen tree in West Bloomfield, ladder assembly blown off a silo near Constableville, and a boat was destroyed by a fallen tree in Livonia. Utilities reported tens of thousands without power for a time. Specific measured gusts included: 77 mph at Oswego lake shore; 69 mph at Dunkirk; 66 mph at Olcott; 62 mph at Barcelona and Watertown; 61 mph at Buffalo Airport and Niagara Falls Airport; 59 mph at Jamestown, Rochester Airport, and Youngstown; 55 mph at Wellsville; 54 mph at Fort Drum; 52 mph at Fulton; and 51 mph at Livonia.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 20, 3:32 AM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 20, 3:32 AM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
332 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP STORM SYSTEM MOVING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL BRING
A POWERFUL TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG WINDS. A FEW
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AS COLD AIR RUSHES BACK INTO THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MORE ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST
OF THE LAKES. THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER SEASON WILL THEN
SETTLE IN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH PERIODIC SNOW SHOWERS AND
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC CONTINUING TO DEEPEN EARLY
THIS MORNING. TRAILING COLD FRONT IS ABOUT AN HOUR OR TWO
AWAY...PUSHING INTO FAR WESTERN NEW YORK AROUND 4 AM AND REACHING
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY 6 AM. UPSTREAM SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SHOWING THAT THERE WILL BE AN HOUR OR MAYBE TWO OF WIND
GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH. ALTHOUGH...THE FUNNELING OF THE SOUTHWEST
WINDS COULD ENHANCE THESE GUSTS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES PRODUCING
HIGHER GUSTS IN THE BUFFALO/NIAGARA FALLS AND WATERTOWN AREAS. A
FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY
PASS OVER PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO AND COULD IMPACT THE NORTH
COUNTY. THIS CONVECTIVE BAND LOOKS TO BE DISPLACED FARTHER TO THE
EAST OF BELT OF STRONGEST WINDS...THEREFORE DO NOT ANTICIPATED
NEEDED SEVERE WARNINGS BUT A RUMBLE OF THUNDER MAY NEED TO BE
MENTIONED.
AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WARM ENOUGH TO HAVE PRECIPITATION
INITIALLY FALL AS RAIN...BUT COLD AIR SWEEPS IN SO RAPIDLY THAT
THE CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW WILL HAPPEN VERY QUICKLY. TEMPERATURES
AT 3 AM IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S WILL BE DOWN INTO THE 20S BY MID
DAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH LIMITED ACCUMULATIONS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA WITH LAKE SNOWS SETTING UP THIS MORNING.
LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW WILL INITIALLY SET UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST BUT WILL VEER
QUICKLY TO THE WEST WITH NEARLY ALL THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR TODAY
AND TONIGHT OCCURRING SOUTH OF BUFFALO ACROSS SKI COUNTY AND THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. THE LAKE BANDS WILL BE FIGHTING A DRY AIR
MASS AS WELL AS A GOOD DEAL OF SPEED SHEAR WHICH SHOULD LIMIT
ACCUMULATIONS TODAY TO JUST A COUPLE OF INCHES OR SO. SHEAR
PARAMETERS AND INSTABILITY LOOK A LITTLE BETTER TONIGHT WITH
BETTER CHANCES FOR MORE ACCUMULATING SNOWS. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY AND SEVERAL
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WILL LEAD TO THE ISSUANCE OF A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN ERIE/WYOMING COUNTIES
WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER.
LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ONTARIO...PARAMETERS A BIT MORE FAVORABLE HERE
WITH DEEPER SYNOPTIC MOISTURE. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHER
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS. AS IS THE CASE OFF ERIE AN INITIAL SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL FOCUS THE LAKE SNOWS INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA WITH A FAIRLY
RAPID SOUTHWARD SHIFT INTO THE TUG HILL REGION. THERE IS SOME
CONCERN HERE THAT WINDS COULD BE A BIT STRONGER THAN FARTHER WEST
CLOSER TO THE BEST PRESSURE RISES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS COULD PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WHICH
COULD LAST FOR A PERIOD OF A FEW HOURS...WILL NEED TO WATCH HOW THIS
UNFOLDS CLOSELY THIS MORNING. BY TONIGHT...THE LAKE EFFECT WILL HAVE
MOVED SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL AND INTO OSWEGO/N CAYUGA/WAYNE COUNTIES.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND PRESSURE FARTHER SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD
AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
850MB TEMPS WILL FALL TO AN AVERAGE OF -20C ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO AND A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE LAKE EFFECT
PARAMETERS REGISTER IN THE EXTREME RANGE WITH LAKE TO 850MB TEMPS
DIFFERENCE OF 20C OR MORE LATE ON MONDAY AND THROUGH THE FOLLOWING
COUPLE OF DAY. FORECAST PROFILES INDICATE THAT THE COMPLEX OF LAKES
WILL MODIFY THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH 85 PERCENT RH OR BETTER AND
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL WILL RISE TO AROUND 12KFT. WESTERLY WINDS IMPINGING
ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WILL BRING NEARLY
CONTINUOUS LAKE SNOWS TO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. A LONG FETCH PLUME
OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL COME ONSHORE FROM WAYNE TO NORTHERN CAYUGA AND
SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...OCCASIONALLY LAYING DOWN ALONG THE ENTIRE
SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE LAKE IN RESPONSE TO NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE
WINDS. THIS WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND WILL
BE ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE TIME BUT MAY REACH WARNING
CONDITIONS WITH THE HIGHER ACCUMULATION OVER THE LONG PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MONDAY'S VALUES WILL BE SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL...AND TUESDAY 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOOK FOR
HIGHS MONDAY TO BE IN THE TEENS NORTH COUNTRY TO UPPER TEENS AND LOW
20S SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE EVEN COLDER
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS NORTH COUNTRY TO LOW TO MID
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL BE DOWNRIGHT FRIGID
MONDAY NIGHT WITH SINGLE NUMBER INLAND ACROSS THE WESTERN
COUNTIES...LAKE MODIFIED TEMPS IN THE LOW TEENS CLOSE TO THE
LAKES...AND SINGLE NUMBER BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND
LOCALLY MUCH COLDER.
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE THE COLDEST NIGHT FOR MORE THAN A YEAR
FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION. EXPECT LOWS IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY...EVEN BELOW ZERO IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS...
AND TO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL CONTINUE WITH THE COLD CONDITIONS...AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOW...AND EVEN WITH A TEMPORARY BREAKDOWN OF THE AMPLIFIED
FLOW...EVEN THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES THIS PERIOD WILL STILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES.
ON WEDNESDAY AN EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING INLAND ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NW AND BRITISH COLUMBIA WHICH WILL ACT TO FLATTEN SOME
THE WESTERN RIDGE. MEANWHILE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF NORTH
AMERICA A STILL -1 TO -2SD TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL BE CENTERED
NEAR QUEBEC WITHIN A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH WHOSE AXIS WILL BE ALONG
THE EASTERN COASTLINE.
AT 850 HPA TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN -19 TO -22C ACROSS THE
LAKES...WHICH ARE AROUND +2 TO +3C. THIS WILL YIELD EXTREME LAKE
INSTABILITY...THOUGH A MAJOR LIMITING FACTOR FOR SNOW WILL BE THE
LACK OF SYNOPTIC MOISTURE OVER THE LAKES. YET EVEN WITH THIS LIMITED
MOISTURE...FLUFFY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP NEAR THE
LAKES...AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO
WHERE ADDED CONVERGENCE WILL BE FOUND.
THIS WEAK CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHIFTING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS FARTHER SOUTHWARD OFF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE ENHANCING
ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO LIKELY ENHANCE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY...THUS
CONTINUING WITH CHC POPS FARTHER INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GENESEE
VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY RETREAT CLOSER TO THE
SHORELINE UNDER A TEA KETTLE SCENARIO.
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS COLD CYCLES SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE CENTER OF AN
ARCTIC HIGH OVER WESTERN QUEBEC.
THIS COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL SEND TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT SOME 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS
WEDNESDAY IN THE TEENS SOUTH OF THE LAKES...AND SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
NORTH COUNTRY. TO PUT THIS COLDNESS INTO CONTEXT FOR THE NORTH
COUNTRY THE LAST TIME THE WATERTOWN AIRPORT HAD A DAY REMAIN IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS OR COLDER WAS JANUARY OF 2010.
THURSDAY LIGHT COLD NORTH WINDS WILL BE POURING OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. WITH THESE LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT ANY SNOW EARLY THURSDAY
TO BE MORE OF THE TEA KETTLE...WITH LAND BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
FORMING THE BANDS OF LAKE SNOWS OVER THE LAKES. AGAIN THE LIMITING
FACTOR WILL BE THE LACK OF DEEP SYNOPTIC MOISTURE TO FEED INTO AND
FORM THESE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. AFTER SUNRISE...AND SLIGHT
WARMING OF THE LAND MASS THESE BANDS OF SNOW SHOULD BECOME MORE
CELLULAR...THOUGH POSSIBLY PUSHING INLAND WITH THE LIGHT NORTHERLY
SYNOPTIC FLOW. WILL AGAIN PLACE HIGHEST POPS JUST SOUTH OF THE
LAKES...WITH CHC FARTHER INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC AND
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THE DRY DAY THURSDAY ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY. THOUGH 850 HPA TEMPERATURES DROP A DEGREE OR SO
COLDER...WINDS WILL VEER TO SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND
MAY BRING A SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY ON THURSDAY TO THE REGION...THOUGH
STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
THIS CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO FADE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY...WITH LIKELY MANY AREAS FREE OF SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY
EVENING. HOWEVER THE TROUGH THAT TEMPORARILY BROKE DOWN THE WESTERN
RIDGE WILL NEAR THE REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL KEEP THURSDAY NIGHT NOT AS COLD AS PRIOR
NIGHTS...THOUGH A WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC SNOW MAY BEGIN TO EFFECT THE
REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL INCREASE BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WITH NOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE FOR
FORMATION OF DENDRITIC SNOWFLAKES. GIVEN THE TIME DISTANCE...WILL
CONTINUE WITH HIGH CHC POPS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THOUGH
THOUGH THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS
SHORTWAVE NEARING US WITH THE 12Z ECMWF SLIGHTLY FASTER.
BY SATURDAY THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WELL TO OUR EAST WITH AGAIN
TEMPERATURES ALOFT FALLING BACK TOWARDS -20C. THIS COLD NORTH TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN THE CHC FOR LIMITED LAKE SNOWS
DOWNWIND OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL
RETURN BACK TO SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND LOW TEENS FOR MUCH OF THE
NORTH COUNTRY.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. AFTER
MIDNIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WITH A BRIEF PERIOD
OF RAIN SHOWERS. AS COLDER AIR DEEPENS BEHIND THE FRONT...SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS WILL MIX WITH...THEN CHANCE TO SNOW...RESULTING IN MVFR
CONDITIONS AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. EXPECT IFR CONDITIONS
TO DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES ON SUNDAY AS STEADIER SNOW SHOWERS
GET ORGANIZED.
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE STRONG WINDS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
A LOW LEVEL INVERSION IS STILL PREVENTING THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT
FROM MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT.
AFTER 06Z A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE
DRAMATICALLY...AND WILL PEAK SUNDAY MORNING WHEN WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH 50 KNOTS. WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS
AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE BY JUST TO THE
NORTH OF THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A POWERFUL COLD FRONT
CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AND REACH
PEAK SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT SOLID 40 KNOTS SUSTAINED ON LAKE ERIE
AND 45 KNOTS ON LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING HIGH END GALE WARNING
CONDITIONS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHTS OF ABOUT 15 FEET ON LAKE ERIE AND 20 FEET ON LAKE ONTARIO.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THEN DIMINISH FURTHER TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>008-
010>014-019>021-085.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012-
019>021-085.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
NYZ007-008.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY FOR NYZ006.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST MONDAY FOR NYZ004-005.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LEZ040-041.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOZ030-
042>045-062>065.
&&
SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK/TJP
MARINE...TMAHazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 3:50 PM EST, 13 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-202100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
NYZ021-202100-
ALLEGANY-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
NYZ007-008-202100-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
NYZ006-202100-
OSWEGO-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
NYZ004-005-202100-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
NYZ003-013-014-202100-
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
HIGH WIND WARNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
LEZ040-041-202100-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
SLZ022-024-202100-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
LEZ020-202100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
LOZ042>045-062>065-202100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
350 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2013
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
GALE WARNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 20, 3:19 AM EST, 1 hour 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
319 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013
NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-201000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
319 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013
...HIGH WINDS ACROSS THE REGION...
WIND GUSTS PEAKED AT 61 MPH AT NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT AT 300 AM AND
SIMILAR WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES
EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE HIGH WINDS WILL ALSO
BE ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN...WITH A RAPID DROP IN TEMPERATURES AND A
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW BY DAYBREAK. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO
SHORE. THE WINDS MAY PRODUCE POWER OUTAGES...DOWNED TREES AND
DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. THE RAPID DROP IN TEMPERATURE AND CHANCE
FROM RAIN TO SNOW MAY ALSO RESULT IN ICY CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
ON ELEVATED ROADS AND BRIDGES.
High Wind, Northern Erie
- When
- January 20, 4:51 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Northern Erie forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $20,000
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 42.758, -78.780 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High Wind, Genesee
- When
- January 20, 5:25 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Genesee forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 43.001, -78.194 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in Pembroke.
High Wind, Southern Erie
- When
- January 20, 5:27 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Southern Erie forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.758, -78.780 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in East Aurora.
High Wind, Cattaraugus
- When
- January 20, 5:30 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Cattaraugus forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.249, -78.679 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in Perrysburg.
High Wind, Orleans
- When
- January 20, 5:35 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Orleans forecast zone
- Measured
- 57 kt (66 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 43.251, -78.189 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in Albion.
High Wind, Wyoming
- When
- January 20, 5:45 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Wyoming forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 42.702, -78.224 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Emergency management reported trees and wires down in Warsaw.
High Wind, Chautauqua
- When
- January 20, 6:00 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Chautauqua forecast zone
- Measured
- 54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- C-MAN Station
- Coordinates
- 42.303, -79.406 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High Wind, Livingston
- When
- January 20, 6:00 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Livingston forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.728, -77.775 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported structure damage in Portageville.
High Wind, Jefferson
- When
- January 20, 6:00 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Jefferson forecast zone
- Measured
- 54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 43.999, -76.052 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High Wind, Ontario
- When
- January 20, 6:15 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Ontario forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.853, -77.300 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in Bristol.
High Wind, Monroe
- When
- January 20, 6:26 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Monroe forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $20,000
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 43.165, -77.636 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High Wind, Niagara
- When
- January 20, 6:40 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Niagara forecast zone
- Measured
- 57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- C-MAN Station
- Coordinates
- 43.173, -78.691 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High Wind, Jefferson
- When
- January 20, 6:45 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Jefferson forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 43.999, -76.052 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in Lowville.
High Wind, Wayne
- When
- January 20, 6:50 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Wayne forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 43.066, -76.978 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down Lyons.
High Wind, Allegany
- When
- January 20, 7:00 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Allegany forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.257, -78.028 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in Wellsville.
High Wind, Oswego
- When
- January 20, 7:06 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Oswego forecast zone
- Measured
- 67 kt (77 mph) measured gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Coast Guard
- Coordinates
- 43.464, -76.209 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High Wind, Northern Cayuga
- When
- January 20, 12:04 PM EST to 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Northern Cayuga forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 43.010, -76.574 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Law enforcement reported trees down and roads blocked by debris in Weedsport.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Cold in Illinois, January 20, 20131 death · 1 event
- Cold in Wisconsin, January 20 to 21, 20131 death · 1 event
- Strong Wind in Vermont, January 20, 2013$200,000 · 16 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in New York, January 20, 2013$130,000 · 52 kt wind · 7 events
- Strong Wind in Massachusetts, January 20, 2013$39,000 · 5 events
- Extreme Cold in North Dakota, January 20 to 21, 201327 events
- Lake-Effect Snow in New York, January 20 to 21, 2013$30,000 · 3 events
- Extreme Cold in Minnesota, January 20 to 22, 201324 events
- Extreme Cold in North Dakota, January 20 to 21, 201318 events
- Extreme Cold in Maine, January 20 to 27, 201315 events
- Extreme Cold in South Dakota, January 20 to 21, 201311 events
- High Wind in New York, January 20, 201352 kt wind · 9 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 431553, 431555, 431560, 431559, 431550, 431557, 431558, 431565, 431572, 431567, 431561, 431547, 431569, 431562, 431568, 431570, 431564.