New Jersey, 2013

Strong Wind in New Jersey, May 25, 2013

May 25, 2013 · NWS OKX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Strong winds occurred in northeast New Jersey behind a deep area of low pressure.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$20,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.

Strong winds occurred in northeast New Jersey behind a deep area of low pressure.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 25, 12:35 PM EST, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 12:35 PM EST, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
135 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE REMAINS IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF MAINE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...THEN SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIME PROVINCES AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION
THROUGH MONDAY...THEN SETTLES TO OUR SOUTH INTO TUESDAY. A WARM
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN SLOWLY
LIFTS TO OUR NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT THEN STALLS
OUT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN TO THE SOUTH.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE ON TRACK WITH MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO
REFLECT CURRENT OBSERVATIONS.

CLOSED LOW SLOWLY LIFTS TO THE NE TODAY...WITH POPS DECREASING
FROM CATEGORICAL FROM SW TO NE THROUGH THE DAY FOR OCCASIONAL TO
SCT -SHRA. WITH COLD POOL ALOFT TRANSITING THE AREA A LOW TOPPED
THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT...POSSIBLY PRODUCING
SOME GRAUPEL. HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO REFLECT IN
THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

GUSTY NW WINDS TODAY IN RESPONSE TO TIGHT GRADIENT AROUND SFC-850
LOW TO OUR NE. LATEST OBS TO THE WEST SHOWING GUSTS 35 KTS OR
HIGHER IN SOME SPOTS ALREADY. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT GUSTS TO
40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WESTERN LOCATIONS. AS SUCH...WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED.

FOR HIGHS TODAY USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE WITH NAM 2-METER
TEMPERATURES AND A MIX DOWN FROM 850 HPA PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS.
HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH FROM THE UPPER 40S/AROUND 50 ACROSS N
INTERIOR ZONES TO THE MID 50S ACROSS THE NYC METRO. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR STAYED IN
THE MID 40S. THESE HIGHS ARE SOME 20-25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

THERE IS A MODERATE RIP OF CURRENTS AT ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CUTOFF LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE NE WITH DECREASING POPS FROM
SW TO NE FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MOST AREAS SHOULD BE DRY BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT DID LINGER SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER NE 1/3
OF THE CWA IN DEFERENCE TO SLOWER SOLUTION OF THE ECMWF. WINDS
WILL REMAIN GUSTY...BUT WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS
THE CUTOFF PULLS AWAY - ALLOWING FOR THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO
SLOWLY RELAX OVER THE REGION.

FOR LOWS TONIGHT USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE AND NAM 2-METER
TEMPERATURES WITH VALUES AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WINDS
SHOULD BE TOO STRONG FOR FROST FORMATION ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR
ZONES. ON SUNDAY...USED A BLEND OF NAM 2-METER
TEMPERATURES...MAV/MET GUIDANCE BLEND...AND A MIX DOWN FROM 800
HPA...FOR HIGHS WITH READINGS FORECAST AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

DEEP LAYERED RIDGING BUILDS IN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND CLOUD COVER...WITH DRY WEATHER.

FOR LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE AND NAM
2-METER TEMPERATURES WITH VALUES FORECAST 5-10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL...EXCEPT NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL IN NYC. WINDS SHOULD
ONCE AGAIN BE TOO STRONG FOR FROST FORMATION ACROSS INTERIOR ZONES.

FOR HIGHS MONDAY USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE WITH NAM 2-METER
TEMPERATURES AND A MIX DOWN FROM 800 HPA PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS.
EXPECT HIGHS TO BE NEAR NORMAL - WITH POSSIBLY AN AFTERNOON SEA
BREEZE DEVELOPING IF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES AS MUCH AS
CURRENTLY FORECAST. USED A BLEND OF NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES WITH
MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN/ECE/WPC GUIDANCE FOR LOWS MONDAY NIGHT - WITH
READINGS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ECMWF AND GFS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT THROUGH THE LONG TERM...SO
FOLLOWED A BLEND.

DEEP LAYERED RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD IN THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
PASSING SHORTWAVE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE WEDNESDAY WILL ENABLE
A WARM FRONT TO LIFT THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE FRONT STALLING
OUT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HAVE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FAR W ZONES TUESDAY AFTERNOON THEN CHANCE POPS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH THE WARM FRONT...WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDER WEDNESDAY AS THE AREA GETS INTO THE WARM SECTOR.
DO LINGER SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THERE
IS SOME QUESTION HOW QUICKLY THE WARM FRONT CLEARS TO THE N.

DEPENDING ON EXACT PLACEMENT/STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION TO DEVELOP FRIDAY...BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS TOO LOW TO REFLECT IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

FOR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY-FRIDAY USED A BLEND OF MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE
MEAN/ECE/ECE ENSEMBLE MEAN/WPC GUIDANCE. TEMPERATURES START OUT
NEAR NORMAL...BUT RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY AND REMAIN SO
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY.

NW WINDS RAMPING UP DURING THE DAY WITH FREQUENT GUSTS REACHING 30KT
BETWEEN 16-18Z. GUSTS THEN EVENTUALLY INCREASE TO 35-39KT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD VERY WELL PEAK OUT OCCASIONALLY TO 40-43KT.
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE OF A WIND DIRECTION AROUND 320 TRUE.

CIGS VARYING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE FREQUENTLY
VFR AFTER 18-19Z.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SMALL HAIL IN SHRA TODAY WITH COLD TEMPS
ALOFT.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
.SUN...VFR. NW GUSTS AROUND 30 KT.
.MON...VFR.
.TUE-WED...MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF A WARM FRONT
TUES NIGHT AND WEDS.

&&

.MARINE...
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO THE GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST TRENDS
IN OBSERVATIONS AND GUIDANCE. FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK.

GALE WARNING WILL REMAIN POSTED FOR ALL WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT AS A
NW FLOW STRENGTHENS TODAY. MIGHT NOT BE UNTIL AROUND NOON BEFORE
SOME OF THE WATERS REACHES GALE FORCE GUSTS...AND GUSTS OVER THE NY
HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND BAYS COULD SUBSIDE UNDER 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...THE GALE WARNING MIGHT NEED TO BE EXTENDED
INTO PART OF SUNDAY MORNING OVER SOME OF THE WATERS AS MIXING
DEEPENS AGAIN. WINDS THEN ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT WITH AT LEAST SCA CONDITIONS FOR A GOOD PORTION OF
THE DAY.

ALL WATERS THEN FALL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA LATE SUNDAY/SUNDAY
NIGHT. THIS PERIOD OF SUB-SCA CONDITIONS THEN CONTINUES FOR MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WITH A RELAXED PRESSURE GRADIENT KEEPING WINDS UNDER 15
KT. RELATIVELY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THEN LOOK TO CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF UP TO A HALF INCH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
TONIGHT. HIGHEST AMOUNTS FOR EASTERN LOCATIONS.

NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR CTZ005>012.
NY...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NYZ078>081-177-
     179.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NYZ067>075-176-
     178.
NJ...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NJZ002-004-006-
     103>108.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-
     350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MALOIT
NEAR TERM...MALOIT/JP/PW
SHORT TERM...MALOIT
LONG TERM...MALOIT
AVIATION...JC
MARINE...JC/PW
HYDROLOGY...MALOIT/PW
Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 3:03 AM EST, 9 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
403 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-260815-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
403 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-260815-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
403 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT GALE FORCE GUSTS COULD CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MALOIT

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Strong Wind, Eastern Union

When
May 25, 1:00 PM EST to 4:00 PM EST
Where
Eastern Union forecast zone
Measured
42 kt (48 mph) measured gust
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.660, -74.309 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At 2:57 pm, a skywarn spotter reported a downed tree on a home on Mayfair Drive in eastern Union County due to the strong winds. Wires were also knocked down as well. A gust to 48 mph was measured at Newark International Airport.

What these are

Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Jersey in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, May 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 454567.