Strong thunderstorms dumped heavy rain on Wayne county on September 1st. Monticello was particularly hard hit with flooding reported in the city.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Strong thunderstorms dumped heavy rain on Wayne county on September 1st. Monticello was particularly hard hit with flooding reported in the city.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 1, 3:40 AM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 440 AM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 440 AM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 07Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS...IN CONJUNCTION WITH AN MCV... CONTINUES TO DEVELOP CONVECTION OVER NORTHWESTERN/CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND DRIFT IT SOUTHEAST INTO THE CUMBERLAND VALLEY. THE RAINS FROM THIS COULD BE EXCESSIVE OVER PARTS OF WAYNE AND PULASKI COUNTIES PROMPTING A CONTINUATION OF THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR THESE LOCATIONS. IF THE RATES PICK UP IN THE NEXT ROUND OF CONVECTION WE WILL NEED TO CONSIDER FLOOD WARNINGS...BUT SO FAR THESE HAVE BEEN LIGHT ENOUGH TO JUST MAINTAIN THE ADVISORIES. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES COVER EAST KENTUCKY KEEPING THE FOG PATCHY AND LIGHT FOR MOST OF THE AREA. THIS IS DESPITE ANOTHER NIGHT OF MINIMAL DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS WITH TEMPS AND DEWS HOLDING IN THE UPPER 60S...MUCH OF THIS THE RESULT OF RAIN COOLING EARLIER IN THE NIGHT. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AMPLIFYING IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL SEND PLENTY OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY INTO OUR AREA DURING THIS TIME WITH THE MESOSCALE DOMINANT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER. ACCORDINGLY...HAVE USED THE NAM12 TO GUIDE THIS FORECAST IN COORDINATION WITH THE LATEST HRRR AND CURRENT LARGER SCALE RADAR TRENDS. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL BE A CONTINUATION OF OUR WARM...HUMID...AND STORMY HOLIDAY WEEKEND. CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED OVER OUR SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES EARLY THIS MORNING GRADUALLY FADING OUT BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND DEVELOPS LATER TODAY. THE STRONGEST STORMS COULD CONTAIN GUSTY TO DAMAGING WINDS IF THEY GET TALL ENOUGH...BOW OR MERGE. A VEERING WIND PROFILE AND SOME MID LEVEL SPEED SHEAR ALSO SUPPORTS THIS CONCERN. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN ISSUE WILL BE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND FLOODING POTENTIAL GIVEN THE RAINS THAT HAVE FALLEN AND THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTION TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREAS. CANNOT RULE OUT THE SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUING INTO THE NIGHT WITH LOW PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION AND THE APPROACH OF ITS COLD FRONT...THOUGH THE NAM12 WOULD SUGGEST A LULL UNTIL LATER MONDAY MORNING. HAVE RAMPED POPS DOWN DURING THIS TIME IN THE GRIDS...BUT NOT AS MUCH AS THE NAM12 INDICATES. FOR MONDAY...THE SYSTEM/S FRONT WILL MAKE A MORE DEFINITIVE PUSH INTO OUR AREA AND LIKELY ACTIVATE THE REMAINING DEEP MOISTURE FOR ONE LAST GOOD ROUND OF CONVECTION DURING THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE DEPENDENT ON CONVECTION... PARTICULARLY FOR HIGHS TODAY AND TOMORROW...BUT IN GENERAL SHOULD BE ABLE TO REACH THE MID AND UPPER 80S. AGAIN UPPER 60S WILL BE THE RULE FOR LOWS TONIGHT. USED THE CONSSHORT AND ITS BC VERSION FOR THE DEWPOINT AND WIND GRIDS...RESPECTIVELY...THROUGH 00Z MONDAY AS A STARTING POINT AND THE CONSALL THEREAFTER. FOR TEMPS...ADJUSTED THE CONSALL FOR SOME MINOR TERRAIN ENHANCEMENTS IN THE LOWS TONIGHT AND PCPN CONSIDERATIONS TODAY AND MONDAY...WITH HOURLY DIURNAL CURVE DERIVED FROM THE NAM12. AS FOR POPS...ENDED UP CLOSER TO THE WETTER MAV GUIDANCE TODAY... SIMILAR TO BOTH TONIGHT...AND THEN NEARER THE MET MONDAY. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 345 AM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 A STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WILL PUT THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY IN A TROUGHING PATTERN. AT THE SURFACE...AN ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE A COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD JUST BE EXITING EASTERN KY AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. THE FROPA WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WARM SECTOR...WHICH SHOULD BE PUSHING OUT OF THE REGION BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE SHORTWAVE WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TAKING HOLD ACROSS KY. THIS WILL MEAN THE RETURN OF A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS...WITH WINDS AT THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OUT OF THE NE. HIGH TEMPS WILL ONLY REACH NEAR 80 TUESDAY. THIS UPPER AIR PATTERN AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WITH ABUNDANT SUNSHINE ALLOWING TEMPS TO RISE SLIGHTLY INTO THE LOWS 80S. WITH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE...DIURNAL COOLING WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE 50S. WHILE MODELS START TO DIVERGE ON UPPER AIR SOLUTIONS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...THERE IS STILL SOME CONSENSUS OF ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE DEVELOPING OVER NE CANADA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. AT THIS SURFACE THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NE CANADA...WITH A COLD FRONT POISED TO DROP SOUTHWARD FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES SATURDAY. ACCORDING THE ECWMF...WARM AIR PULLING IN AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING...WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCT CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WILL STICK WITH A MODEL CONSENSUS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SINCE THIS FAR OUT THE EXACT COURSE OF THE TROUGHING AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT/PRECIP IS STILL SOMEWHAT UNKNOWN. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 THUNDERSTORMS HAVE TAPERED TO SHOWERS THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA...BUT AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF STORMS MAY AFFECT SME AND LOZ FROM NOW UNTIL 12Z. OUTSIDE OF THE CUMBERLAND VALLEY...PATCHY FOG WILL BE THE MAIN AVN CONCERN INTO DAWN. DO EXPECT ADDITIONAL STORMS TO DEVELOP AND AFFECT THE ENTIRE AREA LATER ON SUNDAY WITH A PEAK OF COVERAGE ANTICIPATED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. HAVE REFLECTED THIS IN THE TAFS VIA A PREVAILING SHRA AND VCTS DURING THIS TIME. LATE ON...BACKED THESE OFF TO JUST VCSH MENTIONS AFTER 02Z AS INSTABILITY WANES. WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...OUTSIDE OF ANY STORMS. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...GREIF LONG TERM...JMW AVIATION...GREIF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 455 AM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-021200- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO... PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE... CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON... HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG... INEZ...PIKEVILLE 455 AM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. STRONG WIND GUSTS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. ANY STORMS THAT MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS COULD CAUSE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY REPORTS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN JACKSON. GREIF
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Highway's 1546 and 3284 had water flowing over them but were not closed. Main Street in Monticello was flooded but passable.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, September 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 472712.