Heavy rain in the northern half of the Ohio Valley caused rises along the Ohio River. Minor flooding occurred along some stretches of the river.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Heavy rain in the northern half of the Ohio Valley caused rises along the Ohio River. Minor flooding occurred along some stretches of the river.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 6, 5:16 AM CST, 3 hours 44 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 516 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 .UPDATE... UPDATED AVIATION SECTION FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE && .DISCUSSION...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 322 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A SUNNY AND SEASONABLE AFTERNOON TO MOST OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. HOWEVER... THE HIGH WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST BY THURSDAY...ALLOWING A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL ACCOMPANY THE SURFACE LOW INTO THE MS RIVER VALLEY LATER THU AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE AT LEAST SCT SHOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THAT TIME FRAME. JUST NOT A GREAT DEAL OF LOW LVL CONVERGENCE OR MID LVL ENERGY TO PRODUCE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN. LACK OF INSTABILITY AT THE SFC AND ALOFT SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR RAPIDLY A THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM FRIDAY AND LAST THROUGH SATURDAY AS ANOTHER SFC HIGH MOVES EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS FLOWING OUT OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPS IN CHECK...WITH MOST LOCATIONS STAYING IN THE 40S AND 50S. 00Z GFS CONTINUES TO TREND TOWARD THE ECMWF/GEM SOLUTIONS FOR OUR LATE WEEKEND WEATHER SYSTEM. GFS HAD BEEN TAKING LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE PAH FA...BUT NOW TAKES IT FROM NORTH TEXAS 12Z SUNDAY TO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES BY MONDAY. THIS SOLUTION IS VERY CLOSE TO THE ECMWF...AND THIS INCREASES FORECAST CONFIDENCE. BOTH MODELS SPREAD A LITTLE PRECIPITATION INTO FAR WEST PORTIONS OF THE PAH FA AFTER 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIP SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE GULF OF MEXICO OPENS UP AND A CLOSED H50 LOW LIFTS NE INTO THE MID WEST. THOUGH NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE YET...CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE TRENDING TOWARD BETTER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...ESPECIALLY LATER SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS DEW POINTS IN THE 50S POOL AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. THE TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF LAST TUESDAY...BUT CURRENTLY DEW POINTS BY LATE SUNDAY ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO THE LOWER 50S...UNLIKE THE NEAR 60 DEW POINT OF LAST WEEK. WE WILL JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE ABOUT THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL...CUZ MOST MOST MODELS TEND TO UNDERDO THE SHARP RISE IN DEW POINTS THAT FAR OUT IN TIME GIVEN THE WIDE OPEN GULF. ALL IN ALL...PRECIP CHANCES AND QPF AMOUNTS LOOK FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL...AND LIKELY POPS SEEM QUITE REASONABLE FOR SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT...COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS LAGGING...AND IS NOT EVEN REALLY THAT COLD...WITH TEMPERATURES BY TUESDAY ONLY DROPPING BACK TO NEAR SEASONAL READINGS. && .AVIATION... ISSUED AT 516 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT FOG AROUND SUNRISE DUE TO LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WABASH VALLEY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...LOWERING AND THICKENING AFTER 06Z. CIGS SHOULD STILL BE ABOVE 10K FEET THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING...BECOMING EAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && DISCUSSION...MEFFERT AVIATION...MY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 453 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-071100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 453 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME A FEW SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE THIS WEEKEND.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred along the Ohio River. Low-lying woods and fields, along with some river access roads, were inundated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, February 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 433356.