Locally heavy rain occurred ahead of a cold front that extended from central Illinois southward across western Tennessee.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Locally heavy rain occurred ahead of a cold front that extended from central Illinois southward across western Tennessee.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 11, 4:52 AM CST, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 552 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013 H5 LOW OVER THE NATIONS MID SECTION WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST THEN NORTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY FRIDAY. CURRENT BAND OF SHOWERS WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST AS IT IS ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE UPPER FLOW. CLOUDS WILL HOLD MOST OF THE DAY AS WELL...WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING OFF IN THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE FRONT. QUIET WEATHER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. WE USED A BLEND OF MOS AND RAW MODEL OUTPUT FOR TEMPS. .LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 229 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013 ON SATURDAY NIGHT...THE SFC HIGH MOVES EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS TAKE OVER...WHICH BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY AND STRONGER BY SUNDAY. STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION TAKES PLACES AS THIS OCCURS...AND THIS WILL CAUSE OUR TEMPS TO SKYROCKET BACK TO AROUND 70/LOW 70S FOR SUNDAY. PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS TRIED TO BREAK OUT PRECIPITATION ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WAA/DEVELOPING WARM FRONT UP JUST TO OUR NORTH BY THE END OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY. WELL THE 00Z GFS IS FOLLOWING SUIT WITH THE ECMWF...WHOSE PAST FEW RUNS JUST INDICATED THAT ANY PRECIPITATION WOULD BE WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA. SO WE SHOULD STAY DRY SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON THE PROGRESS OF THIS FRONT. THE ECMWF IS CONSISTENT IN KEEPING THE FRONT AT BAY AND STALLING IT OUT TO OUR NORTHWEST THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY. THE GFS GRADUALLY PUSHES THE FRONT INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN STALLS IT OUT RIGHT OVER THE CWA. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS INDICATE THE FRONT WILL START TO MAKE A MOVE ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY...AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM SEEMS VERY SIMILAR TO THE ONE WE ARE CURRENTLY DEALING WITH. THEREFORE...MORE REVISIONS TO THE FORECAST WILL BE NEEDED BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE. FOR INSTANCE...MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY INDEED STAY MOSTLY DRY EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE THE MAIN FRONTAL SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH...ESPECIALLY IF THE ECMWF HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON THINGS. THE GFS ENSEMBLES ARE NOT TOO MUCH HELP...BUT DO SEEM TO SIGNAL THE BEST CHANCES WED-THU. WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN 20-30 POPS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AND THEN SHOW AN UPTICK IN POPS FOR WED/WED NIGHT. AFTER WE WARM UP ON SUNDAY THOUGH...IT WILL STAY WARM AND BECOME EVEN WARMER EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WE REMAIN IN A WARM/MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. && .AVIATION... ISSUED AT 552 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013 CLOUDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH LOW MVFR TO OCNL IFR POSSIBLE. MAY BE SOME VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THE WAKE OF THE MAIN BAND OF SHOWERS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM WEST TO SOUTHWEST AOB 10 KTS. CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE SLOWLY TONIGHT. GIVEN CLEARING IS STILL IN ECNTRL KANSAS AND HEADING EAST VERY SLOWLY...THAT MAY BE A BIT OPTIMISTIC. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 459 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-121000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 459 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW STRONG STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding problems were observed in the Murray area. Standing water was over many roads, causing traffic hazards. The Kentucky mesonet site at Murray measured a daily rainfall total of 2.98 inches.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, April 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 441643.