A rogue storm produced minimal severe weather over portions of North Central Kansas.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ICT wrote it up.
A rogue storm produced minimal severe weather over portions of North Central Kansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 20, 12:13 PM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 113 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013 OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS HAS MOVED INTO AND ACROSS EASTERN SECTION OF CWA...AND IS SPARKING TSRA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLINT HILLS...AS BOUNDARY ENCOUNTERS GREATER THETAE. FLOW ALOFT IS VERY WEAK...THUS HEALTHY CAPE WILL BE THE ONLY DRIVER FOR STORM INTENSITY. RUC/HRRR BOTH INDICATE AN INCREASE IN ISOLD-WDLY SCT CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...THUS WILL UPDATE HOURLY POPS TO ACCOUNT. ALSO WILL ADJUST HOURLY TEMPERATURES AND MAX TEMPERATURES IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST CWA...WHERE THINGS ARE WARMING MORE THAN ANTICIPATED. NO OTHER CHANGES ATTM. SF && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 344 AM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013 TODAY-TONIGHT: LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST WITH SHORT TERM/HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SHOWING MANY POSSIBLE SCENARIOS AND MOST HAVE BEEN STRUGGLING OUT OF THE BOX. HAVE USED A COMBO OF HRRR AND ECMWF AS BOTH NAM/GFS SEEM QUITE OPTIMISTIC WITH CAPE/PRECIPITATION FOR LATER TODAY. WEAK FLOW ALOFT MAKES IT HARD TO DETERMINE WHERE THINGS WILL MOVE AND GIVEN WEAK FORCING...BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY BE THE KEY TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION. AT THIS TIME...THINKING WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM GBD-RSL-MHK WILL LIKELY NOT MOVE VERY MUCH...SO WILL DRIBBLE ISOLATED POPS ALONG/NORTH OF BOUNDARY THIS MORNING. CHANCES SHOULD INCREASE A BIT LATE AFTERNOON BUT MORE LIKELY THIS EVENING. ECMWF KEEPS THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IN CENTRAL KS OVERNIGHT AND POPS MAY BE OVERDONE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. SUN-MON: BETTER UPPER FORCING IS ANTICIPATED AS DAY WEARS ON SUN BUT FORECAST IS COMPLICATED BY POSSIBLE OUTFLOW FROM STORMS OVER NE KS IN THE MORNING. SUSPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP IN NORTHWEST FLOW AND MOVE ACROSS FLINT HILLS/SOUTHEAST KS SUN NIGHT. THIS SHOULD EXIT SOUTHEAST KS AROUND SUNRISE. MAY SEE SOME INCREASE IN CAPPING ON MON AND GIVEN LESS FORCING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES SHOULD DIMINISH. SHADED TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT IN THE EASTERN HALF AND WARMER IN WEST BASED ON CLOUDS BOTH DAYS. -HOWERTON .LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 344 AM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013 AGAIN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN 0000 UTC RUNS OF GFS/ECMWF OVERALL PATTERN UNTIL FRI. HOWEVER DETAILS ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE STILL IN LESS AGREEMENT AND COMBINED WITH GRID INITIALIZATION ISSUES...WILL END UP WITH CONSIDERABLE PRECIPITATION MENTIONED THIS PERIOD. STILL APPEARS TO BE AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TUE NIGHT AS SHORTWAVE MOVES DOWN NORTHWEST FLOW. SURFACE FRONT MAY BE MOVING INTO THE AREA ON FRI...BUT UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH ON TIMING. -HOWERTON && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013 MAIN CONCERN FOR THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE PERIODS OF ISOLD-SCATTERED CONVECTION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL BE REACHED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...AND WITH SUFFICIENT MID-LEVEL MOISTURE...ALL TAF SITES SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE TCU/CB DEVELOPMENT BY 20 UTC. COVERAGE WILL BE LOCALLY DEPENDENT...BUT STARTED WITH SCT COVERAGE AND INCREASED TO BKN BY 22-23 UTC. CONFIDENCE OF TSRA OCCURRING AT ANY PARTICULAR TAF SITE IS LOW...THOUGH GREATEST CHANCES LIKELY AT KICT...KSLN...KCNU AND KHUT DUE TO THEIR PROXIMITY TO OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT HAS MOVED INTO CWA AND IS STALLING. GIVEN CONVECTION MAINLY WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN...EXPECTED ANY STORMS THAT FIRE THIS AFTERNOON TO DISSIPATE IN THE 03-04 UTC TIMEFRAME. ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE AFT 06 UTC...WITH ENHANCED/FOCUSED ISENTROPIC LIFT THAT WILL BE ENHANCED BY RRQ OF UPPER JET. REINTRODUCED CONVECTION IN 07-09 UTC TIMEFRAME AS A RESULT. ISENTROPIC FIELDS LINGER CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS INTO SUNDAY MORNING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS PLACING TSRA BASES IN THE 6-8K AGL RANGE. SF && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WICHITA-KICT 96 72 93 73 / 20 20 20 20 HUTCHINSON 95 70 94 71 / 20 20 20 20 NEWTON 93 70 92 70 / 20 30 30 20 ELDORADO 94 71 92 70 / 20 20 30 30 WINFIELD-KWLD 96 73 93 74 / 20 20 20 20 RUSSELL 94 67 98 68 / 30 30 20 20 GREAT BEND 94 66 97 68 / 20 20 20 20 SALINA 95 70 94 71 / 30 40 40 30 MCPHERSON 95 70 94 70 / 30 30 30 20 COFFEYVILLE 97 72 94 72 / 20 20 20 40 CHANUTE 94 71 92 71 / 20 30 30 40 IOLA 93 71 91 71 / 30 30 40 40 PARSONS-KPPF 96 72 93 71 / 20 20 30 40 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 206 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013 KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-211200- RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE- RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER- SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE- 206 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS... SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AIRMASS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID-EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS. HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 104 ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT...BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH DAWN ON SUNDAY. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY HEAT INDICES WILL BE NEAR 100 ACROSS RUSSELL AND BARTON COUNTIES ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES ARE LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE AREA ON MONDAY...ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 400 ON TUESDAY...AND OVER HARPER AND SUMNER COUNTIES ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST EACH DAY THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER CENTRAL KANSAS. WINDS TO 65 MPH AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SEVERE STORMS. THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY...BUT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING EAST OF HIGHWAY 14. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. && FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP SF
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
238 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013
KSZ071-072-095-096-202000-
ALLEN-NEOSHO-WILSON-WOODSON-
238 PM CDT SAT JUL 20 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN NEOSHO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
NORTHERN WILSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
SOUTHERN WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
* UNTIL 300 PM CDT
* AT 235 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FREDONIA...OR 24 MILES SOUTH OF
YATES CENTER. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YATES CENTER...CHANUTE...BUFFALO...HUMBOLDT...BENEDICT...ROSE...
EARLTON...CHANUTE AIRPORT AND PETROLIA.
WINDS TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORM INTENSIES AND
BECOMES SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
&&
LAT...LON 3789 9548 3770 9531 3750 9551 3756 9590
3790 9586
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 294DEG 15KT 3755 9589
FORTINThe Grand Island radar (KUEX), 140 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:15 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The high wind gust was also accompanied by torrential rainfall.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 469624.