Widespread rainfall amounts of around 4 inches over a period of 18 hours caused a little flooding in Habersham County in extreme northeast Georgia.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.
Widespread rainfall amounts of around 4 inches over a period of 18 hours caused a little flooding in Habersham County in extreme northeast Georgia.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 22, 9:53 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
953 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
COLD AND DRY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY AND WILL BE REINFORCED THROUGH END OF THE
WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 940 PM...INCREASING LOW-TO-MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS RESPONDING
TO SURFACE WAVE LIFTING TOWARD CENTRAL GEORGIA IS RESULTING IN A
NARROWING/INTENSIFICATION OF THE RAIN SHIELD IN THE VICINITY OF THE
ATLANTA METRO AREA. DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED QUITE A
BIT IN THIS AREA DURING THE PAST HOUR OR SO...WITH EVEN SOME CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING NOTED. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF AN
INCH HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN A CONVECTIVE BAND ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
METRO AREA...AND THESE HEAVIER RATES ARE LIFTING FAIRLY QUICKLY
TOWARD OUR AREA. 2-3 HOURS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL THEREFORE BE
OBSERVED IN MOST LOCATIONS AS THE BAND OF RAIN PROGRESSES FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. WIDESPREAD
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.5 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN A CORRIDOR FROM THE BLUE RIDGE TO I-85. LOCALIZED
HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY. WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE...STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL SHOULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MTN ZONES...TO 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA. LOCAL AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 6 INCHES MAY BE OBSERVED ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST NC/NORTHWEST SC/GEORGIA MTNS.
AS OF 650 PM...WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAIN...WITH SOME POCKETS OF HEAVY
RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE HEAVIEST RAIN
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 03-09Z...WHEN FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING MAXIMIZES
IN RESPONSE TO A FRONTAL WAVE...CURRENTLY ANALYZED ACROSS THE
WESTERN FL PANHANDLE...LIFTS NE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. AN ADDITIONAL
1-1.5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE MTNS OF NE GEORGIA/
NW SOUTH CAROLINA/SW NORTH CAROLINA DURING THIS TIME...WHERE
MECHANICAL FORCING OWING TO STRONG S/SW FLOW WILL ENHANCE RAINFALL
RATES. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3.5 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY IN
THESE AREAS ONCE THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN TOMORROW MORNING. MOST OTHER
AREAS SHOULD SEE STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS FROM 1.5 TO 3 INCHES. AS
SUCH...ANY FLOODING CONCERNS STILL APPEAR TO BE LARGELY OF THE MAIN
STEM/DURATION VARIETY...ALTHOUGH SOME SMALLER STREAMS MAY FLOOD
ACROSS SOUTHERN MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. NO EXPANSION OF THE FLOOD WATCH
APPEARS WARRANTED ATTM.
AS OF 200 PM...BAND OF WARM CONVEYOR BELT MOISTURE AND PRECIP HAS
SPREAD IN ACRS THE CWFA...SAVE FOR THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA ATTM.
THE BAND WILL STALL AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING THRU THE
OVERNIGHT...AS A SECOND SHORTWAVE ROUNDS THE BASE OF A LONGWAVE TROF
AXIS INVOF CENTRAL TX. GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON DELAYING THE
TAPERING OFF OF CATEGORICAL POPS FROM WEST TO EAST UNTIL LATE
OVERNIGHT THRU THE DAY ON MONDAY. IN THE MEANTIME...THE LEADING EDGE
HAS TAPPED INTO A LITTLE BIT OF INSTBY...WITH SPC MESOANALYSIS
SHOWING 250-500 J/KG OF SBCAPE. IT SEEMS TO NOT BE QUITE ENUF TO GET
LIGHTNING...BUT IS PRODUCING SO LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THE LINE
SHUD CROSS CHARLOTTE AROUND 3-4 PM.
BEHIND THAT LINE...SEVERE THREAT IS DOWN WITH STABLE AIR. I DID
LEAVE IN SOME THUNDER MENTION INTO THIS EVENING...AS NAM STILL SHOWS
DOME MUCAPE. HOWEVER...THIS WILL PROBABLY BE JUST A FEW EMBEDDED
LIGHTNING STRIKES AT MOST. THE MAIN CONCERN HEADING INTO TONIGHT
WILL BE HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING. MUCH OF THE NC MTNS HAVE RECEIVED
1.5-2.5" OF RAIN SINCE IT BEGAN EARLY THIS MORNING. I STUCK CLOSE TO
THE LATEST WPC QPF...WHICH ADDS AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" ACRS MOST OF THE
MTNS. THE AXIS OF GREATEST QPF IS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE AND ADJACENT
FOOTHILLS...WHICH IS IN THE FLOOD WATCH. SO I DON/T SEE A NEED TO
MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE WATCH AT THIS TIME. EVEN THO RAIN IS
TAPERING OFF IN GRAHAM/SWAIN...RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE...WITH THE
TUCKASEGEE APPROACHING FLOOD STAGE. TEMPS ARE TRICKY...WITH STILL
NEAR RECORD WARMTH AHEAD OF PRECIP TO THE EAST...BUT BACK INTO THE
50S TO LWR 60S WITHIN THE RAIN SHIELD. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NEARLY STEADY OR FALL SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS.
ON MONDAY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MODELS ARE DELAYING THE END OF
PRECIP FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY. THE TEMP FCST IS TRICKY.
EXPECTING LITTLE RISE IN TEMPS ANYWHERE IN THE CWFA...AND COLD AIR
BEGINS TO WORK IN FROM THE NW. USED THE RAW MODEL CONSENSUS FOR TEMP
TRENDS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EST SUNDAY...THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE SHORT RANGE
IS NW FLOW SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE UPPER TROF AXIS HANGING BACK TO THE WEST OVER THE MS
VALLEY AND TN VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT. ANY REMAINING PRECIP OVER THE NC
PIEDMONT SHOULD QUICKLY EXIT TO THE EAST DURING THE EVENING. THE
LACK OF MID/UPPER FORCING MIGHT LEAD TO A BIT OF A LULL IN ACTIVITY
OVER THE NC MTNS IN SPITE OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW COMING AROUND TO THE
NW WITH SOME RESIDUAL MOISTURE AROUND 850 MB. WILL KEEP THE CHC OF
PRECIP INTACT IN THE NW FLOW AREAS ALONG THE TN BORDER FOR THIS
FCST. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MORE VIGOROUS UPPER SYSTEM PASSING
JUST TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY AS THE TROF LIFTS OUT. THIS SHOULD
BRING A SURGE IN COLDER AIR AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE UPSLOPE
AREAS DURING THE DAY. THE NAM IS ESPECIALLY AGGRESSIVE WITH ITS
REDEVELOPMENT OF SNOWFALL OVER THE NRN MTNS AROUND 18Z TUESDAY. WILL
BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THE MODELS ARE UNDERDONE WITH THE SNOWFALL
POTENTIAL GIVEN THE WET GROUND TO THE NW PROVIDING SOME EXTRA
MOISTURE FLUX. FOR THIS REASON...THE CHC OF SNOW SHOWERS WAS
EXTENDED INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AMOUNTS ARE STILL RELATIVELY
MINOR...BUT WILL NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AN UPWARD TREND IN LATER
GUIDANCE. TEMPS WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL BY CHRISTMAS DAY...WHICH
SHOULD BE QUIET BUT COLD WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SITTING OVER
THE CAROLINAS.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1230 PM EST SUNDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE CONTINUES TO LOOK
RELATIVELY BENIGN. THE WESTERN CAROLINAS WILL REMAIN NEAR THE BOTTOM
OF AN UNDULATING LONG WAVE TROF THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHICH SHOULD
SERVE TO KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL AT LEAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE
PASSAGE OF A DEAMPLIFYING SHORT WAVE TO THE NORTH ON THURSDAY SHOULD
DRIVE A REINFORCING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION WITH LITTLE TO NO
FANFARE. THAT SHOULD SUPPORT ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH THAT WILL CONTROL
OUR WEATHER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS IT SLIDES PAST TO THE NORTH. BOTH
THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM DIGGING DOWN OVER THE
SOUTHEAST NEXT WEEKEND...WHICH IN TIME COULD PROVE TO BE SOMEWHAT
INTERESTING. FOR NOW...BOTH MODELS LIMIT THE RESPONSE TO SOME PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE REMNANTS OF THE OLD FRONT ACROSS THE GULF AND
FL PENINSULA AND OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. OUR FCST WILL REMAIN DRY
FOR NEXT WEEKEND...THE FIRST DRY WEEKEND SINCE THE WEEKEND AFTER
THANKSGIVING...WITH A MODERATING TREND IN TEMPS FOR SUNDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE THIS PERIOD WILL
BE WHAT TO DO WITH CIGS...AS CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW AS TO WHAT
TRENDS WILL BE BEYOND THE 2-3 HOUR PERIOD. PERIODS OF LIFR CIGS HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION...BUT THIS APPEARS TO BE LARGELY
TIED TO THE HIGH TERRAIN...AS VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SUB-MVFR
CIGS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED BEYOND 30-40 MILES FROM THE BLUE RIDGE.
THEREFORE...THE IFR/LIFR CIGS HAVE LARGELY BEEN CONTAINED TO THE
FOOTHILLS AND MTNS TERMINALS THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT. PRECIP SHOULD
GENERALLY BE LIGHT TO MODERATE...BUT OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE...LIKELY REDUCING VISBY TO 2SM OR LESS. THIS WILL BE MOST
LIKELY WITHIN A COUPLE OF HOURS EITHER SIDE OF MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...LOW LEVEL VERTICAL MOTION WILL BECOME MORE DOWNWARD-
ORIENTED TOWARD THE PRE-DAWN HOURS. THIS MAY RESULT IN GRADUALLY
IMPROVING CIGS AND DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH SHOWERY
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT S/SW OVERNIGHT...INCREASING LATE MONDAY
MORNING...AND VEERING TOWARD THE W AND NW AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
GRADUALLY ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATE MON...
WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM MON NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
03-09Z 09-15Z 15-21Z 21-03Z
KCLT HIGH 99% HIGH 96% HIGH 89% HIGH 80%
KGSP HIGH 93% HIGH 87% MED 74% MED 66%
KAVL MED 76% HIGH 80% MED 74% MED 70%
KHKY HIGH 99% HIGH 84% MED 67% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 91% HIGH 82% MED 76% MED 66%
KAND HIGH 97% MED 77% MED 70% MED 73%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY DEC 22ND...
AVL...56 IN 1923
CLT...60 IN 2011
GSP...61 IN 2011
RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY DEC 22ND...
AVL...71 IN 1970
CLT...72 IN 1889
GSP...70 IN 1970
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-
029.
NC...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-
062>065-501>510.
SC...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR SCZ001>007-010.
&&
SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...ARK/JDL
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...JDL
CLIMATE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1005 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ051>053-058-059-062>065-501>510- SCZ001>007-010-240315- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE- GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS- GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- ANDERSON- 1005 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THERE COULD BE A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE LARGE AREA OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-85. SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ008-009-011>014-019-240315- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CHEROKEE-YORK-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS- UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 1005 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS...SOME HEAVY...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS OVERNIGHT. THERE COULD BE A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE LARGE MASS OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-85. THE HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF URBAN FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN LOW SPOTS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ033-048>050-240315- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL- 1005 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. MOISTURE PUSHED UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS BY A COLD NORTHWEST WIND MAY RESULT IN SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE TENNESSEE BORDER LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AN ACCUMULATION OF AN INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. LANE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Glade Creek Parkway was closed due to flooding from nearby Glade Creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, December 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 489609.