Moderate to heavy rain occurred on the Black Forest and East Peak burn scars, causing flash flooding. In addition, flash floods occurred in western Las Animas County near Boncarbo, and in western Pueblo County from around Beulah to Rye.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.
Moderate to heavy rain occurred on the Black Forest and East Peak burn scars, causing flash flooding. In addition, flash floods occurred in western Las Animas County near Boncarbo, and in western Pueblo County from around Beulah to Rye.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 14, 10:18 AM MST, 3 hours 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1118 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 713 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 UPDATED SHORT TERM FORECAST GRIDS TO BRING INTO ALIGNMENT WITH CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS. LW && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT) ISSUED AT 340 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND TONIGHT ESPECIALLY FOR AREA BURNS SCARS... THE ATMOSPHERE IS PRIMED FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO TODAY. SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE WIDESPREAD IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S ACROSS THE PLAINS...IN THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE HIGH VALLEYS...WITH GENERALLY 40S HIGHER UP. A GOOD MONSOON PLUME IS IN PLACE. BUT...THE MOST IMPORTANT THING IS THAT A SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS HEADED THIS WAY FROM THE EAST. THIS DISTURBANCE IS PROVIDING A LOT OF LIFT ON ITS WESTERN FLANK OVER KANSAS THIS MORNING...WHERE A LINE OF NOCTURNAL STORMS IS FIRING IN RESPONSE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE DISTURBANCE ARE HIGH...ROUGHLY AROUND 2 INCHES. FORECAST MODELS HAVE THIS DISTURBANCE WORKING INTO EASTERN COLORADO TODAY...FIRING LOTS OF CONVECTION AND BRINGING LOTS OF WATER. THE 4KM NSSL WRF MODEL STARTS BREAKING OUT CONVECTION ALONG AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 17 AND 18Z. COVERAGE THEN INCREASES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND SPREADS OUT OVER MOST OF THE AREA. WHILE THE WATER THAT IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT IS LESS THAN WHAT IS WITH THE SYSTEM NOW...IT IS STILL APPRECIABLE. MODELS HAVE PWS RISING TO AROUND 1.5" AS THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. IN ADDITION...THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY...UPSLOPE...WINDS AS IT PUSHES INTO THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH WATER CONTENT...HIGH DEWPOINTS...UPSLOPE FLOW AND A DISTURBANCE TO PROVIDE LIFT...SPELLS DECENT FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO TODAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND FOR AREA BURN SCARS. IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...AREAS IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS WILL ALSO SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS AND ROCK SLIDES. MONITOR THE WEATHER CLOSELY TODAY. LW .LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 340 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 MONDAY...EC...NAM AND GFS MODELS AGREE ON SHIFTING THE UPPER LOW WESTWARD ACROSS THE OK AND TX PANHANDLES ON MONDAY...BUT THE LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS PLACE THE LOW SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH. A HEALTHY AMOUNT OF MOISTURE GETS PUSHED UP AGAINST THE EASTERN MTS MON MORNING...HENCE HOISTED FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR THE E MTS AND I25 CORRIDOR THROUGH 18Z MON. HOWEVER...THIS SWATH OF PCPN CONTINUES WEST RATHER QUICKLY AND BY MIDDAY SWEEPS ACROSS THE SLV AND TO THE CONTDVD...WHILE THERE ARE HINTS OF A DRY SLOT FOR THE E PLAINS. THIS IS AN UNUSUAL PATTERN...WHICH MAKES IT TOUGH TO DECIPHER WHAT IS TRULY GOING TO HAPPEN. TAPERED POP GRIDS TO TRY AND CAPTURE THIS WESTWARD PROGRESSION...BUT COULD NOT COMPLETELY PULL POPS OUT EAST JUST YET. COOLER EASTERLY FLOW AND ENHANCED CLOUD COVER SHOULD KEEP MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S FOR MOST AREAS...AND 60S FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TUESDAY...MODELS AGREE ON CONTINUING THE UPPER LOW TO THE WEST ACROSS NM ON TUE...WITH THE LOW WEAKENING BY MIDDAY. THE EC TENDS TO DISMISS THE LOW BY TUE AFTN...WHILE THE GFS IS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE AND STILL HOLDS ONTO THE ENHANCED PCPN FLOW THROUGH THE DAY. ANOTHER TOUGH FORECAST DAY WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTION COVERAGE...BUT FEEL THAT ONE MORE COOLER DAY IS IN THE QUEUE WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. TRENDED TO A MORE DIURNAL MT PATTERN BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE DAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR PCPN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MODELS ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME DECIDING WHAT THE FORECAST SOLUTION IS GOING TO BE FROM WED ON...WITH THE EC REVERTING BACK TO A DIURNAL MT PATTERN WHILE THE GFS WANTS TO KEEP A BROAD AREA OF ENHANCED PCPN FOR THE CWA FOR THE ENTIRE TIME. FEEL THIS IS UNREASONABLE...SO TRENDED TO THE EC AND STUCK WITH THE EXTENDED PROCEDURE TEMPS WHICH WARM THINGS BACK UP TO 90-95 F FOR THE PLAINS EACH DAY AND IN THE 80S FOR THE HIGH VALLEYS. WILL HAVE TO REEVALUATE ONCE THE FORECAST AREA MAKES IT THROUGH MONDAY. MOORE && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 1113 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO SENDING GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO. INCREASING MOISTURE BEHIND THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH THE MONSOON PLUME ALOFT AND AN INCOMING SYSTEM FROM THE EAST WILL SEND ENHANCED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS WITH THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING NUMEROUS BY THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CARRY TEMPO GROUP IN ALL THREE TAFS. THIS COULD BE A LONG DURATION EVENT...THOUGH INITIAL ROUND OF CONVECTION MAY MORPH INTO A STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION EVENT OVERNIGHT WITH CIGS DROPPING INTO THE MVFR TO POSSIBLY EVEN IFR CATEGORY RIGHT UP NEXT TO THE MOUNTAINS. HAVE THE LOWEST CIGS IN FOR KCOS. ITS POSSIBLE THAT KCOS COULD DROP INTO THE IFR CATEGORY LATE TONIGHT...THOUGH NORTHLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS OFF THE PALMER DIVIDE TEND TO KEEP CIGS SLIGHTLY HIGHER...SO HAVE PLAYED THAT ROUTE FOR NOW. CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE LATE MONDAY MORNING AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD. -KT && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR COZ072>088. FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ067-068. && UPDATE...LW SHORT TERM...LW LONG TERM...MOORE AVIATION...KT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1100 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 COZ058>089-093>099-151700- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT- CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT- WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET- WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT- WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT- TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT- CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY- EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY- EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY- LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY- 1100 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A COMBINATION OF DEEP MONSOON MOISTURE...MOIST SURFACE AIR AND A SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE MOVING IN FROM THE EAST WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE IN AND NEAR AREA BURN SCARS AND ALONG AND NEAR THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS. IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...AREAS IN AND NEAR BURN SCARS WILL ALSO SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR DEBRIS FLOWS AND ROCK SLIDES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ENHANCED MOISTURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY. THIS MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH A WESTWARD MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SET THE STAGE FOR POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE REGION. THESE RAINS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NUMEROUS BURN SCARS OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO. PEOPLE WHO LIVE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE WEATHER ON MONDAY...AND SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF A WARNING IS ISSUED OR FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED. FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS OVER THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR AREA BURN SCARS AND ALONG AND NEAR THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1140 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 COZ068-141815- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- 1140 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MINERAL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO... AT 1135 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WOLF CREEK PASS...OR 36 MILES NORTH OF DULCE...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH. THE STRONG STORM WILL IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINERAL COUNTY INCLUDING THE WINDY PASS BURN SCAR. HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. MUD AND ASH FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR. BE PREPARED TO CLIMB TO HIGHER GROUND IF RUNOFF BECOMES EXTREME. DON'T DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1150 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 COZ077-079-083-141815- CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT- 1150 AM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR... CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO... AT 1146 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROYAL GORGE...OR 32 MILES WEST OF MIDWAY... WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NORTHWESTERN CANON CITY ROYAL GORGE BURN SCAR. HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. HEAVY RAIN ON A BURN SCAR CAN CAUSE ENHANCED RUN OFF WITH MUD AND ASH FLOWS POSSIBLE. DO NOT CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. BE PREPARED TO CLIMB TO HIGHER GROUND OF FLOODING THREATENS.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 116 PM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 COZ069-072-073-141945- DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT- 116 PM MDT SUN JUL 14 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR... EAST CENTRAL SAGUACHE COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO... AT 113 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VILLA GROVE...OR 48 MILES NORTH OF ALAMOSA...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AT 5 MPH. THE STRONG STORM WILL IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL SAGUACHE COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PJC
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 133 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:13 UTC.
4 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Several county roads, including Shangri-La subdivision and CR 340, experienced flooding and washouts within the East Peak burn scar north of East Spanish Peak.
Several county roads and private roads around Boncarbo experienced flooding and washouts.
Several roads experienced flash flooding and washouts.
Rainfall amounts of up to six inches occurred from near Beulah to the Rye area causing flash flooding. A foot bridge in Rye was washed away and there were numerous road washouts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Colorado in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 458072, 458074, 458101, 458102.