Some heavy fall rainfall caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise just above flood stage during the latter half of November.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Some heavy fall rainfall caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise just above flood stage during the latter half of November.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 24, 5:41 AM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 541 AM CST SUN NOV 24 2013 .AVIATION... A STORM SYSTEM OVER ARIZONA THIS MORNING WILL ADVANCE EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. AS THE STORM APPROACHES...CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER AND THICKEN...ESPECIALLY TOWARDS MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL GENERALLY HOLD OFF UNTIL THE PERIOD ENDS BUT LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL SECTIONS AROUND DAY BREAK. CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 429 AM CST SUN NOV 24 2013/ SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT FIRST OF ALL...MADE THE DECISION TO CONVERT POLK...MONTGOMERY...AND PIKE COUNTIES TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AT LEAST SOME MODEST WINTRY PRECIP ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR THERE...BUT WAS NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO CONVERT THEM TO A WARNING AT THIS TIME. MORE ON THAT IN A MINUTE. ALSO ADDED PULASKI AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES TO THE WINTER STORM WATCH. NOW ON TO THE GOOD STUFF. THE HOPE WAS THAT THE SAT NIGHT MODEL RUNS WOULD INSTILL A GREAT DEAL MORE CONFIDENCE IN THE IMPENDING WINTER WEATHER. UNFORTUNATELY THAT DID NOT OCCUR. THERE IS STILL A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF DIFFERENCE WITH REGARD TO HOW QUICKLY THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE...HOW MUCH PRECIP WILL FALL AS YOU MOVE NORTH FROM THE LOUISIANA BORDER...AND ALSO THE MAGNITUDE AND POSITION OF THE WARM NOSE AND THE INHERENT EFFECTS THAT WILL HAVE ON PRECIP TYPE AND TRANSITIONS FROM ONE TO ANOTHER. WHAT I DO HAVE CONFIDENCE IN IS THAT THE CORRIDOR OR AREA OF HIGHEST CONCERN WITH REGARD TO PRECIP ACCUMULATIONS WILL STRETCH FROM POLK TO PULASKI COUNTY...AND BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST TO PIKE COUNTY. THIS WILL ENCOMPASS LOCATIONS LIKE MENA...MT IDA...HOT SPRINGS... BENTON...AND POSSIBLY UP TO LITTLE ROCK...THEN BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS DEGRAY LAKE. THIS CORRIDOR WILL BE POSITIONED CLOSER TO THE HEAVIER PRECIP AMOUNTS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE FURTHER SOUTH YOU GO...BUT ALSO WILL BE SITUATED FURTHER NORTH TOWARDS THE COOLER AIR. ADDITIONALLY THE WARM NOSE WILL BE MORE PRONOUNCED IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS SO PRECIP IN THE WEST/SOUTHWEST IS MORE LIKELY TO LINGER IN THE FROZEN OR FREEZING CATEGORY AS OPPOSED TO MORE QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TOWARDS AN ALL LIQUID TYPE. THESE AREAS SHOULD SEE THE MOST PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIP. WENT AHEAD AND CONVERTED THOSE SOUTHWEST MOST COUNTIES BECAUSE THEY WILL BE FURTHEST FROM THE WARM NOSE AND MOST LIKELY TO SEE BETTER ACCUMULATIONS. ON THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN EXTENT OF THE WINTER STORM WATCH...PRIMARILY PULASKI COUNTY...IT IS STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME WHETHER ACCUMULATIONS/IMPACTS WILL BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT CONVERTING TO AN ADVISORY OR A WARNING. ON THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN EXTENT OF THE WINTER STORM WATCH...SUCH AS CALHOUN AND BRADLEY COUNTIES...WHERE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE GREATEST...THE UNCERTAINTY IS WHETHER THERE WILL BE ENOUGH ICE/SLEET ACCUMULATION BEFORE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN OCCURS SUCH THAT A CONVERSION TO AN ADVISORY OR WARNING IS WARRANTED. WILL ALLOW THE DAY SHIFT TO GET ONE MORE LOOK AT SYNOPTIC MODEL RUNS TO FINALIZE A DECISION ON THIS. FURTHER NORTH...ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40...LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER PRECIPITATION RATES AND AMOUNTS ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY OVERALL CONDITIONS IN THE LONG TERM WILL PALE IN COMPARISON TO WHATS GOING ON IN THE SHORT TERM AS VERY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ALL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOW THE SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM/ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR FIRST TASTE OF WINTER LOCATED OFF TO THE EAST WHEN THE PERIOD STARTS WITH NORTHWEST FLOW IN PLACE OVER THE STATE. WITH MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT A BLEND OF FORECAST SOLUTIONS SEEMS THE WAY TO GO. SURFACE PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE WITH EVEN CLOUDS AT A PREMIUM FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD. NORTHWEST FLOW IN PLACE INITIALLY WILL GRADUALLY DAMPEN TO NEAR ZONAL BY FRIDAY WITH UPPER RIDGING/SOUTHWEST FLOW RETURNING OVER THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM DROPS ALONG THE WEST COAST. COMBINATION OF THE INCREASING MID LEVEL HEIGHTS AND SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING SURFACE HIGH WILL RESULT IN A SLOW WARMING TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE WELL BELOW NORMAL WHEN THE PERIOD STARTS WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WITH READINGS INCREASING TO THE 50S AREA WIDE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. WILL FOLLOW THE MAV/MEX TRENDS/NUMBERS FAIRLY CLOSELY THIS MORNING. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 33 29 36 29 / 0 20 40 30 CAMDEN AR 40 32 36 32 / 10 80 80 70 HARRISON AR 33 27 35 26 / 10 20 20 20 HOT SPRINGS AR 37 30 35 32 / 10 60 70 50 LITTLE ROCK AR 36 30 35 32 / 10 50 70 50 MONTICELLO AR 39 32 37 32 / 0 50 90 80 MOUNT IDA AR 37 29 34 29 / 20 70 70 40 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 33 27 36 27 / 0 20 30 20 NEWPORT AR 34 29 36 30 / 0 20 50 40 PINE BLUFF AR 37 31 36 32 / 10 50 80 70 RUSSELLVILLE AR 37 30 35 30 / 10 40 50 30 SEARCY AR 36 29 35 29 / 0 40 60 50 STUTTGART AR 36 31 36 32 / 0 40 70 60 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-JEFFERSON-OUACHITA-PULASKI-SALINE. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM CST MONDAY FOR MONTGOMERY-PIKE-POLK. && AVIATION...56
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CST SUN NOV 24 2013 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-251100- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 500 AM CST SUN NOV 24 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA THIS MORNING WILL BE MOVING TO THE EAST...REACHING THE NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS BORDER BY EARLY MONDAY. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD MOISTURE INTO AN ARCTIC AIR MASS ALREADY IN PLACE RESULTING IN A MIXED BAG OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. SOME LIGHT SNOW OT SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FAR WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASING AND SPREADING TO THE EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION EXPECTED JUST BEFORE DAY BREAK. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PIKE...MONTGOMERY AND POLK COUNTIES STARTING AT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A MENA TO LITTLE ROCK TO WARREN LINE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY AND BE LOCATED OFF THE TEXAS GULF COAST BY LATE TUESDAY. THE WINTERY MIX WILL INITIALLY BE SNOW AND SLEET WITH THE PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO A MIX OF SLEET...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN BY MID TO LATE MONDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY MIDDAY OR EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPER OFF SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. UPWARDS OF AN INCH OF SLEET AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA WITH UP TO A HALF INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE UNTIL THE CHANGEOVER OCCURS. DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS IN MANY AREA. THERE REMAINS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING HOW LONG AND HOW MUCH WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR AS THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA WILL INITIALLY BE VERY DRY. OVERALL THE SITUATION REMAINS IN FLUX AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE FINE TUNED. ALL RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO WATCH FOR UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ONCE THE SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEK BUT SLOWLY CLIMB BACK TO NEAR NORMAL BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 56
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Some heavy fall rainfall caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise just above flood stage during the latter half of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, November 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 482957.