Above normal rainfall during the month of January improved drought conditions across Randolph County. only abnormally dry (D0) conditions remained across the area by the end of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Above normal rainfall during the month of January improved drought conditions across Randolph County. As a result...only abnormally dry (D0) conditions remained across the area by the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 11:37 PM CST, 23 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1137 PM CST MON DEC 31 2012 .DISCUSSION... UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 903 PM CST MON DEC 31 2012/ UPDATE... AREA OF RAIN CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST THIS EVENING. EXPECT MOST OF THE RAIN TO BE LOCATED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL UPDATE TO REDUCE POPS ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. REST OF FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. KRM DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 327 PM CST MON DEC 31 2012/ CURRENTLY ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH REGION...A WAA/OVERRUNNING REGIME CONTINUES OUT AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW THAT IS LOCATED NEAR THE ARKLATEX REGION. ON RADAR...A BROAD AREA OF PRECIPITATION REMAINS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I40 CORRIDOR. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S WITH SOME SITES SEEING SLIGHTLY HIGHER TEMPERATURES. WINDS REMAIN NEAR THE 10MPH RANGE AND SOUTHERLY. TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EXPECTING SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD. IN THE SHORT TERM...MODELS SEEM TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING AND MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE CURRENT PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SLOWLY TO THE EAST IN RESPONSE TO THE ABOVE MENTIONED SURFACE LOW MOVING ALONG THE GULF COASTLINE. NOT EXPECTING ANY WINTRY PRECIP OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL BE TOO WARM. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE MIDSOUTH REGION TUESDAY ALLOWING FOR THE RETURN OF NORTHERLY FLOW. AS THE FRONT SPREADS TO THE EAST...ANY REMAINING SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CEASE FOR AREAS NORTH OF I40 BY AROUND 00Z WEDNESDAY...AND FOR THE ENTIRE REGION BY 06Z WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE ON TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL EVENTUALLY DIP INTO 20S BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. NOT EXPECTING ANY WINTRY PRECIP DURING THIS PERIOD AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL REMAIN TO WARM...AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FALL BELOW FREEZING UNTIL ALL RAIN HAS PASSED. FOR WEDNESDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE ALLOWING FOR A MOSTLY SUNNY..YET COOL DAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S WITH SOME ARES TO THE SOUTH REACHING INTO THE LOWER 40S. THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FORECAST MODEL SOLUTIONS SEEM TO DIVERGE IN THE LONG RANGE WITH RESPECT TO A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES PASSING BY THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD...SO WENT WITH A BLEND FOR THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. ON THURSDAY MORNING THE FIRST OF TWO WAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID TO LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. IN CONJUNCTION...A STRONG DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. DUE TO LACK OF TOTAL ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE...IT LOOKS AS IF THIS SYSTEM WILL PASS BY WITHOUT ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...THE ABOVE MENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL SPREAD A RE-ENFORCING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE ON THURSDAY. EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO FALL BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S FOR FRIDAY MORNING. DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY...EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND COOL TEMPERATURES. AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AND MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PROMOTE A SHORT LIVED WARMING TREND FOR SATURDAY AS HIGHS REACH BACK INTO THE 50S. THE SECOND OF TWO UPPER LEVEL WAVES WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. AS BEFORE...THE ATMOSPHERE LOOKS TO BE TOO DRY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...THEREFORE PARTLY CLOUDY BUT DRY CONDITIONS LOOK TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. CDG && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF CYCLE BAND OF RAIN FROM EAST TEXAS THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH WILL DRIFT VERY SLOWLY SE THROUGH THE PERIOD. PRECIP HAS ALREADY SHIFTED EAST OF KJBR THOUGH DRIZZLE...LIFR CIGS AND FOG WILL PREVAIL THERE OVERNIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY IMPROVING TUESDAY. NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 KTS ON TUESDAY. LIGHT RAIN WILL PERSIST AT KMEM AND KMKL WITH IFR CONDS DETERIORATING TO LIFR OVERNIGHT. CONDS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE AFT 01/17Z. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH AND INCREASE TO 10 KTS TUESDAY. CONDS JUST STARTING TO DETERIORATE AT KTUP AND IFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL PREVAIL THERE BY 01/09Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF TUESDAY. LIGHT SE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTH TUES MORNING AND INCREASE SLIGHTLY TUE AFTN. SJM && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 40 47 27 42 / 100 70 10 10 MKL 38 46 24 40 / 100 70 10 10 JBR 34 41 23 38 / 90 30 10 10 TUP 44 52 32 44 / 100 90 20 10 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 205 PM CST MON DEC 31 2012 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-012215- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 205 PM CST MON DEC 31 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. CDG
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe (D2) drought conditions improved to abnormally dry (D0) conditions.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, January 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 426343.