A widespread heavy rain event in late September lowered the drought categories below severe levels across a large part of the region. However, parts of the Edwards Plateau and the Big Country continued to be plagued by the drought.
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
A widespread heavy rain event in late September lowered the drought categories below severe levels across a large part of the region. However, parts of the Edwards Plateau and the Big Country continued to be plagued by the drought.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 11:05 PM CST, 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1205 AM CDT MON OCT 1 2012 .DISCUSSION... SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. && .AVIATION... PREDOMINANTLY A VFR FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. COULD SEE SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES AT KBBD FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS EARLY THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE VFR EXPECTED. A FEW SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE KSJT AND KSOA TERMINALS JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE TERMINALS MONDAY AFTERNOON. WENT WITH VICINITY SHOWERS MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR NOW AND WILL LEAVE MENTION OF THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST DUE TO TIMING/CONFIDENCE ISSUES. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1023 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012/ UPDATE... TO ADD SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AND LOWER OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES... DISCUSSION... DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION. THIS DISTURBANCES ARE PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND PARTS OF WEST TEXAS. THERE IS CURRENTLY A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN...AND THIS WILL LIKELY CLIP PARTS OF CROCKETT COUNTY. IN ADDITION...ANOTHER AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS QUICKLY MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. THIS MAY AFFECT...AT LEAST THE WESTERN PARTS OF THE CWA...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE LATEST HRRR MODEL RUN. I ADDED IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...FOR MAINLY THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. FINALLY...I LOWERED TEMPERATURES BY A FEW DEGREES ACROSS THE AREA...AS WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AND DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S. OTHERWISE...NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 706 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012/ DISCUSSION... SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT. BBD MAY SEE A VICINITY SHOWER OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS...AND SOME FOG DEVELOPING AFTER 09Z FOR ABOUT TWO HOURS. HIGH RESOLUTION RAP MODEL BRINGS THE ACTIVITY IN THE PANHANDLE NEAR THE WESTERN TERMINALS LATER TONIGHT...BUT DO NOT HAVE CONFIDENCE ENOUGH TO MENTION IN THE TAFS FOR SJT AND SOA. MODELS DEVELOP SHOWERS AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON...SO HAVE INCLUDED VCSH FOR ABI...SOA...AND SJT. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012/ SHORT TERM... CLOUD COVERAGE IS ON A DECREASING TREND AND EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS OUR AREA. SOMEWHAT GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME LIGHT BY EARLY TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WHICH DEVELOPS IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO/SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO TO SURVIVE LONG ENOUGH TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST INTO OUR AREA LATER TONIGHT LOOKS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE A MENTIONABLE POP...SO WILL LEAVE OUT FOR NOW. ANTICIPATE THAT SOME MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS /FROM UPSTREAM CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT/ WILL TRAVERSE OUR COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. CANNOT RULE OUT A POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT LATER TONIGHT WITH WEAK WINDS AND TEMPERATURES COOLING TO NEAR THE DEWPOINT VALUES. WITH THIS BEING THE SECOND NIGHT REMOVED FROM THE RAINFALL EVENT HOWEVER...AND WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER POSSIBLE...NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. THIS CAN BE MONITORED THIS EVENING. ON MONDAY...HAVE INCLUDED A SLIGHT CHANCE POP FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF OUR AREA. AN UPPER JET MAX WILL DIVE SOUTH THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF AN UPPER TROUGH...PLACING OUR AREA IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT DURING THE AFTERNOON. DURING THAT TIME...COLD AIR ADVECTION ALOFT /500MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO MINUS 13 TO MINUS 15 DEG C / WILL BE COINCIDENT WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMING TO OR ABOVE 80 DEGREES. LONG TERM... THIS WEEK WILL FEATURE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM CONTINUES TO DIVE SOUTH INTO THE U.S. PUSHING COLD FRONTS INTO WC TX. THIS PATTERN CAN MAKE IT VERY DIFFICULT TO PREDICT TEMPERATURES THOUGH. THE CANADIAN/GFS/AND ECMWF ALL INDICATE AN AMPLIFICATION IN THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS ACROSS THE WESTERN PROVINCES OF CANADA THIS WEEK. THIS TYPE OF PATTERN IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE OF SURGES OF CANADIAN AIRMASSES TO PLUNGE SOUTH INTO THE U.S. AND EVENTUALLY WC TX. AFTER A BEAUTIFUL WEATHER DAY ON TUESDAY...A WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND RESULT IN A WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO WEDNESDAY WHEN TEMPERATURES COULD REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S. AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...IT WILL SEND A CANADIAN COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY. FOR THIS REASON...TRENDED COOLER FOR THE BIG COUNTRY ON THURSDAY AND FORECASTED HIGHS MAY BE SLIGHTLY COOLER. AFTER A SLIGHT WARMING TREND ON FRIDAY...THE NEXT CANADIAN FRONT IS PROGGED TO ENTER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE BIG COUNTRY SATURDAY MORNING...AND THEN SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT. THE MODELS PROG STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS THE RIGHT REAR ENTRANCE OF A JET MAX CAUSES AN ISENTROPIC WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN TO DEVELOP ATOP THE COLD AIR. THE CHALLENGE WITH THIS FRONT WILL BE HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY. SINCE THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY....WILL START WITH HIGHS NEAR 70. BUT THESE TEMPS MAY BE COOLER. WENT AHEAD AND ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT RAIN AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. 26 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ABILENE 78 58 81 54 77 / 10 10 20 5 5 SAN ANGELO 79 58 82 56 78 / 10 20 20 10 0 JUNCTION 78 58 82 53 81 / 10 10 20 10 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 99/99/24
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 313 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-012015- FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD- TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE- MASON- 313 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY. THE POTENTIAL WEATHER HAZARDS INCLUDE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The U.S. Drought Monitor placed Fisher County into an extreme drought category.
The U.S. Drought Monitor placed most of Jones County into an extreme drought category.
The U.S. Drought Monitor placed most of Haskell County into an extreme drought category.
The U.S. Drought Monitor placed most of Throckmorton County into a severe drought category.
The U.S. Drought Monitor placed most of Shackelford County into a severe drought category.
The U.S. Drought Monitor placed most of Sutton County into a severe drought category.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 416624, 416625, 416626, 416627, 416628, 416629.