South Carolina, 2012

Flash Flood in South Carolina, July 31, 2012

July 31, 2012 · NWS GSP · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Heavy rain fell across the headwaters of the Reedy River in Greenville, causing the river the leave its banks in a few locations.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.

Heavy rain fell across the headwaters of the Reedy River in Greenville, causing the river the leave its banks in a few locations.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 1:18 PM EST, 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 1:18 PM EST, 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
218 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND LINGER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE NORTH ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONGEST VORT LOBE PUSHING INTO THE NW
MTNS WITH BEST FORCING AHEAD OF IT...KICKING OFF WIDESPREAD SHWRS
AND ISOLD TSTMS...ESP ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. WITH
OVERCAST SKIES...SHWRS AND COOLER AIR ACROSS THE CWA...THE LATE AFTN
TEMP FCST WAS SCALED BACK. CAPE VALUES HAVE REMAINED QUITE LOW ALSO
SO HAVE LIMITED TS MENTION TO THE CHC RANGE. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN IN
WHAT APPEARS TO BE A VERY LOW-TOPPED MCS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE
ISOLD LOW-END FLOODING ISSUES UNTIL THE SYSTEM MOVES E OF THE AREA
LATER TODAY...AND RAINFALL RATES AROUND CLT WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED.
CONVECTION WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVE BUT ISOLD SHWRS ARE EXPECTED TO
LINGER LATE TONIGHT...ESP OVER THE SE CWA. MRNG LOWS WILL BE NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVG AND AREAS OF FOG ARE LIKELY...ESP NEAR LAKES AND
RIVERS. THE SHORTWAVE TRACKS WELL E WED BUT ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE
WILL DROP DOWN OVER THE REGION IN CONTINUING NW FLOW ALOFT. WITH
MOISTURE PROFILES BEING MORE SHALLOW...AND LESS UPPER FORCING...
HAVE CHC POPS ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA THU AFTN. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR
AVG.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM EDT TUE...RATHER PERSISTENT E COAST TROUGHING WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THU...WITH HEIGHTS FORECAST TO SLOWLY RISE ON FRI.
POORLY RESOLVED WEAK SHORT WAVES IN THE MODELS MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO
DISPLAY TOO MUCH CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE FEATURE. BOTH THE GFS AND
NAM DO SHOW SOME MODEL RESPONSE EARLY WED NIGHT OVER THE PIEDMONT AS
AN APPARENT SHORT WAVE MOVES BY AND A WEAKENING BOUNDARY PROVIDES
SOME LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. THEREFORE...WILL HAVE SOME SCATTERED
TYPE POPS IN THAT AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS. DRYER AIR ARRIVES BY
LATE WED NIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NW.
THURSDAY SHOULD FEATURE CONSIDERABLE SUNSHINE AND HOT AFTERNOON
TEMPS. MODEL SOUNDINGS IN BUFKIT SHOW CONSIDERABLE INSTABILTY BY
LATE THU AFTERNOON AND SOME MODEL QPF RESPONSE DURING THE EVENING
OVER THE PIEDMONT IN THE WEAKLY CONVERGENT FLOW. HENCE...WILL ADD
SOME WIDELY SCATTERED TYPE POPS FOR THAT TIMEFRAME...BUT ENDING
ANY CONVECTIVE THREAT BY MIDNIGHT. ON FRIDAY...ANOTHER WEAK SHORT
WAVE DURING THE AFTERNOON HAS THE POTENTIAL TO TRIGGER MORE
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION SO WILL HAVE SOLID SCATTERED POPS FOR THAT.
LEANED TOWARD THE BIAS CORRECTED GMOS FOR MAX/MIN TEMPS AS IT HAS
BEEN PERFORMING VERY WELL. TEMPS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WILL BE A
CATEGORY OR SO ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 115 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE UPPER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION OVER
THE WEEKEND FROM A MEAN TROUGH OVER THE SE U.S. TO A FLAT RIDGE.
THEREFORE...THE ACTIVE NORTHERN STREAM WAVES WILL REMAIN NORTH OF
THE AREA. THIS PATTERN FAVORS TYPICAL SUMMERTIME SENSIBLE WEATHER.
THEREFORE...WE A EXPECT A STRONG DIURNAL PATTERN TO THE DAILY
CONVECTION. HOWEVER WITH WEAKLY UPSLOPE FLOW...SOME NOCTURNAL
SHOWERS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION OVER THE MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOUT A CATEGORY ABOVE AVERAGE SAT AND SUN.

A MODEL CONSENSUS INDICATES THAT A VIGOUROUS WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES SUN THROUGH MON WHICH WILL CAUSE HEIGHTS TO
GRADUALLY FALL AGAIN ACROSS THE SE. A SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO
CROSS THE AREA ON MON WHILE AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NW LATE IN THE DAY AND MOVE INTO THE AREA ON MON
NIGHT. HPC KEEPS THE FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA INTO TUE...BUT ECM
TAKES THE BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON TUE WITH THE GFS
LAYING THE FRONT OVER THE AREA. THESE TRIGGERING MECHANISMS SUPPORT
MORE SOLID POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR MON INTO TUE. MAX TEMPS WILL
CONTINUE ABOVE AVERAGE WITH 80S MTNS AND LOWER 90S PIEDMONT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...AS SHORTWAVE AND ASSOC AREA OF CONVECTION MOVES IN EXPECT
AT LEAST TEMPO MVFR CIG WITH PERIODS OF IFR EXPECTED IN HEAVIER
SHWRS. SCT TS ALSO PSBL WITH A TEMPO TS 18-22Z. CONVECTION WILL
TAPER OFF THIS EVE WITH MVFR VSBY AROUND DAYBREAK. WINDS WILL BE LGT
THRU THE PD.

ELSEWHERE...WIDESPREAD SHWRS WITH AT LEAST ISOLD TS ARE EXPECTED
THRU THE AFTN-EARLY EVE AS SHORTWAVE MOVES THRU. TEMPO MVFR/IFR
PSBL. SHOULD SEE IMPROVEMENT FROM THE NW THIS EVE. WINDS WILL STAY
LGT. IFR FOG/CIGS LIKELY AROUND DAYBREAK SHOULD LIFT BY MID MRNG.

OUTLOOK...SCT AFTN-EVE TSTMS ACROSS THE AREA EACH DAY. MTN VLYS WILL
SEE BEST CHANCE OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS/FOG.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOH
NEAR TERM...RB
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...RB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 4:35 AM EST, 9 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
535 AM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-010945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
535 AM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST
TODAY...PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND MOST OF UPSTATE SOUTH
CAROLINA. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE
ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT AND THE EASTERN UPSTATE OF
SOUTH CAROLINA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.
ISOLATED FLOODING COULD DEVELOP IN ANY LOCATION REPEATEDLY
AFFECTED BY STORMS. IN ADDITION...SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GERAPETRITIS

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 16 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Greenville

When
July 31, 2:00 PM EST to 4:00 PM EST
Where
Greenville County, 0.71 mi ESE of Brandon to 0.88 mi SE of Brandon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.845, -82.389

The Reedy River flooded Cleveland Park with around 2 feet of water. One person was rescued from the Reedy near Partridge Lane which is in the immediate vicinity of the park.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in South Carolina in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in South Carolina, July 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 400412.