High Wind in North Carolina, December 26, 2012

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
349 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
TENNESSEE TODAY AND PUSH OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY THURSDAY
MORNING. MEANWHILE...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS EVENING AND DOMINATE THE
WEATHER UNTIL ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ADVANCES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND PASSES EAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COMPLICATED FCST CONTINUES AS UPPER LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED SFC LOW
MOVE TOWARD THE AREA TODAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
IN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM. EXPECT SOME HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS EARLY
RAIN. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED FLOOD EVENT BEFORE DAYBREAK. THIS
WIDESPREAD RAIN CONTINUES UNTIL THE BKN SQUALL LINE OVER GA MOVES
INTO THE AREA NEAR DAYBREAK. THIS SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE MORNING AND EXIT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE IS SOME
WEAK INSTABILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH HIGH SHEAR AND
HELICITY. THE WARM FRONT TO OUR SOUTH IS SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWARD.
THE NAM AND SREF BOTH DEVELOP A TRIPLE POINT LOW ALONG THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND MOVE IT ALONG THE I-85 CORRIDOR. IF THE
FRONT CAN MOVE NORTH AND A WAVE FORM ALONG IT...THEN SVR STORM CHC
WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY ALONG WITH TORNADO POTENTIAL. IF THE
FRONT REMAINS TO THE SOUTH...THEN ONLY ISOLATED SVR STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE. THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS COULD DROP ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN
AS THEY MOVE THRU. THIS COULD COMBINE WITH THE EARLY HEAVY RAIN TO
CREATE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING. WILL KEEP THE FFA IN PLACE FOR THIS.

STILL LOOKS LIKE A WINDY DAY AS LOW LEVEL JET CRANKS UP THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE MTNS. THIS JET MOVES NORTH ACROSS ALL THE MTNS DURING THE
MORNING...SO HAVE ADDED THE REST OF THE MTNS WITH SIGNIFICANT AREAS
ABOVE 3500 KFT TO THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE MORNING. EXPECT
WINDY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THRU THE AFTERNOON SO ADDED ALL LOWER
ELEVATION MTNS TO THE WIND ADV ALL DAY. HIGH ELEVATIONS TRANSITION
TO WIND ADV FOR THE AFTERNOON AS WELL. GUSTY ELY WINDS CONTINUE
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SW
WITH FROPA BUT WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THRU THE
AFTERNOON. EVEN THO WINDS WILL TAPER OFF OVER THE NRN TIER LATE
MORNING...THEY SHUD PICK BACK UP FOR THE AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...WILL
ISSUE A WIND ADV ALL AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS TODAY AS THE WET
GROUND COULD AID IN FALLING TREES. PRECIP ENDS ACROSS THE AREA BY
LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...NW FLOW PRECIP WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MTNS.
TEMPS COOL ENUF FOR SNOW TO DEVELOP AT THE HIGH ELEVATIONS BY
SUNDOWN...BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMS TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 230 AM WEDNESDAY...AS THE DEEP LOW PRES SYSTEM LIFTS NE ACRS
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT...WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE IN STRONG
NWLY FLOW WILL BRING A ROUND OF HIGH WINDS AND SNOW SHWRS TO THE NRN
NC MTNS. THE WIND GUSTS AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMS WILL BE
MARGINAL FOR HIGH WIND WARNING AND WINTER WX
ADVISORY...RESPECTIVELY. GIVEN ALL THE WIND HEADLINES FOR TODAY IN
THE MTNS...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANYTHING FOR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...FAIRLY CONFIDENT THAT A HIGH WIND WARNING OR WIND ADVISORY
WILL BE NEEDED AT LEAST IN THE NRN MTNS.

AS FOR THE SNOW ACCUMS...IT LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY BRIEF WINDOW OF GOOD
NW UPSLOPE FLOW...DEEP MOISTURE AND IDEAL LLVL TEMPS. BASED ON THE
LATEST FCST...I DO HAVE 1-3" IN THE NRN MTNS. SO WILL PLAN TO ISSUE
A WINTER WX ADV FOR THE NRN FOUR ZONES (MADISON TO AVERY).

OTHERWISE...OUTSIDE THE MTNS THE WINDS SHUD TAPER OFF AND SKIES
CLEAR OUT. TEMPS WILL BE BACK DOWN TO NEAR NORMAL FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.

THURSDAY THRU FRIDAY...LOW PRES CONTINUES TO QUICKLY LIFT NE INTO
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...TAKING THE MOISTURE WITH IT. WINDS AND NW
FLOW SNOW SHWRS WILL QUICKLY SUBSIDE BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. DRY HIGH
PRES BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR BETTER RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT A CATEGORY BELOW NORMAL
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON ANOTHER
SYSTEM TO QUICKLY APPROACH THE AREA IN FAST PROGRESSIVE FLOW. A
DIGGING UPPER TROF WILL EJECT INTO THE MID MS VLY...WITH A WEAK SFC
WAVE DEVELOPING INVOF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. THE
CONSENSUS OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS IS THAT LLVL THICKNESSES WILL BE
MARGINAL FOR WINTRY PRECIP IN THE SRN APPALACHIANS WITH ONSET OF
PRECIP BEFORE DAYBREAK SATURDAY. RESIDUAL DRY BL AIR MAY RESULT IN
SUB-FREEZING WET BULB TEMPS IN THE VALLEYS FOR POCKETS OF FREEZING
RAIN OR SLEET. HOWEVER...THE 00Z ECMWF AND CMC THICKNESSES ARE MORE
OF A HIGH-ELEV RA/SN SET UP. THE NAM AND GFS FCST SNDGS IN THE HIGH
ELEVATIONS SUPPORT MORE OF A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW/SLEET/FREEZING RAIN
FOR BRIEF PERIOD OVERNIGHT...PERHAPS INTO SATURDAY MORNING. FOR
NOW...I OPTED TO USE THE TOP-DOWN METHOD ON THE GFS
SOUNDINGS...WHICH RESULTS IN POSSIBLY A LIGHT SNOW/SLEET
ACCUM...GENERALLY ABOVE 3500 FT AND PERHAPS SOME FREEZING RAIN IN
SOME OF THE HIGH ELEVATION VALLEYS. THE QPF LOOKS FAIRLY LIGHT...AND
CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW ON HOW MUCH...IF ANY...AND WHAT TYPE OF
WINTRY PRECIP MAY FALL FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 255 AM WEDNESDAY...GOOD CONFIDENCE IS HAD IN THE FIRST HALF OF
THE EXT PERIOD. THE OP MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE BROAD
ULVL TROF TRAVERSING THE AREA SAT THROUGH EARLY SUN AS THE 00Z RUNS
DISPLAY LITTLE TIMING OR DEEPNESS DIFFERENCES WITH THE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN. THE 00Z GEFS MEAN SUPPORTS THE ECMWF IDEA OF THE SFC
CYCLONE TRACKING MORE EAST THAN THE OP GFS...BUT NONETHELESS...THE
DIFFERENCES IN THE UPSTREAM THERMAL PROFILES ARE NOT THAT GREAT EARLY
ON.

THE SFC LOW WILL BE OVER NRN FL BY 12Z SAT WHICH WILL SUPPORT WARM
ATL CONVEYOR BELT MOISTURE INTO THE CWFA. ISENTROPIC AND MECH LIFT
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO BUMP UP POPS TO LIKELY EARLY ON WITH THE DRY
SLOT NOT ANTICIPATED UNTIL AROUND 00Z. MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE IFFY ON
HIGHER ELEVATION P/TYPES AS THE SFC LAYER STRUCTURE HAS YET TO BE
FULLY FIGURED OUT. THE GFS IS COLDER AND ALLOWS MORE TW COOLING THAN
THE NAM AT HR 84...WHILE THE ECMWF HI/RES SOUNDINGS SHOW LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF A WARM NOSE AND A MOIST SHALLOW SFC LAYER. THUS...WILL
USE THE BROADER NOMOGRAM APPROACH FOR MOST OF SAT.

A TRANSIENT HYBRID CAD WONT ALLOW FOR MUCH COOLING ACROSS THE LOWER
TERRAIN AND WILL MAINLY COUNT ON DIURNAL CURVES TO AFFECT P/TYPES IN
THE NC MTNS. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3 KFT COULD SEE A FEW HRS OF
IP...PERHAPS BRIEF -FZRA WITH LITTLE ACCUMS BEFORE OVERALL WARMING
OF THE SFC LAYER TRANSITIONS ALL AREAS TO -RA BY NOON. AS THE ULVL
TROF CROSSES OVERHEAD AND DRY SLOT WORKS IN...LLVL THICKNESSES WILL
BEGIN TO DROP QUICKLY ACROSS THE MTNS AND INSTIGATE A PERIOD NWFS
AROUND 00Z SUN PERSISTING THROUGH 18Z OR SO. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE LOW
AND LIKELY SUB/ADVISORY OUTSIDE THE NRN MTNS.

CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN SUN AND MAINTAIN A GENERAL
THETA/E TROF OVER THE AREA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FCST CONFIDENCE IS
LOW AFT SUN AS WIDELY DIFFERING SOLNS ARE SEEN IN THE LATEST RUNS OF
THE GFS/ECMWF. THE GFS DEVELOPS ANOTHER GOM LOW MON EVENING...THEN
PUSHES IT TOWARD THE REGION THROUGH TUE. THE ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND
SUPPORTS A REINFORCING CP AIRMASS WITH A LARGE CONFLUENT ZONE ALOFT
OVER THE TN VALLEY AND CAROLINAS. THUS...THE ECWMF HAS A SHARP
UPSTREAM SRN RIDGE WHICH WOULD BLOCK ANY DEEPENING PACIFIC TROF INTO
THE SRN PLAINS.

POPS WERE LEFT LOW END...BUT THE LLVL THERMAL PROFILES IN EITHER
MODEL SCENARIO WOULD SUPPORT -SNSH OR PERHAPS A WINTRY MIX LATE MON
INTO TUE ACROSS THE NC MTNS AND PERHAPS NOCTURNAL SNOW OVER THE NC
FHILLS AND PIEDMONT. TOO MUCH CAN CHANGE TO INCLUDE IN THE GRIDS
ATTM...SO THE MENTIONABLE SNOW WILL BE LEFT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
MAX TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL BY A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY AND
MINS WILL HOVER AROUND NORMAL SAT NIGHT WITH A DIP BELOW FREEZING
CWFA/WIDE SUN NIGHT...THEN A MODEST WARMING OF MINS MON AND TUE
NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...COMPLEX FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH BASICALLY
ALL AVIATION FORECAST PARAMETERS BEING PROBLEMATIC. RAIN WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
MVFR THEN IFR RESTRICTIONS DEVELOP. NELY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN
SPEED AND BECOME GUSTY DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY WED...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SE
THEN S AND FINALLY SW. WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY GUSTY THRU THE PERIOD.
TSRA CHC INCREASES WITH FROPA AS WELL...SO INCLUDED PROB30 TO COVER.
CIGS GO MVFR FOR AFTERNOON THEN SCATTER OUT FOR THE EVENING AS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE DRIES.

ELSEWHERE...IFR CIGS AND MVFR VSBY WILL REDEVELOP/CONTINUE AS
WIDESPREAD RAIN MOVES IN BY DAYBREAK. GUSTY ENE WIND DEVELOPS BY
THEN AS WELL. AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...
SCATTERED TS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TERMINALS...SO INCLUDED
PROB30 TO COVER. WINDS BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY AS THEY SHIFT TO SW
WITH FROPA. CIGS BECOME MVFR THEN LOW VFR WITH FROPA AND SCATTER OUT
FOR THE EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY SW TO W WIND CONTINUES DURING THE
EVENING. WINDS GO NNW AT KAVL FOR LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME
MVFR RESTRICTIONS COULD REDEVELOP AT KAVL AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
LINGERS OVER THE MTNS. EXPECT LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR TO DEVELOP NEAR
THE TIME OF FROPA.

OUTLOOK...NW FLOW MOISTURE IN THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY MAY BRING
RESTRICTIONS BACK TO KAVL INTO EARLY THU...WITH GUSTY NW FLOW.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA BY THE
WEEKEND.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-
     026-028-029.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GAZ010.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-035>037-
     048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ062>065.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR NCZ033-048>052-058-
     059-062>064.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST
     THURSDAY FOR NCZ033-048>050.
SC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR SCZ001>014-019.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SCZ001>003.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...RWH
SHORT TERM...ARK
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

SCZ001-002-270400-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING AND PASS TO
THE EAST BY LATE AFTERNOON. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF
THE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST WITH THESE
STORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85.

AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...A PERIOD OF VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ENTIRE REGION...STARTING AROUND MIDDAY
IN THE UPPER SAVANNAH VALLEY AND WESTERN UPSTATE...AND CONTINUING
EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND WILL BE
WET...THE WINDY CONDITIONS MAY KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ051-052-058-059-270400-
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY BELOW
3500 FEET...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DOWNED
TREES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ033-048>050-053-501-503-505-270400-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING PLENTY OF MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE AS WELL AS THE SOUTH FACING SLOPES AND
ADJACENT VALLEYS OF THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALSO GENERATE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS. SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE HIGH...SO THESE WINDS WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DOWN TREES ACROSS THE AREA.

AS THE LOW BEGINS TO EXIT THE AREA TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER...WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. THE WINDS MAY DOWN MORE
TREES OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DOWNED
TREES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ062-063-270400-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY BELOW
3500 FEET...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DOWNED
TREES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ502-504-506-507-509-270400-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING PLENTY OF MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO INCHES OR MORE MAY RESULT
IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
AREAS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING AND PASS TO
THE EAST BY LATE AFTERNOON. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF
THE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST WITH THESE
STORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85.

AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...A PERIOD OF VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ENTIRE REGION...STARTING AROUND MIDDAY
IN THE UPPER SAVANNAH VALLEY AND WESTERN UPSTATE...AND CONTINUING
EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND WILL BE
WET...THE WINDY CONDITIONS MAY KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-NCZ064-065-270400-
RABUN-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING PLENTY OF MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO INCHES OR MORE MAY RESULT
IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

AFTER A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...A PERIOD OF VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND WILL BE
WET...THE WINDY CONDITIONS MAY KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DOWNED
TREES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-
SCZ004>014-019-270400-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING PLENTY OF MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO INCHES OR MORE MAY RESULT
IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...
MAINLY IN AREAS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING AND PASS TO
THE EAST BY MID-AFTERNOON. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY
AROUND SUNRISE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES. AS SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVE
ACROSS UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
PIEDMONT THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEY ARE
EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...INCREASING THE RISK OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
WEATHER. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO...
MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-77 CORRIDOR...AND SOUTHEAST OF I-85
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...A PERIOD OF VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ENTIRE REGION...STARTING AROUND MIDDAY
IN THE UPPER SAVANNAH VALLEY AND WESTERN UPSTATE...AND CONTINUING
EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND WILL BE
WET...THE WINDY CONDITIONS MAY KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

SCZ003-270400-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
1058 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING AND PASS TO
THE EAST BY LATE AFTERNOON. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF
THE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST WITH THESE
STORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85.

AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...A PERIOD OF VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ENTIRE REGION...STARTING AROUND MIDDAY
IN THE UPPER SAVANNAH VALLEY AND WESTERN UPSTATE...AND CONTINUING
EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND WILL BE
WET...THE WINDY CONDITIONS MAY KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

LANE