Strong winds developed across the entire area in the wake of a strong cold front and associated with a deep low pressure center that moved across southern Ontario. Winds gusts to around 70 mph and remained quite strong all night.
Every event with a place to put it; 17 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BUF wrote it up.
Strong winds developed across the entire area in the wake of a strong cold front and associated with a deep low pressure center that moved across southern Ontario. Winds gusts to around 70 mph and remained quite strong all night. The strongest winds occurred along the Lake Erie shoreline to the Chautauqua Ridge and the Lake Ontario shoreline from Henderson Bay to the St. Lawrence River. Throughout the region, the strong winds downed trees and power lines. Several autos were reported damaged by falling trees. Several reports of downed signs and minor structure damage were also received. Some school districts in the area either cancelled classes or delayed start as a result of wind damage. Utilities reported several tens of thousands without power at the peak of the storm. Specific gusts included: 72 mph at Rochester, 69 mph at Dunkirk and Oswego, 63 mph at Barcelona, 62 mph at Olcott, 60 mph at Irondequoit, 59 mph at Buffalo, 58 mph at Alabama and Fort Drum, and 46 mph at Dansville.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 17, 3:38 PM EST, 2 hours 42 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
338 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS JUST TO THE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS
EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT WITH A STRONG WIND SETTING UP BEHIND THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT. WIND GUSTS MAY REACH 60 TO NEAR 70 MPH THIS
EVENING...THEN FALL BACK A LITTLE BUT REMAIN QUITE GUSTY ALL NIGHT.
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED TO THE EAST OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. COLD TEMPERATURES
FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE 20S AND TEENS TONIGHT
WITH A RECOVERY OF ONLY A COUPLE DEGREES DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE BULK OF STEADIER RAIN WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION BY
EARLY EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BASIN.
THE HIGH WIND SCENARIO WILL SET UP THIS EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW
LIFTS PAST TO THE NORTH. LOOKING AT THE SAINT LOUIS UNIVERSITY CIPS
COLD SEASON ANALOGS...THIS EVENT IS SIMILAR AND STRONGER THAN TWO
SIGNIFICANT WIND EVENTS FROM 22ND AND 27TH OF FEBRUARY OF 1997 FOR
WHICH WINDS WERE RESPECTIVELY 63 AND 70 MPH. OUR CURRENT ISALLOBARIC
GRADIENT TRAILING THE SURFACE LOW IS MUCH STRONGER THAN THESE PAST
EVENTS...THUS HAVE MUCH HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN THE OUTLOOK FOR A
STRONG BUT SHORT LIVED HIGH WIND EVENT THIS EVENING. 12Z NAM12
BUFKIT FORECAST PROFILES SHOW SEVERAL AREAS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35
TO 45 MPH WITH 60 TO 65 MPH GUSTS.
THE MOST LIKELY REGIONS OF HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE LAKE ERIE
SHORE TO THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...NORTH TO THE NIAGARA REGION AND EAST
TO THE LOWER GENESEE VALLEY...ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO AND TO THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION ESPECIALLY FROM HENDERSON BAY TO THE HEAD OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. OF PARTICULAR NOTE ARE THE WINDS COMING OFF
THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO TO THE SHORES OF JEFFERSON COUNTY
WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TRAILING THE LOW WILL ALLOW WINDS TO
ACCELERATE ACROSS THE LAKE WATERS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
RATHER SHORT LIVED WITH ONLY A 3 HOUR PERIOD OF HIGHEST GUSTS
EXPECTED...THEN WIND GUSTS WILL SETTLE BACK TO A 30 TO 40 MPH
RANGE...STILL QUITE IMPRESSIVE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER ON
WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES ACROSS THE REGION.
AS COLD AIR POURS OVER THE LAKES TEMPERATURES AT 850MB WILL FALL TO
A -14C TO -16C RANGE LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF EARLY
WEDNESDAY. WIND BECOME WELL ALIGNED AT 270-280 DEGREES WHICH WILL
IMPINGE MAINLY UPON THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE SOUTHERN TUG HILL
TO CENTRAL NY. WILL HAVE A LAKE SNOW ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY
ON WEDNESDAY AS STEADY LAKE SNOWS ACCUMULATE GENERALLY 6 TO 8 INCHES
OVER THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL TO THE LOW 20S NEAR THE LAKES AND
INTO THE TEENS INLAND AND ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. WITH LITTLE
RECOVERY DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A VERY PROGRESSIVE FLOW CONTINUES WITH NO BLOCKING TO IMPEDE THE
TRAIN OF SYSTEMS WORKING THEIR WAY ACROSS NORTH AMERICA. WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING WILL FEATURE A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH A SURFACE REFLECTION MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.
CLEARING SKIES ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS...FRESH SNOW...AND A COLD
AIRMASS OVERHEAD WITH 850MB TEMPS AROUND -16C WILL MAKE FOR ANOTHER
COLD NIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ONLY CATCH IS THAT THE PERIOD OF
LIGHTEST WINDS WILL BE EARLIER IN THE EVENING BEFORE THE SURFACE
RIDGE SHIFTS EAST AND SOUTHERLY FLOW PICKS UP OVERNIGHT...LIMITING
THE WINDOW OF RADIATIONAL COOLING. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH LOWS IN THE
LOW TO MID TEENS WITH ZERO TO 5 BELOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...A
FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE. THIS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED LOWER YET
IF THE RIDGE'S PROGRESSION SLOWS AND TEMPERATURES HAVE MORE OF AN
OPPORTUNITY TO CRASH.
THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT WESTERN NEW YORK WILL ARRIVE ON
THURSDAY AS A POTENT CLIPPER CROSSING THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE
COUNTRY WILL SWEEP A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FAST MOVING
SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SYNOPTIC SNOW TO ALL OF THE FORECAST
AREA THURSDAY WITH A TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT BY THURSDAY EVENING
AS COLD AIR SPILLS ACROSS THE LAKES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. GIVEN THE
SPEED WITH WHICH THE FRONT WILL TRANSITION THE REGION...SYNOPTIC
SNOWFALL WILL PROBABLY BE IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. LAKE
EFFECT AMOUNTS WILL BE TRICKY TO PINPOINT AS THERE WILL BE A PERIOD
OF VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH SFC-850 DELTA T RUNNING FROM -13
TO -18 AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS STARTING OUT NEAR 10K FEET. INCREASING
SUBSIDENCE ACROSS LAKE ERIE WITH THE APPROACHING RIDGING ALOFT AND
AT THE SURFACE WILL PUT AN END TO LAKE EFFECT BY FRIDAY MORNING OFF
OF LAKE ERIE WHILE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. GIVEN THE LONGER FETCH OFF OF THE
LAKE...ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE THERE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD FRIDAY...PUTTING AN END TO ANY LAKE
EFFECT BY THE AFTERNOON. THE ARCTIC AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL
MAKE FOR A COLD WINTERS DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO AROUND 20 ON
THE LAKE PLAIN.
THE FORECAST BECOMES MORE COMPLICATED BY FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING
INTO THE GREAT PLAINS LEADS TO SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IN THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES. AN AREA OF ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG A BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL
MOVE ACROSS OR JUST SOUTH OF THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE PLACEMENT OF THIS BAROCLINIC ZONE AND THE ASSOCIATED
LIFT/PRECIPITATION IS A MATTER OF DEBATE AMONG THE MODELS WITH THE
GFS PLACING THE ZONE OVER WESTERN NEW YORK WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS THE
SHORTWAVE AND THUS ALL OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED FEATURES FARTHER
SOUTH...JUST CLIPPING THE SOUTHERN TIER. FOR NOW WILL STICK WITH
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL MODEL GUIDANCE BECOMES
CLEARER. THE FORECAST LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT HEDGE SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE
GFS WITH WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE REGION AND ZERO TO
MINUS 5 ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. THIS MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED
UPWARDS SIGNIFICANTLY DEPENDING ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE
FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE AREA OF ISENTROPIC LIFT THAT MAY BE A
FACTOR ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK MOVES EAST AWAY FROM THE REGION BY
LATE SATURDAY AS THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF A BROAD
LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NATION/S MIDSECTION WILL LEAD TO A
SIGNIFICANT WARMUP FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND ACROSS THE
REGION WITH SATURDAY/S HIGHS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE...RISING
INTO THE 40S BY SUNDAY.
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL PERSIST FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS A
SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS MAKE THEIR WAY ACROSS THE NATION. TIMING OF
THESE SYSTEMS IS IFFY AT THE MOMENT...SO CHANCE POPS WILL HAVE TO
DO. MODEL CONSENSUS DOES SUGGEST THAT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
RUN ABOVE AVERAGE DURING THIS PERIOD HOWEVER.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A BROAD AREA OF STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIP MOVING EAST ACROSS
THE AREA PRECEDES A DEEP SURFACE LOW JUST TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST
AREA. GENERALLY SEE IFR CONDITIONS IN LOWER CIGS AND VSBYS WITH THE
STEADY RAIN...BUT THIS WILL IMPROVE IN FLIGHT CATEGORY TO MVFR AFTER
19Z TO 21Z. THEN AS THE SURFACE LOW PASSES THE REGION TO THE NORTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO AND TRAILING COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...SURFACE
WINDS WILL INCREASE SHARPLY TO AN AVERAGE OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS
SUSTAINED AND GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. THE
GUSTIEST WINDS WILL BE LIMITED TO ONE TO THREE HOURS FOLLOWING FROPA
BUT WILL THEN SETTLE TO PROLONGED PERIOD OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
MID AND UPPER LEVEL DRYING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT WILL LEAD
TO SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST...AND EVEN LOSS OF CEILINGS FOR SOME
LOCALES BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. COLD AIR WITH 850MB TEMPS IN THE
-14C TO -16C RANGE WILL PRODUCE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND TUG HILL PLATEAU. KJHW WILL BE THE SOLE TAF
SITE WITH MAJOR IMPACT FROM THIS LAKE EFFECT WITH IFR CONDITIONS IN
FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AFTER 03Z...IMPROVING TO MVFR AFTER
12Z ON WEDNESDAY.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR SLIGHT CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR...CHC SNOW SHOWERS SE OF BOTH LAKES.
SATURDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
SUNDAY...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL PASS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE LAKES
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT TO FOLLOW CLOSELY.
THE FRONT WILL BRING A SHARP DROP IN TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN
WINDS WITH HIGH END GALES ON BOTH LAKES. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS
WILL FOLLOW CLOSELY BEHIND THE FRONT THEN SETTLE A BIT OVERNIGHT...
BUT STILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT A LONGER TERM SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY TO FOLLOW THE CURRENT GALE WARNING. ANOTHER WIND EVENING IS
ON TAP FOR THURSDAY...BUT MAY STAY JUST BELOW GALE WARNING CRITERIA.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ001-002-
010>012-019-020-085.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ012-019-020-085.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR NYZ003>008-013-014-021.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
NYZ004>006-008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ030.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042>045-
062>065.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WCH
NEAR TERM...WCH
SHORT TERM...WOOD
LONG TERM...WOOD
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...WCHHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 NYZ003-182100- MONROE- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ001-002-010-011-182100- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ012-019-020-085-182100- WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ013-014-021-182100- LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ004-005-182100- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006-182100- OSWEGO- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-182100- JEFFERSON- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ008-182100- LEWIS- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-182100- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF SLZ022-024-182100- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LOZ042>045-062>065-182100- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 406 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 NYZ001>004-010>013-019-020-085-180015- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING- LIVINGSTON-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...JAMESTOWN... OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 406 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TO IMPACT WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT... A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT PUSHING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. STRONG PRESSURE RISES ALONG WITH COLD AIR SURGING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS EVENING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH GUSTING AS HIGH AS 65 MPH OVERNIGHT. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL RUN FROM AROUND 7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 3 AM. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE AFTER THIS FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. NYZ005>007-014-021-180015- NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN... CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE 406 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TO IMPACT WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT... A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT PUSHING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK. STRONG PRESSURE RISES ALONG WITH COLD AIR SURGING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS EVENING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH GUSTING AS HIGH AS 65 MPH OVERNIGHT. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL RUN FROM AROUND 9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 4 AM. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE AFTER THIS FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. NYZ008-180015- LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 406 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TO IMPACT WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT... A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT PUSHING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND THE NORTH COUNTRY. STRONG PRESSURE RISES ALONG WITH COLD AIR SURGING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS EVENING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH GUSTING AS HIGH AS 65 MPH OVERNIGHT. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL RUN FROM AROUND 11 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 5 AM. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER THIS INTO MID MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 503 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-180000- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 503 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 ...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING... A STRONG LINE OF SHOWERS AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IF THIS LINE HOLDS TOGETHER...IT WILL ENTER WESTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY BEFORE 530 PM...AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE REST OF WESTERN NEW YORK BETWEEN 530 PM AND 7 PM. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL IMPACT AREAS ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER POSSIBLY AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. FOLLOWING THE LINE OF SHOWERS...A GENERAL AREA OF STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN NEW YORK WITH ADDITIONAL GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. HITCHCOCK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
620 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0606 PM TSTM WND GST NY BUFFALO INTL ARPT 42.93N 78.73W
01/17/2012 M67 MPH ERIE NY ASOS
ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1200002
HITCHCOCKThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
17 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, January 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 363481, 363478, 363483, 363479, 363480, 363484, 363482, 363488, 363477, 363485, 363489, 363476, 363487, 363486, 363491, 363490, 363492.