Montana, 2012

Winter Storm in Montana, March 21 to 22, 2012

March 21 to 22, 2012 · NWS TFX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A disturbance aloft brought heavy snow to portions of the Rocky Mountain Front. Snow amounts up to 10 inches were reported.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A disturbance aloft brought heavy snow to portions of the Rocky Mountain Front. Snow amounts up to 10 inches were reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 21, 3:00 AM MST, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 21, 3:00 AM MST, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
400 AM MDT WED MAR 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...SATELLITE INDICATES NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS
THE ZONES WITH THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OUT OVER THE PACIFIC. THE
WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT TIMING OF THE ADVISORY.  SOME WEAK SURFACE
PRESSURE RISES WILL CONTINUE TO THE NORTH. IN ADDITION...WEAK
RIDGING WILL MOVE THE JET NORTH AND MID LEVEL WINDS WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH THE DAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF THE TROF IN THE
PACIFIC WILL BE OVER THE ZONES TONIGHT AND BRING BRISK SOUTHWEST
FLOW BY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ZONES. A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROF TO THE WEST WILL CROSS THE ZONES THURSDAY.
THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE SHOULD CAUSE SOME LIFT. HOWEVER...WARMER
TEMPS ALOFT SHOULD INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT BE BEYOND SHOWERS. THE
AIRMASS COOLS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
CURRENT FRONTAL TIMING PUTS IT THROUGH KGTF LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING. ZELZER

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...INCREASED POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL MONTANA. MODELS ALSO SHOW A WEAK
SURFACE LOW OVER FAR EASTERN MONTANA WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS AND UPSLOPE OVER NORTH-CENTRAL MONTANA.
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY AROUND FREEZING THERE COULD BE A VERY
LIGHT MIX OF SNOW AND DRIZZLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL
AVERAGES ON SATURDAY AND ANY PRECIPITATION IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
SHOULD BE RAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY ABOVE
AVERAGE. CHANGES MAY BE IN STORE FOR THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE SIERRA NEVADAS AND
DEEPENS AS IT PUSHES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. AMPLE MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES
FIRST SOUTHWEST MONTANA ON MONDAY AND THEN INTO CENTRAL AND NORTH-
CENTRAL MONTANA THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MODELS HINT AT A CUT-OFF LOW
DEVELOPING IN WYOMING AND THEN POSSIBLY MOVING INTO EASTERN
MONTANA ON TUESDAY. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN PLACEMENT OF
THIS LOW...HOWEVER HAVE RAISED POPS A FAIR AMOUNT FOR MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY WITH CHANCE POPS IN THE PLAINS AND VALLEYS AND
LIKELIES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS LEADING
TO UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL PLAINS. AS FOR PRECIPITATION
TYPE...THERE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE AS MUCH COLDER AIR WITH THIS SYSTEM
SO ON TUESDAY AM EXPECTING MORE OF A RAIN EVENT IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS WITH MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL. WILL CLOSELY MONITOR AND UPDATE
ACCORDINGLY. THE SYSTEM WILL DEPART ON WEDNESDAY AND DRIER
CONDITIONS WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH MID-
WEEK. MLV

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 0500Z.
VFR CONDITIONS TO LIKELY CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...AS A STRONG AND MOIST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MID/HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH MOUNTAIN TOP OBSCURING PRECIPITATION OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...BUT THEY WILL
NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS TODAY. THE DOWNSLOPE WINDS MAY BE LIGHT
ENOUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
(INCLUDING KHVR AND KLWT) TO ALLOW A FEW SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE MVFR
CEILINGS TO DEVELOP. AFTER 00Z...WINDS AT KCTB WILL DECREASE AND
SHIFT MORE NORTHERLY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH OVER THAT
AREA...ALLOWING FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THERE AS WELL.  COULSTON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  54  37  64  31 /  10  10  10  20
CTB  45  29  54  23 /  10  30  10  10
HLN  54  35  60  33 /  10  10  20  20
BZN  54  33  63  33 /  10  10   0  10
WEY  39  25  44  27 /  30  20  10  10
DLN  53  35  58  34 /  10  10  10  10
HVR  50  29  65  29 /  10  10  10  10
LWT  52  35  63  31 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY FOR ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 5000 FEET FOR NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT...SOUTHERN
ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT.

HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING MADISON.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 20, 8:45 PM MST, 8 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
945 PM MDT TUE MAR 20 2012

MTZ015-211630-
MADISON-
945 PM MDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MADISON COUNTY UNTIL MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

MTZ009-048-211630-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-
945 PM MDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5000
FEET ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS OF SNOWFALL OR SIGNIFICANT RESTRICTIONS TO VISIBILITY
WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

MTZ008-010>014-044>047-049>055-211630-
BEAVERHEAD-EASTERN GLACIER-HILL-CASCADE-CHOUTEAU-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-TOOLE-LIBERTY-
EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-
JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-GALLATIN-
945 PM MDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Event by event

2 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 21, 5:00 AM MST to March 22, 5:00 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet

Ten inches of snow fell at East Glacier Park 11SSW (the Pike Creek SNOTEL site - elevation 5930 feet).

Winter Storm, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 21, 5:00 AM MST to March 22, 5:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet

Eight inches of snow fell at Bynum 24W (the Mount Lockhart SNOTEL site - elevation 6400 feet).

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 367073, 367074.