Mississippi, 2012

Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, September 2 to 3, 2012

September 2 to 3, 2012 · NWS MEG · 9 events in 8 counties and zones

Remnants of Hurricane Isaac were located near St. Louis during the early morning hours of September 2nd, 2012.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$750,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.

Remnants of Hurricane Isaac were located near St. Louis during the early morning hours of September 2nd, 2012. As the day progressed, the remnants drifted to the south and east which produced showers and thunderstorms across West Tennessee and North Mississippi. Some storms became severe producing damaging winds and flash flooding. The storms continued through the night and into the early morning hours of September 3rd, 2012.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 2, 5:57 PM CST, 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 2, 5:57 PM CST, 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
657 PM CDT SUN SEP 2 2012

.UPDATE...
UPDATE FOR AVIATION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 PM CDT SUN SEP 2 2012/

DISCUSSION...19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES THE REMNANT LOW OF ISAAC
NEAR OLNEY ILLINOIS WITH THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER THIS MORNING HAS
SINCE DISSIPATED ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH. TEMPERATURES AS OF
3 PM CDT RANGE FROM THE 80S ACROSS WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE
TENNESSEE RIVER AND UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE MID SOUTH. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AND ALSO MONDAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH ARE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS
IN THIS AFTERNOON/S FORECAST ISSUANCE.

SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT LOW /ISAAC/ ARE LOCATED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI INTO KENTUCKY AND ANOTHER ONE CURRENTLY MOVING
THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
VISIBLE SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW A DECENT CU FIELD DEVELOPING ALONG
THE I-40 CORRIDOR AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
KNQA/KGWX WSR-88D RADAR TRENDS OVER THE PAST HOUR HAVE SHOWN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PREDOMINANTLY
ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LATEST SHORT TERM MESOSCALE TRENDS INDICATE SURFACE BASED CAPE
VALUES BETWEEN 3000-4000 J/KG...LI/S BETWEEN -6 TO -7...0-1 KM
STORM RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES AROUND 100 M2/S2 /FORECAST TO
INCREASE TO 150-200 M2/S2...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 2
INCHES. THIS SUGGESTS ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT REACH SEVERE LIMITS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AND TORNADOES AS A SECONDARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. STILL THINK
THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS NORTH
MISSISSIPPI.

SHORT TERM MODELS INDICATE THE REMNANT LOW WILL MOVE EAST
SOUTHEAST TOWARDS EAST TENNESSEE ON MONDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON MONDAY. THUS...A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST...MAINLY COINCIDENT WITH DAYTIME
HEATING MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PREDOMINANT SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THREAT MAY PERSIST INTO TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME THINK MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...12Z GFS LONG TERM
MODELS INDICATE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM FORECAST AS A QUASI-
STATIONARY BOUNDARY DROPS INTO THE MID SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT ARRIVES NEXT WEEKEND.
THUS...CONTINUED WITH SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE POPS THROUGH THIS
TIMEFRAME. AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE MID SOUTH NEXT
WEEKEND...TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TO NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY NORMAL
VALUES FOR SEPTEMBER.

CJC

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS

TWO EAST/WEST CONVECTIVE LINES... ORIENTED WITH THE OUTER BANDS OF
ISAAC/S REMNANT LOW... WERE NOTED ON RADAR AND GOES IMAGERY AT 00Z.
THE NORTHERN CONVECTIVE LINE WAS JUST NORTH OF MEM AT 00Z TAF
ISSUANCE AND SHOULD PUSH A SURFACE BOUNDARY SOUTH THROUGH MEM BY
02Z...IF NOT A BIT SOONER. THIS WOULD TURN WINDS TO THE NORTH AT
MEM. THE BOUNDARY MAY PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR TSRA THROUGH 02Z.

THE SOUTHERN CONVECTIVE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT TUP THROUGH
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH A FEW BREAKS. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTIVE LINE MAY BE OVERTAKEN AND MERGE WITH THE LINE TO THE
NORTH. IT IS POSSIBLE TS MENTION FOR TUP MAY NEED TO BE PUSHED
BEYOND 04Z.

PWB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  74  94  77  96 /  40  10  10  10
MKL  72  90  72  93 /  40  10  10  10
JBR  71  93  73  95 /  20  10  10  10
TUP  74  92  74  93 /  70  40  20  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 2, 2:48 PM CST, 3 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
348 PM CDT SUN SEP 2 2012

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-031545-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
348 PM CDT SUN SEP 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT ACROSS AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF I-40. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS WITH A TORNADO AS A SECONDARY THREAT. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY. DAMAGING WINDS IS THE MAIN
THREAT FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT REACH SEVERE LIMITS. LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED ACROSS ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF I-40
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 55 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:21 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 thunderstorm wind, 3 flash flood, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Marshall

When
September 2, 6:20 PM CST to 7:15 PM CST
Where
Marshall County, Byhalia to 1.66 mi WNW of Waites
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.880, -89.680

Straight line winds knocked down numerous trees and power lines across Marshall County.

Flash Flood, Itawamba

When
September 2, 6:41 PM CST to 9:00 PM CST
Where
Itawamba County, 2.31 mi SSE of Mantachie to 2.05 mi W of Fulton
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
34.298, -88.487

Showers and thunderstorms trained over the same area for at least an hour. Culverts could not handle the water, as a result, water rose and covered the southbound lane of Highway 363 south of Mantachie.

Thunderstorm Wind, Tippah

When
September 2, 7:00 PM CST to 7:15 PM CST
Where
Tippah County, Ripley to Dumas
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.730, -88.950

Straight line winds knocked numerous trees and power lines down from Ripley to Dumas. At least 2000 homes lost power.

Thunderstorm Wind, Prentiss

When
September 2, 7:00 PM CST to 7:45 PM CST
Where
Prentiss County, 1.02 mi WNW of Booneville to Marietta
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.658, -88.565

Straight line winds knocked numerous trees and power lines down across Prentiss County.

Thunderstorm Wind, Union

When
September 2, 7:30 PM CST to 8:05 PM CST
Where
Union County, New Albany to 2.22 mi S of New Albany
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.500, -89.000

Straight line winds knocked numerous trees and power lines down in New Albany. One tree fell onto a house along Highway 348. Power was knocked out to most of Union County.

Flash Flood, De Soto

When
September 2, 7:35 PM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
De Soto County, 1.56 mi NE of Miller to 2.24 mi SE of Miller
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
34.938, -89.804

Showers and thunderstorms trained over Olive Branch for at least an hour. As a result, water covered the road near the interchange of Hacks Cross Road and Highway 78.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pontotoc

When
September 2, 8:25 PM CST to 8:30 PM CST
Where
Pontotoc County, 0.93 mi ESE of Sherman
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
34.364, -88.835

Straight line winds produced roof and building damage to a restaurant northeast of Sherman.

Flash Flood, Lafayette

When
September 2, 10:25 PM CST to September 3, 2:00 AM CST
Where
Lafayette County, 1.29 mi NE of Oxford to 1.18 mi E of Oxford
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.383, -89.503

Showers and thunderstorms trained over Oxford for a couple of hours producing very heavy rain. Major flash flooding occurred as a result. Numerous streets had at least six inches of water covering them with others flooded up to three feet. Three homes were flooded on Chandler Avenue and one home was flooded on South 18th Street. The homes had anywhere from a few inches up to a foot of water inside them. Cars and apartments were flooded along Highway 314 near the Oxford Airport.

Lightning, Lafayette

When
September 2, 10:25 PM CST to 10:26 PM CST
Where
Lafayette County, Oxford
Property damage
$250,000
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
34.370, -89.520

Lightning struck a house in Oxford causing a fire. The house was destroyed as a result of the fire.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, September 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 413950, 413943, 413946, 413947, 413949, 413945, 413951, 413952, 413953.