Flood and Damaging Winds in Massachusetts, September 18, 2012

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
215 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS...

LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS WEST OF THE AREA INTO QUEBEC TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL BRING ABOUT A PERIOD OF RAIN...
WITH STRONG WINDS LATE TODAY INTO EARLY PART OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
A HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BRING MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END
OF THIS WORK WEEK. MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

200 PM UPDATE...

...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...
CONTINUING TO MONITOR INSTABILITY AND SATELLITE TRENDS S AND W OF
THE FCST AREA. APPEARS THAT THE RGN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CLOUDED
OVER WHILE THE BETTER INSTABILITY REMAINS CONFINED TO THE MID-
ATLANTIC FOR THE AFTN PD. NEVERTHELESS...MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS
PSBL INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND /ACROSS CT NORTHWARD INTO THE CT VLY/.
IT REMAINS STILL PLAUSIBLE TO SEE SOME LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION IN
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS WITH THE THREATS BEGIN STRONG TO DAMAGING
WINDS AND PSBL BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADOES /WITHIN THE HIGHLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT THERE ARE WELL-DEFINED RIGHT TURNING HODOGRAPHS
RESULTING IN IMPRESSIVE 0-1 AND 0-3 KM HELICITY VALUES/. THE
QUESTION BECOMES WHETHER UPDRAFTS CAN SUSTAIN WITHIN THE HIGHLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. WEAK INSTABILITY DOES NOT SUPPORT THAT...BUT
IF YOU GET UP TO 500 J/KG IT IS PSBL.

BETTER CONFIDENCE LIES IN A SEVERE WX THREAT THIS EVNG WITH A
NEAR-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE ALREADY BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE IN THE
VICINITY OF SYRACUSE NY. WILL NEED TO WATCH PRE-FRONTAL ENERGY
OVER ERN PA AND HOW IT EVOLVES AS THE SFC COLD FRNT BEGINS TO KICK
EWD. IT IS THE BELIEF THAT THE TONGUE OF HIGH-THETAE MOIST AIR
SURGING N ALONG THE WARM FRNT WILL ALSO USHER ELEVATED INSTABILITY
IN THE FORM OF LOW SHOWALTER INDICES AND LOW SFC LIFTED INDEXES
JUST BELOW THE CUSP OF SEVERE WX THRESHOLDS. WITH THE NEAR-FRONTAL
SQUALL LINE THERE IS THE BETTER CHC FOR HEAVY RAIN...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND PSBL ISOLATED TORNADOES WITHIN A VERY BRIEF PD OF TIME.

...HEAVY RAIN...
BROAD ISENTROPIC LIFT OF A VERY MOIST SUB-TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT
/PWATS AROUND 1.75 - 2.00 INCHES/ CONTINUES TO PREVAIL THRU THE
MID-ATLANTIC INTO NEW ENGLAND AGAINST MUCH DRIER AIR /SEE THE 12Z
CHATHAM UPR AIR SOUNDING...TOP-DOWN MOISTENING OF THE ATMOS
PROFILE IS EXPECTED W TO E/. WILL SEE THE MOISTURE CONTENT
INCREASE ACROSS THE RGN TOWARDS EVNG ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRNT WITH PWATS EXCEEDING 2 INCHES. ALREADY UPSTREAM /ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC/ REPORTS OF 1 INCH PER HR RAINFALL AMNTS HAVE BEEN
REPORTED...AND FLOOD ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR A LINE OF
STORMS TRAINING ACROSS THE CHAIN OF APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS.

PRESENT THINKING CONTINUES THAT MUCH OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN
CONFINED TO THE WRN FCST AREA INTO UPSTATE NY. GRADUALLY OVER TIME
THE SWATH OF HEAVY RAIN WILL PUSH EAST WITH THE PARENT SFC COLD
FRNT...DOING SO QUICKLY. THUS WHILE TOTAL PRECIP AMNTS AVG AROUND
2 INCHES /WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMNTS/...THE FEELING IS FOR THE
FLOOD THREAT TO BE CONFINED TO NUISANCE FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS.
IT IS STILL PLAUSIBLE SMALL BASINS...STREAMS...AND CREEKS MAY
BECOME FLASHY...MAIN-STEM RIVERS SHOULD BE FINE AS THE RGN HAS
SEEN LITTLE RAIN OVER THE LAST WEEK AND RIVERS REMAIN AT OR BELOW
THEIR NORMAL LVLS.

...WINDS...
WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE RGN WITH GUSTS AROUND 30
MPH ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN
/25 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ACROSS INTERIOR LOCALES/...BOTH AT THE SFC
AND WITHIN VERTICAL WIND PROFILER OBSERVATIONS. AN AVERAGE OF
40-45 KT WINDS /50-55 MPH/ IS PRESENTLY BEING OBSERVED AT H925
/2-3 KFT AGL/. THINKING REMAINS THE SAME...THE STRONGEST OF WINDS
HAVE BEGUN TO PUSH INTO NEW ENGLAND ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRNT AS SFC LOW PRES DEEPENS INTO THE ST LAWRENCE RVR VLY AGAINST
HIGHER PRES INTO THE ATLANTIC. WHILE SOME VERTICAL MIX- DOWN OF
FASTER MOMENTUM ALOFT IS EXPECTED THRU THE DAY /A CONDITIONALLY
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT/...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF STRONG TO
DAMAGING WINDS REACHING THE SFC WILL BE WITH RGNS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY INTO THE EVNG PD WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
NEAR-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE ANTICIPATED TO SWEEP THRU THE RGN AHEAD
OF THE SFC COLD FRNT.

THE WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES TO PREVAIL WITH THE EXPECTATION OF
STRONG TO DAMAGING GUSTY WINDS. IT IS POSSIBLE TO SEE HIGH WINDS
REACH THE SFC WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WITH THE FASTER JET EXPECTED
AHEAD OF THE FRONT PARENT WITH THE NEAR-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE
/PRECIPITATION DRAG OF FASTER MOMENTUM TO THE SFC/. HIGHER TERRAIN
LOCALES ABOVE 1 KFT WILL ALSO BE UNDER RISK FOR A GREATER
POSSIBILITY FOR HIGH WINDS AT OR ABOVE 60 MPH.

...COASTAL FLOODING...
SEE THE TIDES AND COASTAL FLOODING SECTION OF THE DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...

* A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL

TONIGHT...
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRES IN
QUEBEC WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION WITH STRONG F-GEN AND LOW LVL
JET DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS
FEATURE WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

RAINFALL...MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT GIVEN THE MOISTURE RICH
ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH THIS LOW INITIALIZED /THE GULF OF MEXICO/
PWAT VALUES WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 2.0 INCHES BY THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SOUNDINGS ARE VERY MOIST AND CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE WITH
K-VALUES IN THE 30-35 RANGE. THEREFORE...LOW TOPPED CONVECTIVE
CELLS ARE POSSIBLE IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS EXPECTED. GIVEN THE VERY DRY SPELL OVER THE LAST WEEK OR
SO...MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABLE TO HANDLE THIS
RAINFALL...BUT TYPICALLY FLASHY RIVERS MAY SHOW QUICK RISES. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING GIVEN
ESPECIALLY IF ANY S-N TRAINING DEVELOPS WITH THE LLJ AS CORFIDI
VECTORS SHOW BACK-BUILDING IS POSSIBLE. GIVEN THAT THIS WOULD BE
VERY LOCALIZED HAVE NOT ISSUED HEADLINES TO COVER THE THREAT...BUT
SOME PONDING AND FLOODING IN TYPICALLY PRONE URBAN ENVIRONMENTS
COULD BE AN ISSUE PARTICULARLY LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

WINDS...TWO LLJ MAXES WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE
FIRST IS A STRONGER H85 70-80 KT JET WHICH WILL MOVE OVER NY STATE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN LOW PRES THIS AFTERNOON. THE SECOND IS A
SLY 50-60 KT LLJ ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT. THE LATTER WILL BE THE DOMINANT THREAT FOR MOST OF
SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT SOME LATE DAY GUSTY WINDS PARTICULARLY IN
THE BERKSHIRES CAN/T BE RULED OUT WITH THE INITIAL JET. TONIGHT WITH
BANDS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL POSSIBLE...SOME OF THIS 50 TO 60 KT JET
MAY MAKE IT TO THE SURFACE...SO HAVE CONVERTED HIGH WIND WATCH TO
WIND ADVISORIES FOR MOST OF THE AREA AS MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD KEEP
MOST OF THE GUSTS BELOW 50 KT. THE ONE THREAT THAT MAY NEED TO BE
MONITORED HOWEVER IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A NEAR-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE
TO DEVELOP GIVEN THE HIGH SHEAR/LOW INSTABILITY ENVIRONMENT.
SHOULD THIS OCCUR A MORE SHORT-FUSED WIND EVENT IS POSSIBLE GIVEN
THAT THE CONVECTIVE LINE WOULD BE MORE EFFICIENT IN BRINGING THE
JET WINDS TO THE SFC. MOST OF THE GUSTS WILL REMAIN WELL WITHIN
WIND ADV CRITERIA...SO WILL KEEP THE WIND ADV GOING DURING THE
NIGHT TO COVER THE DOMINANT WIDESPREAD THREAT.

WED...
COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING OFFSHORE DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH
MOST RAINFALL/STRONG WINDS COMING TO AN END. MAY SEE SHOWERS
LINGER OVER THE CAPE AND NANTUCKET INTO THE AFTERNOON...BUT THE
TREND SHOULD BE TOWARD CLEARING/DRYING WX EVERYWHERE DURING THE
DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

HIGHLIGHTS...
 * SHOWERS MAY LINGER ACROSS SE MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH FRIDAY
 * ANOTHER COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND

OVERVIEW...
18/00Z GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE IN ABOVE AVERAGE AGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN LATE THIS WEEK INTO THIS
WEEKEND. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH THE TIMING AND AMPLITUDE
OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA LATE THIS
WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 18/00Z ECMWF HAS A DEEPER AND SLOWER
SOLUTION FOR THIS TROUGH THAN THE 18/00Z GFS...BUT NOT BY MUCH.
USED A COMPROMISE SOLUTION FOR NOW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT IN THE 18/00Z GUIDANCE TO PUSH AN INVERTED
TROUGH FARTHER OFFSHORE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...LEAVING MOST
OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LOCKED UNDER A NARROW SURFACE RIDGE. HAVE
ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO LOWER POPS SLIGHTLY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT OVER LAND. WILL STILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH THE PROXIMITY OF
THE INVERTED TROUGH...SO HAVE NOT GONE WITH A COMPLETELY DRY
FORECAST ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

TEMPERATURES WERE A BLEND OF THE MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND STARTS TO BE IMPACTED BY AN AMPLIFYING MID-
LEVEL TROUGH. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO HAVE THE EFFECT OF
RETROGRADING THE OFFSHORE INVERTED TROUGH WEST. MEANWHILE ANOTHER
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL USA SHOULD ALSO HEAD TOWARD OUR
REGION. NOT CONFIDENT IN THE AMOUNT OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE...BUT
THINKING THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INGREDIENTS IN PLACE TO WARRANT A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF MA BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

THINKING THE GFS IS WARMING UP THE AIRMASS TOO QUICKLY FRIDAY
GIVEN THE NORTH/NORTHEAST FLOW. PREFERRED THE SLIGHTLY COOLER ECMWF
SOLUTION. STILL EXPECTING SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING OF A COLD FRONT CROSSING SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND SOMETIME DURING THIS PERIOD. MOST LIKELY SOLUTION AT THIS
POINT IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TO BE SQUEEZED BETWEEN A STALLED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST OFF THE COAST AND THIS APPROACHING COLD
FRONT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE COLD FRONT MOVING OFFSHORE SHOULD
HAVE ENOUGH MOMENTUM TO KICK BOTH FRONTS FARTHER OUT TO SEA SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AGAIN THE TIMING IS STILL IN DOUBT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
  LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
  MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
  HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT

OVERVIEW...
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TRENDS INTO THE EVNG PD.
EXPECTATION IS FOR WINDS TO INCREASE AND CIGS TO LOWER AS THE SFC
COLD FRNT APPROACHES WITH A NEAR-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE /SEE IN THE
VICINITY OF KSYR/. ANTICIPATE THAT AS THE SQUALL LINE PUSHES
THRU THE TERMINALS...MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL WITH SOME INTERMITTENT
IFR. VSBYS WHILE PREVAILING MVFR MAY ALSO TEMPO IFR WITH +RA. LOW
CONFIDENCE ON TSRA...THINKING ISOLATED CHCS. MAY NEED TO BE
CONCERNED FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. EXPECT STRONG TO DAMAGING SLY
WINDS GUSTING AROUND 40 KTS /MORESO ALONG THE EXPOSED S SHORE
TERMINALS/.

SFC COLD FRNT OUT BY MORNING...LINGERING ALONG THE CAPE. WINDS
BACK W/NW WITH GRADUAL CLEARING THRU THE DAY. ANTICIPATE
INCREASING GUSTS INTO THE MIDDAY-AFTN PD.

KBOS TAF...
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. CONVECTIVE LINE IS CENTERED AROUND
3Z WITH GREATEST IMPACTS.

KBDL TAF...
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. CONVECTIVE LINE IS CENTERED AROUND
0Z WITH GREATEST IMPACTS.

OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MAINLY VFR BUT MVFR CONDITIONS COULD LINGER
OVER SE NEW ENGLAND AND CAPE/ISLANDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MORE
WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...

TODAY AND TONIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
LOW PRES WILL PASS WELL W OF THE REGION WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING BY TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING S WINDS
WITH WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT POSSIBLE BY THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME
GUSTS MAY APPROACH STORM FORCE BUT THE LARGE MAJORITY OF WIND
GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN SOLID GALES. THEREFORE...HAVE ISSUED GALE
WARNINGS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT SOME RAIN
TO OVERSPREAD THE WATERS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH LOWER VSBYS
LIKELY IN HEAVIER SHOWERS.

WEDNESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
A COLD FRONT WILL STALL JUST TO THE E OF CAPE COD WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO THE
MORNING HOURS PARTICULARLY OVER ERN WATERS...BUT THE TREND SHOULD
BE TOWARD WEAKENING WINDS AND DIMINISHING SEAS DURING THE DAY.
WILL LIKELY NEED AT LEAST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DURING THE DAY AS
SEAS WOULD LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE 5 FT FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WINDS DIMINISHING BEHIND A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ROUGH SEAS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE OUTER
COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY...AND MAY LINGER THOUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY AS
WELL.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

VERY SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY FETCH DEVELOPS BY THIS AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY. EXPECTING A 1 TO 1.5 FOOT STORM SURGE TO DEVELOP ALONG
SOUTH COAST WITH THESE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS. WHILE HIGH TIDE IS
EXPECTED AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...IT IS NOT FORECAST TO BE
ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH. NEVERTHELESS...THERE IS THE LOW THREAT FOR MINOR
BEACH EROSION AND SOME SPLASH OVER AT SOUTH FACING BEACHES FROM
WESTERLY TO CAPE COD...AS WELL AS THE ISLANDS. TIDES THIS MORNING
HAVE BEEN UNDER-FORECAST FOR LOCALES ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE. FORECAST
GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT HIGHER STORM SURGES INTO
NARRAGANSETT AND BUZZARD BAY.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CT...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR MAZ002>024-026.
NH...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ011-012-015.
RI...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR RIZ001>008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ231>237-250-251-
     254>256.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ230.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BELK/DOODY
NEAR TERM...SIPPRELL
SHORT TERM...DOODY
LONG TERM...BELK
AVIATION...BELK/SIPPRELL
MARINE...BELK/DOODY
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...STAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
252 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-023-024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001-003-008-
191900-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
252 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ020>022-RIZ002-004>007-191900-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
252 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ231>237-250-251-254>256-191900-
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
252 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230-191900-
BOSTON HARBOR-
252 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.