Heavy rains caused flash flooding in Newton County on the 25th.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rains caused flash flooding in Newton County on the 25th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 25, 5:52 AM CST, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 552 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012 .AVIATION... ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN HEAVIER RAIN BANDS WITH VCTS/ISOLATED THUNDER POTENTIAL THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ACROSS THE SOUTH...THERE WILL BE MORE OF A SCATTERED NATURE TO THE RAINFALL...AND HAVE TEMPO GROUPS FOR SHRA/TSRA. OVERNIGHT...RAINFALL WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS SURFACE LOW REMAINS SOUTH OF THE STATE. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012/ SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE RATHER UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A SOUTHERN STREAM STORM SYSTEM BRINGS WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION BACK TO THE MID SOUTH. BIGGEST DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS REMAIN THE SPEED IN WHICH THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT. DIFFERENCES DO NOT APPEAR TO BE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO FAVOR ONE SOLUTION OVER ANOTHER AND A BLEND OF MODELS WILL BE USED THIS MORNING. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A WARM FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE GULF COAST WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER EAST CENTRAL TEXAS. ATTENDANT COLD FRONT EXTENDS OFF THE PARENT LOW AND INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WIDESPREAD OVERRRUNING PRECIPITATION EXPECTED AS WARM MOIST AIR SURGES NORTHWARD AND OVER THE FRONT. RAINFALL WILL BE ENHANCED BY AN APPROACHING H5 CLOSED LOW WHICH IS CLEARLY VISIBLE OVER FAR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO ON MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY THIS MORNING, THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN TEXAS BY LATE THURSDAY. OVERALL PATTERN SUGGESTS PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THURSDAY OR UNTIL THE SYSTEM FINALLY CLEARS THE REGION. THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA IS EXPECTED TO SEE BETWEEN AN INCH OR TWO OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION SETTING UP FROM WEST CENTRAL INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WHERE UPWARDS OF FOUR INCHES OF PRECIPITATION COULD FALL. SOME THOUGHT WAS GIVEN TO A FLASH FLOOD WATCH BUT WITH FAIRLY HIGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE AND A LONG DURATION EVENT...DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON HEADLINES FOR NOW. INSTABILITY REMAINS LIMITED THROUGH THE EVENT. THE EXCEPTION IS THE FAR SOUTH WHERE MODELS INDICATE SOME INSTABILITY EXISTS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE LOW WHEN IT PASSES THROUGH. AS SUCH...WILL JUST MENTION ISOLATED THUNDER AND LEAVE IT AT THAT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. SURFACE LOW EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE STATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH UPPER SUPPORT LAGGING SEVERAL HOURS BEHIND FOR A CONTAINING CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OVER THE SOUTH. ALL PRECIPITATION WILL CLEAR THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDING AS DRY DAY FOR FRIDAY. ATTENTION WILL THEN TURN TO A WEAK COLD MOVING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS APPEARS TO BE LACKING WITH THIS FEATURE. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT 10 POPS AT THIS POINT WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL CLOUDINESS NOTING THE PASSAGE OF THE BOUNDARY. EVEN WITH EXPECTED CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL... TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE JANUARY. WILL GO A TOUCH UNDER GUIDANCE BUT OVERALL THE MAV/MEX NUMBERS LOOK REASONABLE AND ARE GENERALLY ACCEPTED. LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS FOR SUNDAY...BUT RETURN FLOW WILL BRING MOISTURE BACK TO THE STATE MONDAY. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY...BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES TUESDAY. MODELS ARE DIFFERING ON THE STRENGTH AND SPEED OF THE SYSTEM...SO HAVE ONLY INCLUDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THE ABOVE NORMAL TREND THROUGH THE EXTENDED. && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && AVIATION...58
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261100- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 500 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AS GULF MOISTURE MOVES NORTH OVER A WARM FRONT IN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH ANY STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE ONE TO THREE INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY...BEFORE THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES EAST...AND RAIN ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER FOR FRIDAY...BEFORE A WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE STATE SATURDAY...BUT MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH THIS FRONT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 58
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 136 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:01 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash flooding occurred in the area around Vendor. A swift-water rescue occurred on Handmaiden Rd. when a vehicle was swept off into a creek. The motorist and her 2 year-old child were rescued without incident. A farm tractor pulled the vehicle out of the creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, January 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 359255.