Alaska, 2012

High Wind in Alaska, September 16 to 17, 2012

September 16 to 17, 2012 · NWS AFG · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

A 975 mb low near Unalakleet at 2100AKST on the evening of the 16th moved north to near Kivalina and weakened to 981 mb by 0300AKST on the morning of the 17th. A strong cold front moved from west to east across the interior and was associated with high winds.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$65,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

A 975 mb low near Unalakleet at 2100AKST on the evening of the 16th moved north to near Kivalina and weakened to 981 mb by 0300AKST on the morning of the 17th. A strong cold front moved from west to east across the interior and was associated with high winds. As the cold front moved east across the eastern Alaska Range around 2200AKST on the 16th, it is suspected that a mountain wave that had developed to the lee of the Alaska Range on the north side broke out of it's stable layer to descend to near ground level over eastern zone 223 and southwestern zone 224, primarily affecting the community of Tanacross in zone 224 and Dry Creek in zone 223, along with the stretch of the Alaska Highway between these two locations.

Zone 220: A peak wind gust of 56 kt (64 mph) was observed at the Eagle Summit SNOTEL at 2200AKST on the 16th.

Zone 223: A peak wind gust of 62 kt (71 mph) at the Delta Junction ASOS at 1353 AKST on the 16th. There were reports of power outages in the Delta Junction and Salcha areas. Some trees were downed in the Delta area; one damaged a vehicle. A lighted business sign was blown out as well. At Dry Creek, near mile 1378 of the Alaska Highway, a home weather station reported an unofficial peak gust of 99 kt (114 mph) around 2300AKST on the 16th. Damage to this community included several portions of shingles or roofing removed from the larger buildings, selected patio and shed damage, the total removal of shingles from one residence, and many downed trees, some up to 18 inches in diameter. The trees fallen or toppled were in roughly the same northeast direction. Damage amounts are unknown but are roughly estimated at $15,000, to include the sign and vehicle damage at Delta Junction, and the various roof, patio and shed damage at Dry Creek.

Zone 224: Damage from the windstorm associated with the breaking mountain wave resumed along the Alaska Highway starting at mile 1347 of the Alaska Highway near the Robertson River, as a number of trees were downed, and this continued along the highway to mile 1323...about 2 miles southeast of Tanacross. Near the Robertson River, several residences suffered partial roof damage as well as damage to outbuildings. At the village of Tanacross, the windstorm came about 2300AKST on the 16th, and lasted for 3 to 5 hours. No wind reporting station exists in this area, but the damage is similar to that observed at Dry Creek, only most of the residences were older and there were fewer large buildings. A preliminary State of Alaska damage assessment noted about 50 of the 53 residences had some damage, usually a portion of roof covering missing, as well as 25 of these homes had no power due to damage to their electrical service. Two dogs were killed, one directly by a fallen tree, another one indirectly when a tree fell and caused the leash a dog was attached to, to move upward, suspending the dog in the air at the collar. The Tanacross School suffered partial removal of it's sheet metal roof. An empty fuel drum large enough to hold 10,000 gallons of fuel and estimated to weigh roughly one ton, was blown across the Tanacross airstrip approximately one-quarter mile. Damages are estimated at roughly $50,000 which includes the homes, electrical services, and the school's roofing. Also of note is all the standing trees were bent over by 20 to 40 degrees from vertical...this particular area typically has high winds of 50 mph or less...so they are not wind-hardened as at Delta Junction. The long-time residents (60 to 75 years) of Tanacross said it was the strongest wind event they remembered. As at Dry Creek, the fallen or snapped trees were mainly laying in the same direction, to the northeast. | |Zone 225: There were four reports of rocks falling on vehicles on the Denali Park Road. The wind gusted as high as 55 kt (63 mph) at the Eielson Visitors Center Remote Automated Weather System (RAWS). It is likely that the wind gusted over 61 kt (70 mph) at Windy Pass, but the DOT Road Weather Information System (RWIS) at Antler Creek was inoperable during the event.

There were also reports of power outages in Nenana, Fairbanks, and North Pole, but there were no reports of damage or winds that reached warning criteria.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 16, 5:01 AM AKST, 6 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 5:01 AM AKST, 6 hours 59 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
601 AM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...THE LONG WAVE PATTERN CONSISTING OF HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH
OVER THE BERING SEA AND NORTH PACIFIC WITH A RIDGE OVER NW CANADA
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. THIS MEANS SW FLOW ALOFT
WILL BRING GENERALLY WET AND COOL CONDITIONS TO MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA WHILE THE SE INTERIOR REMAINS MAINLY DRY AND
SLIGHTLY WARMER. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON FOR MOST OF THE
COMING WEEK.

A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW OVER SW ALASKA WILL MOVE NE ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAIN AND WINDS WILL SPREAD
NORTHEAST WITH THIS TROUGH. STRONG S WINDS ALOFT, UP TO 70KT AT
700 MB, WILL SPREAD OVER THE ALASKA RANGE WITH THIS TROUGH TODAY
BRINGING STRONG CHINOOK WINDS TO THAT AREA.

A SECOND SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO SW ALASKA MON NIGHT BRINGING
MORE RAIN.

SURFACE...
A 970 MB LOW IN BRISTOL BAY WILL MOVE TO BETHEL AS A 970 MB LOW BY
4PM SUN AND TO POINT HOPE AS A 987 MB LOW BY 4PM MON THEN SLOWLY
WEAKEN. N GALES WILL SPREAD OVER THE WEST COAST JUST N AND W OF
THE LOW. .50-1.00 INCH OF RAIN WILL SPREAD N OVER THE WEST COAST
AND SW INTERIOR TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THIS LOW AS WELL.

A WEATHER FRONT STRETCHING SE FROM THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO NORTON
SOUND TO DENALI PARK BY 4PM SUN AND TO POINT HOPE TO A 982 MB LOW
DEVELOPING NEAR PRUDHOE BAY BY 4AM MON. THIS SECOND LOW WILL MOVE
TO 100 NM NORTHEAST OF BARROW AS A 980 MB LOW BY 4PM MON AND THEN
DRIFT WEST. THIS WILL BRING .50-1.00 INCH OF RAIN TO THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING NE GALES TO THE ARCTIC
COAST SUN NIGHT AND MON AND AND STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE OFFSHORE
ARCTIC WATERS MON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL EXCEPT ABOUT 5 MB TOO WEAK ON THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF THE LOW IN BRISTOL BAY. FOR THIS REASON HAVE ADDED 3-5
KT TO THE MODEL WIND SPEEDS IN THE FIRST 2 PERIODS NEAR THE
SURFACE LOW AS IT MOVES NORTH.

MODELS SHOW SIMILAR SOLLUTIONS THROUGH 4PM MON AND THEN THE GFS
KEEPS THE SURFACE LOW NEAR BARROW FURTHER NORTH AND DEEPER THAN
THE NAM. PREFER THE GFS AS S FLOW ALOFT SHOULD KEEP THE SURFACE
LOW FURTHER NORTH.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...
CHANCE OF HEAVY SURF SHISHMAREF TO KOTZEBUE MON AND MON NIGHT AS
WINDS TURN WEST THOUGH UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

CHANCE OF HEAVY SURF WEST OF BARROW MON NIGHT AND TUE AS WINDS
TURN NW THOUGH UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
.50 - 1.00 INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE WEST COAST AND WESTERN AND
NORTHERN INTERIOR TODAY THROUGH MON. THIS SHOULD CAUSE SHARP
RISES SMALL STREAMS THOSE AREAS MON.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ227.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

JB SEP 12

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 16, 9:02 AM AKST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1002 AM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST DELTA JUNCTION          64.06N 145.71W
09/16/2012  M66 MPH                             AK   ASOS

&&

JM

Event by event

4 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Denali

When
September 16, 12:00 PM AKST to 4:00 PM AKST
Where
Denali forecast zone
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
RAWS

High Wind, Deltana and Tanana

When
September 16, 1:53 PM AKST to September 17, 5:00 AM AKST
Where
Deltana and Tanana forecast zone
Measured
99 kt (114 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey

High Wind, Yukon Flats Nearby Uplands

When
September 16, 9:30 PM AKST to 10:30 PM AKST
Where
Yukon Flats Nearby Uplands forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
SNOTEL

High Wind, Upr Tanana Vly Fortymile

When
September 16, 11:00 PM AKST to September 17, 5:00 AM AKST
Where
Upr Tanana Vly Fortymile forecast zone
Measured
100 kt (115 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$50,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, September 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 407763, 407760, 407759, 414451.