Alaska, 2012

Blizzard and Winter Storm in Alaska, March 5 to 6, 2012

March 5 to 6, 2012 · NWS AJK · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Arctic high pressure was established over northwestern Canada as a rapidly moving frontal system brought in moisture that was just enough to get a few areas of heavy snow on the night of March 5th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

Arctic high pressure was established over northwestern Canada as a rapidly moving frontal system brought in moisture that was just enough to get a few areas of heavy snow on the night of March 5th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 5, 3:59 PM AKST, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 3:59 PM AKST, 3 hours 25 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
359 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

.SHORT TERM...A FAIRLY FLAT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF TODAY WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH
TOMORROW AND ALLOW A 150+ KT WSW JET MAX INTO THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE BY MORNING AND SINK TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY
AFTERNOON. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT
AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON TUESDAY.

 THE STEADY SNOW IS JUST STARTING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF COAST
WITH AREAS OF SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK OVERRUNNING OVER THE
RIDGE DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHERN PANHANDLE. EXPECT STEADIER SNOWS
TO SPREAD E AND SE OVERNIGHT AND REACH SOUTHERN AREAS BY TUESDAY
MORNING. IN GENERAL EXPECT SNOW AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 3 INCHES
COASTAL AND SOUTHERN UP TO 7 INCHES ALONG COAST MTNS.

 DO HAVE A FAIRLY COLD AIR MASS IN LOW LEVEL IN PLACE SO EXPECT
ALL AREAS WILL START AS SNOW. OVERALL PRECIP AMOUNTS ARE NOT HUGE
BUT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW ADVISORIES. WITH JET DROPPING A BIT TO
THE SE THROUGH THE PERIOD...HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG THE
COAST MOUNTAINS BETWEEN PAJN AND PAPG EARLY TUESDAY. NORTHERN
AREAS WILL STAY COLDER BUT GET LESS PRECIP. SOUTHERN ZONES WILL
TURN TO RAIN IN SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME BUT HAVE LOWER ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS. WARM FRONT MOVES ONSHORE AROUND 18Z AND IS NEAR
PAJN-PAKT BY 03Z. WILL SEE PRECIP MIX WITH RAIN JUST IN ADVANCE
OF FRONT AND TURN TO ALL RAIN AND DIMINISH AS FRONT MOVES
THROUGH.

 AS RIDGE BREAKS BY THIS EVENING WILL SEE INCREASING SLY
GRADIENTS. HAVE SMCR IN ALL INNER CHANNELS BY TUESDAY MORNING
WITH A GALE DEVELOPING IN LYNN CANAL TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A STRONG WIND IS EXPECTED FOR PAGY AND WILL BE
INCORPORATED INTO WSW STATEMENT.

 GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. GFS HAD STRONGEST
SLY GRADIENT AND WAS USED FOR PRES AND WIND.

.LONG TERM...THE MODELS ARE IN A BIT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE SYSTEM
THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS STILL LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THAT PORTION ALONG WITH THE REST OF THE EXTENDS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE EC CONTINUE HAVE POOR RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY BUT THERE WAS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GEM ALONG WITH
GEFS WITH A BIT FASTER TRACK. WHEN THE NEW 12Z EC RUN CAME IN IT
SLOWED THE NORTHWARD MOVING OVER THE LOW ON THURSDAY AND LOOKED
LIKE THE 12Z GFS AND THE NAM. BOTH THE 18Z NAM/GFS RUN BOTH LOOK
GOOD FROM RUN TO RUN. SO WITH THAT SAID...FROM WED NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY DID A BLEND OF THE GEM AND SOME 12Z GFS AS IT WAS A GOOD
MIDDLE GROUND. THIS WILL BRING A LOW INTO THE GULF BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH GALES OVER THE GULF, WARM TEMPS AND RAIN OVER THE
FORECAST AREA. FOR THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PORTIONS REFRESHED THE
FORECAST WITH THE LATEST HPC WITH LOW FORECASTER CONFIDENCE.

IN THE MID RANGE OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD THERE IS ABOUT AVERAGE FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE WITH THE WARMER AND WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
PANHANDLE. AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF WILL DEVELOP A DEEP SW
FLOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC ALONG WITH A 150KT JET MOVING OVER THE
REGION. THE EC HAS BEEN THE BEST MODEL WITH THIS PATTERN AND
OVERALL NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. THE
WEATHER FRONT MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE IN THE SHORT RANGE WILL
STALL OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUE NIGHT. MOST OF THE PRECIP WILL BE
IN THE LIQUID FORM ACROSS THE AREA WITH SO POSSIBLE MIXED PREICP
NEAR PAHN IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND SNOW NEAR WHITE PASS. THE WARM
MOIST SW FLOW WILL KEEP THE STEADY RAIN GOING INTO WED. THE GUSTY WINDS
FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE AS A LEE SIDE LOW DEEPENS IN THE
YUKON AND THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE PERSISTS. THIS WILL
KEEP THE GALES OVER NORTHERN LYNN AND SMALL CRAFT OVER THE REST OF
THE MARINE WATERS. OVERLAND WINDS WILL BE ON THE GUSTY SIDE BUT
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR PAGY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF INTO WED SO RAIN WILL BE
CAT TO LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA WITH SW FLOW AT MOST LEVELS. THE
SURFACE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN SOME THROUGH WED SO THE WINDS
OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 5 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ026.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ027-028.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 PM AKST
     TUESDAY FOR AKZ018-019-021-024.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ025.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON AKST
     TUESDAY FOR AKZ020-022.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-021-022-031>036-041>043-051>053.

&&

MM/ABJ

Event by event

1 blizzard, 1 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
March 5, 7:24 PM AKST to March 6, 5:00 PM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The official NWS observer at the Juneau airport measured 7.4 inches of new snow all during the evening on March 5th. The ariport got an additional 4.3 inches of new snow by 0900 March 6th for a storm total of 11.7 inches. Other storm totals were 10 inches downtown and 6.3 inches at Auke Bay.

Winter Storm, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area

When
March 6, 9:11 AM AKST to 12:00 PM AKST
Where
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The NWS office in Yakutat measured 2.6 inches of new snow by midnight on March 5th then with temperatures in the teens, and an additional 9.5 inches on the morning of the 6th. The snow then compacted over 3 inches in the afternoon as temperatures warmed into the mid 30s. No damage was reported.

What these are

Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.
Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, March 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 368604, 368603.