High Wind in Texas, March 27, 2011

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
650 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT NEAR THE PECOS RIVER AT DAYBREAK WILL MOVE EAST
AFTER SUNRISE BRINGING VERY DRY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS TO MOST
OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH BACK
WESTWARD OVERNIGHT BRINGING A RETURN OF SOUTHEAST WINDS AND
INCREASING MOISTURE EAST OF THE PECOS.

&&

.AVIATION...

SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WILL PUSH INTO KMAF AND KHOB AROUND DAYBREAK.
LIGHT FOG IS BRIEFLY POSSIBLE FROM KHOB EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN
PERMIAN BASIN THROUGH MID MORNING. OCCASIONAL CEILINGS AT 1000 FEET
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM KMAF AND KHOB NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL MID MORNING.

AS THE COLD FRONT RESPONSIBLE FOR LOW CLOUDINESS RETREATS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE MORNING...SKIES SHOULD BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ONLY
A FEW HIGH CLOUDS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS TODAY. THOUGH WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE VERY STRONG ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WINDY SURFACE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAIN AREAS AND THE ADJACENT AREAS
EASTWARD TO THE PECOS RIVER THIS AFTERNOON.

AS THE SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHES WEST AGAIN THIS EVENING...WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS AREAS EAST OF THE PECOS
TONIGHT. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AT KMAF AND KHOB
TONIGHT WITH LIGHT FOG AND OCCASIONAL LOW CEILINGS POSSIBLE AFTER
09Z.

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS OTHERWISE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
     NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 11
     PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...VAN
     HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
533 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-281045-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
533 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011 /433 AM MDT SUN MAR 27 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MORNING TODAY
THROUGH MID EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN
AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON
IN THESE AREAS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY 20 TO 25
MPH...THOUGH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. NEARBY LOWER ELEVATIONS COULD
ALSO BRIEFLY EXPERIENCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
FIRE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS THE REST OF THE
AREA.

WITH THE VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
AND WIND...CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED TO PREVENT THE
IGNITION OF WILD FIRES THAT COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT AGAIN MONDAY FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WHERE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
DROP TO 10 PERCENT OR LESS ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS OF
25 TO 25 MPH. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...AND THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...WHERE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY ALSO DEVELOP. WITH WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING...FIRE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

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