Texas, 2011Dense Fog in Texas, December 13, 2011
December 13, 2011 · NWS LUB · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Fog developed during the afternoon hours across the region and became dense across Hale County. A woman traveling northbound on Interstate 27 in Hale County crossed the median and was struck by a vehicle traveling southbound.
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- Deaths
- 1
- Injuries
- 1
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Fog developed during the afternoon hours across the region and became dense across Hale County. A woman traveling northbound on Interstate 27 in Hale County crossed the median and was struck by a vehicle traveling southbound. The woman in the northbound vehicle was killed while the driver of the other vehicle was injured.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 13, 11:42 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 11:42 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1142 AM CST TUE DEC 13 2011
.AVIATION...
LIFR CIGS/VSBYS CONTINUE FOR BOTH KLBB AND KCDS TERMINAL SITES.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF MINOR IMPROVEMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME
-SHRA MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. SHOULD REMAIN AT LIFR THROUGH MOST
OF THE UPCOMING TAF PERIOD...THRU 18Z WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS...BUT WITH STRONG WARM MOIST ADVECTION...UNLIKELY TO SEE
MARKED IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS/VSBYS DESPITE INCREASING WINDS. COULD
SEE A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO TONIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES BUT
CONFIDENCE TOO LOW FOR MENTION IN TAF. CERTAINLY SOME INTERMITTENT
SHOWERS LOOK LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN THE 05Z TO 09Z TIME FRAME...MORE
LIKELY AT KCDS. SHOULD SEE RAPID IMPROVEMENT...AND WINDS RAMPING
UP FROM THE SW...WITH PACIFIC FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND 15Z
WEDNESDAY.
&&
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 AM CST TUE DEC 13 2011/
SHORT TERM...
FOG...DRIZZLE...VERY LIGHT RAIN IS WIDESPREAD ACROSS WEST TEXAS THIS
MORNING. VISIBILITIES HAVE REMAINED ABOVE A QUARTER MILE LOCALLY ON
THE SOUTH PLAINS...BUT FORECAST PROFILES SUGGEST DENSE FOG CAN NOT
YET BE RULED OUT THIS MORNING.
MESOSCALE MODELS SUGGEST THAT WARM AIR ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE
REGIME WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN HOURS AS
A 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET SPREADS NORTH FROM THE PERMIAN BASIN. INITIAL
EVIDENCE OF THIS MAY BE SEEN NOW WITH INCREASING LIGHT RADAR ECHOES
OVER THE BASIN. WEAK FORCING/ASCENT WITHIN THIS REGIME IS PROGGED TO
PEAK OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS THRU
15Z THEN TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
PANHANDLE. PROFILES SUGGEST THAT DRIZZLE/VERY LIGHT RAIN AND PERHAPS
SCATTERED CONVECTIVE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD BUT LIGHT PRECIPITATION AS THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDS TODAY.
HAVE INCREASED GRIDDED POPS TO THE LIKELY CATEGORY /60-70 PERCENT/
OVER THE NORTHEASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ALL MOS
GUIDANCE AND SREF WHICH SHOWS 70-75 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR
GREATER THAN 0.01 INCH NORTHEAST OF LUBBOCK BETWEEN 15-18Z.
ASCENT IS SHOWN TO WEAKEN/TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE
290-300K ISENTROPIC SURFACE BY AFTERNOON...AND THIS MAY RESULT IN
REPRIEVE FROM DRIZZLE/LIGHT RAIN OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES...HELPING
TEMPERATURES TO WARM A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE YESTERDAY/S DAYTIME
HIGHS. HOWEVER DEEP FORCING WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE
SOUTHWESTERN MID/UPPER AIR LOW/TROUGH FINALLY BEGINS TO EJECT AND
THE NOSE OF A 120 KT UPPER AIR JET APPROACHES. RELATIVELY MORE
ROBUST CONVECTIVE SHOWERS /WITH HIGHER AND MORE MEANINGFUL
PRECIPITATION RATES/ SHOULD SPREAD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES
DURING THE 00-06Z TIMEFRAME. PROGGED LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
A MENTION OF THUNDER...ESPECIALLY AS THIS DEEPER FORCING OVERSPREADS
THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS FORCING WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD
OVERNIGHT AND WILL FOCUS OVER THE EASTERN PANHANDLE/WESTERN OKLAHOMA
BY 12Z. THUS HIGHEST POPS /70-75 PERCENT/ FOR THE EVENT WILL BE
DEPICTED OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE 06-12Z.
LONG TERM...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS CHALLENGING ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE
WEEKEND. LARGE SCALE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO EXTEND FROM THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. FIRST BATCH OF ENERGY SHOULD SCOOT WELL NORTH OF US WITH
TRAILING TROUGH DELAYING CROSSING UNTIL THURSDAY. AT THAT POINT
UPPER LOW DIVES ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND MATURES ACROSS
NORTHERN BAJA INTO SATURDAY. IT IS THE EVOLUTION OF THIS LOW THAT
WILL PROVIDE FOR THE UNCERTAINTY INTO THE FORECAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE GFS EJECTS THE LOW INTO THE WESTERN PLAINS MONDAY
MORNING WHICH WOULD CREATE MORE OF A WIND EVENT WHEREAS THE ECM IS
SLOWER AND DRAGS THE LOW ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR WHICH WOULD
RESULT IN A RAIN AND/OR SNOW EVENT. BOTH MODELS SHOW A COMPLEX
SCENARIO WITH MULTIPLE LOW CENTERS IN CLOSE PROXIMITY INTERACTING
WITH EACH OTHER. GIVEN THE TENDENCY THIS COOL SEASON FOR A MORE
SOUTHERN TRACK...WILL EDGE THE FORECAST MORE IN THE DIRECTION OF
THE SLOWER ECM.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD QUICKLY WANE ACROSS THE EAST WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WINDS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL PROBABLY GET A FAIR BIT
BREEZY BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM WITH WINDS UP IN THE 20-25 MPH
RANGE. FORTUNATELY...GIVEN THE PROTRACTED PERIOD OF DRIZZLE AND
COOL CONDITIONS...MIN RH VALUES WOULD REMAIN ABOVE 30 PCT AREAWIDE
AND POSE LITTLE RISK FOR GRASSLAND WILDFIRES. A COLD FRONT IS DUE
IN THURSDAY MORNING WHICH WILL KEEP NORTHERLY FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS. RETURN FLOW WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE WEST INTO
FRIDAY BUT BE SHORT LIVED AS WINDS SWING A BIT MORE WESTERLY WITH
TIME.
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY BECOME MORE TRICKY AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
WITH THE SELECTION OF A WETTER COOLER SOLUTION FOR THIS FCST. THE
PRECIPITATION TYPE REMAINS NEBULOUS BUT GIVEN WE ARE TALKING DAY 6-7
HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. IT WOULD APPEAR THAT THE
BEST LIFT COMES ACROSS ON MONDAY AND HAVE UNDERCUT HI TEMP GUIDANCE
GIVEN PROSPECTS FOR COLD AIR ADVECTION. THE COLD AIR LOOKS TO BE A
BIT OUT OF PHASE AT THIS POINT BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO HAVE
THE FRONT EASE IN 12-24 HOURS SOONER THAN DEPICTED YIELDING A MUCH
MORE WHITE SOLUTION. STAY TUNED.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA 48 41 50 26 47 / 60 70 10 0 0
TULIA 47 43 53 29 48 / 70 60 10 0 0
PLAINVIEW 48 46 55 30 49 / 70 60 10 0 0
LEVELLAND 49 45 56 30 52 / 50 50 10 0 0
LUBBOCK 48 47 57 30 51 / 60 50 10 0 0
DENVER CITY 55 48 57 31 52 / 40 50 10 0 0
BROWNFIELD 51 48 58 31 53 / 40 50 10 0 0
CHILDRESS 51 49 63 34 52 / 70 70 30 0 0
SPUR 49 49 60 34 54 / 60 50 20 0 0
ASPERMONT 54 53 65 37 55 / 50 50 30 0 0
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
06/93/06
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 12:26 PM CST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1226 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2011
TXZ021>044-141830-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1226 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
NON PRECIPITATION
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGHOUT THE OUTLOOK
AREA TODAY AND PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 100 FEET AT TIMES...PRIMARILY ON THE CAPROCK.
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND
ACCOMPANIED BY A THREAT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION OVER A LARGE AREA.
Dense Fog, Hale
- When
- December 13, 1:45 PM CST to 5:00 PM CST
- Where
- Hale forecast zone
- Deaths
- 0 direct, 1 indirect
- Injuries
- 0 direct, 1 indirect
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 34.071, -101.827 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|
| Dense Fog, Hale | 2011-12-13 | 69 | Female | Vehicle/Towed Trailer | Indirect |
- Dense Fog
- Fog reducing visibility to a quarter mile or less, filed where it caused accidents or disruption.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 351619.