A couple of dry thunderstorms developed over the Guadalupe Mountains of Chaves County and moved onto the plains of southern Chaves County. A microburst from one of these cells blew one third of a metal roof off a home 2 miles southwest of Hagerman.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
A couple of dry thunderstorms developed over the Guadalupe Mountains of Chaves County and moved onto the plains of southern Chaves County. A microburst from one of these cells blew one third of a metal roof off a home 2 miles southwest of Hagerman.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 6, 2:24 AM MST, 10 hours 36 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 324 AM MDT FRI MAY 6 2011 .DISCUSSION... A GENERALLY TRANQUIL...WARM...AND BREEZY PATTERN WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE LATEST 0815Z SURFACE ANALYSIS OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS SHOWS WINDS HAVE VEERED TO THE SOUTH IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LOW CENTER OVER SE COLORADO. MAX TEMPS TODAY WILL BE NEARLY 20F WARMER THAN THURSDAY OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS AND 5 TO 10F WARMER ELSEWHERE. THE STRONGEST SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT COMBINED WITH A DEEP MIXED LAYER BY LATE AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT WIND GUSTS BTWN 25 AND 30 KTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTS AND NE PLAINS. THIS WILL PROVIDE LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. THE CURRENT WEST TO NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO SATURDAY IN RESPONSE TO A 120-140 KNOT JET CORE SLIDING EAST INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON BUT THE REAL STORY WILL BE HIGH TEMPS. +14C 700MB TEMPS WILL TRANSLATE TO NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPS FOR MANY AREAS OVER THE SE PLAINS. THE RECORD AT KROW FOR 5/7 IS 100 AND 5/8 IS 101. SOME LOCALES WITHIN THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY FROM BELEN TO SOCORRO MAY REACH 90F. WINDS WILL BE EVEN BREEZIER INTO SUNDAY AS 700-500MB LAYER WINDS INCREASE TO 30-40 KTS. TEMPS WILL BE HOT AGAIN FOR THE EAST AND A FEW DEGREES COOLER OUT WEST. MONDAY WILL BE THE WINDIEST DAY AS THE MAIN UPPER JET CORE SWINGS ACROSS THE STATE. LOWERED POPS FOR THE NORTHERN MTS AND ADDED BLOWING DUST TO AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I40. THE CHANCE FOR WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS AND DANGEROUS FIRE WX CONDITIONS ARE INCREASING. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE AREA BTWN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THERE ARE SOME TIMING AND STRENGTH ISSUES NOTED BETWEEN THE GFS AND EURO SOLNS. TEMPS WILL COOL DOWN UP TO 15F FOR MOST AREAS. HAVE MAINTAINED HIGHEST POPS OVER THE NORTHERN MTS DURING THIS PERIOD. GUYER && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOMEWHAT GUSTIER WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY...BUT FAR BELOW THE LEVELS OF THE WINDIEST DAYS OF THE PAST FEW WEEKS. ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NE HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA GUSTS TO 30 OR 35 KT PRETTY LIKELY...WITH EMPHASIS ON AREA BETWEEN LVS AND TCC. NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. 43 && .FIRE WEATHER... NO LARGE CHANGES MADE TO THE GRIDDED FORECAST. CONFIDENCE PRETTY HIGH FOR A SIGNIFICANT WIND EVENT ON MONDAY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SOME SOUTHERN SECTIONS AS WELL. SOME COOLING AND CLOUD COVER STILL SHOULD AFFECT NORTHWEST AREAS ON MONDAY...BUT THERE IS SOME REMAINING UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH WILL OCCUR...ESPECIALLY PER CLOUD COVER. STILL THOUGH A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER GROWING EVENT EXPECTED FOR MAINLY THE SE HALF OR SO OF N AND CENTRAL NM. UNTIL THEN THOUGH OVERALL THE MOST PERSISTENT ASPECT OF FCST REMAINS THE ABYSMALLY LOW RH AND LACK OF SIGNIFICANT PCPN. MID LEVEL DRY SLOT REMAINS AS POOR TO VERY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EXPECTED ACROSS ALL BUT SOME OF THE COLDER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS UP NORTH AND PERHAPS SE ROOSEVELT COUNTY TONIGHT WHERE LOCALLY FAIR RECOVERIES POSSIBLE. SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RH PRETTY COMMON ACROSS FCST AREA WITH SOME EXCEPTIONS IN NORTHERN MTNS. THERE IS FAIR LIKELIHOOD OF BETWEEN 1 AND LOCALLY 3 HOURS OF MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN SPOTTY FASHION NEAR AND 30 OR 40 MILES EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN CLINES CORNERS AND TUCUMCARI THIS AFTN. SAME GENERAL AREA...SLIGHTLY SMALLER COVERAGE...AFFECTED SAT AFTN FOR AN HOUR OR TWO. SUNDAY WILL SEE A SIGNIFICANT EXPANSION OF AREA COVERAGE AS MIN RH STAYS LOW BUT CRITICAL WIND SPEEDS COVERAGE INCREASES. WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING WATCH FOR THAT DAY...DUE TO HAVING SEEN TOO MANY CASES IN THE PAST WHERE A DIGGING TROUGH ALOFT TO WEST OF NM DELAYS ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION LONG ENOUGH TO DELAY ONSET OF STRONGER WINDS...THUS CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH. OTHER ASPECT IS THAT MON WILL BE BRINGING AN EVEN WIDER COVERAGE...THOUGH THAT IS CERTAINLY TOO FAR OUT FOR WATCH ISSUANCE NOW. DRY THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL COVERAGE IS EVER SO SLIGHTLY SMALLER IN COVERAGE FOR THIS AFTN IN SE EDGE OF FCST AREA. A LITTLE BETTER SIGNAL FURTHER SOUTH. CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY LOW THAT DRY STORMS WOULD AFFECT OUR FIRE WEATHER FORECAST AREA BUT ERRING ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION WITH ITS INCLUSION INTO THE FORECAST. THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND PUSH EASTWARD OVER THE ROCKIES ON TUESDAY THUS PROVIDING COOLER CONDITIONS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY. CRITICAL AREAS COULD STILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS DURING THIS PERIOD AND THIS IS DEPICTED WITHIN OUR GRIDDED FORECAST. THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY LEAVING COOLER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE AND LESS WIND OVERALL THAN EARLIER IN THE WEEK. 43 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON...................... 82 43 81 43 / 0 0 0 0 DULCE........................... 75 32 74 30 / 0 0 0 0 CUBA............................ 79 33 79 33 / 0 0 0 0 GALLUP.......................... 80 33 78 38 / 0 0 0 0 EL MORRO........................ 74 32 76 35 / 0 0 0 0 GRANTS.......................... 82 33 82 39 / 0 0 0 0 QUEMADO......................... 78 35 80 38 / 0 0 0 0 GLENWOOD........................ 86 44 86 42 / 0 0 0 0 CHAMA........................... 69 32 71 30 / 0 0 0 0 LOS ALAMOS...................... 75 43 76 44 / 0 0 0 0 PECOS........................... 74 41 74 40 / 0 0 0 0 CERRO/QUESTA.................... 70 34 72 34 / 0 0 0 0 RED RIVER....................... 61 39 65 42 / 0 0 0 0 ANGEL FIRE...................... 67 36 68 38 / 0 0 0 0 TAOS............................ 74 34 76 35 / 0 0 0 0 MORA............................ 71 38 73 40 / 0 0 0 0 ESPANOLA........................ 82 39 82 41 / 0 0 0 0 SANTA FE........................ 78 44 77 42 / 0 0 0 0 SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 81 43 80 43 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 83 48 83 48 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 84 51 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 86 47 87 50 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 85 51 87 50 / 0 0 0 0 LOS LUNAS....................... 88 46 87 47 / 0 0 0 0 RIO RANCHO...................... 85 49 86 48 / 0 0 0 0 SOCORRO......................... 91 53 91 54 / 0 0 0 0 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 77 42 78 43 / 0 0 0 0 TIJERAS......................... 80 46 82 46 / 0 0 0 0 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 79 37 80 40 / 0 0 0 0 CLINES CORNERS.................. 76 45 77 47 / 0 0 0 0 GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 81 44 81 47 / 0 0 0 0 CARRIZOZO....................... 83 53 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 RUIDOSO......................... 71 46 78 53 / 0 0 0 0 CAPULIN......................... 81 44 81 48 / 0 0 0 0 RATON........................... 83 40 85 44 / 0 0 0 0 SPRINGER........................ 82 42 84 46 / 0 0 0 0 LAS VEGAS....................... 77 42 78 45 / 0 0 0 0 CLAYTON......................... 85 49 87 49 / 0 0 0 0 ROY............................. 83 48 83 53 / 0 0 0 0 CONCHAS......................... 91 50 91 54 / 0 0 0 0 SANTA ROSA...................... 88 51 90 56 / 0 0 0 0 TUCUMCARI....................... 90 49 93 51 / 0 0 0 0 CLOVIS.......................... 88 51 92 53 / 5 5 0 0 PORTALES........................ 89 49 93 51 / 5 5 0 0 FORT SUMNER..................... 90 49 93 55 / 0 0 0 0 ROSWELL......................... 91 53 97 55 / 5 5 0 0 PICACHO......................... 86 54 93 55 / 5 5 0 0 ELK............................. 80 52 86 54 / 5 5 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && GUYER/43
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 600 AM MDT FRI MAY 6 2011 NMZ501>540-071200- ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY- EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS- FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY- JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY- RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY- SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA- SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UNION COUNTY-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- 600 AM MDT FRI MAY 6 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR A COUPLE HOURS OVER THE NORTHEAST PLAINS BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS SUNDAY. STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS. WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. GUYER
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 164 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:04 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
An amateur radio operator reported one third of his metal roof was blown off is home from a microburst at 425 Stephens St., two miles southwest of Hagerman.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, May 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 289236.