An upper high was centered over Texas with a south-southwest flow aloft bringing abundant moisture to Western New Mexico. Training storms brought heavy rainfall to the far northwest corner of Sierra County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
An upper high was centered over Texas with a south-southwest flow aloft bringing abundant moisture to Western New Mexico. Training storms brought heavy rainfall to the far northwest corner of Sierra County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 26, 3:15 AM MST, 10 hours 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 415 AM MDT TUE JUL 26 2011 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT EXTENDING FROM NEW MEXICO TO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WILL PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEK. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. HIGHER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN WEST OF DEMING WHERE THE BEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST TODAY AND TOMORROW. THE REST OF THE BORDERLAND WILL SEE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD A BIT FURTHER BACK OVER NEW MEXICO. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MOSTLY ISOLATED FOR THIS PERIOD. && .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WILL SLOWLY RECENTER BACK OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST U.S...WITH RIDGING BACK TO NEW MEXICO. WV IMAGERY SHOWS MOISTURE PLUME SLOWLY BECOMING DIFFUSE THOUGH STILL MOSTLY OVER ARIZONA AND FAR WEST NEW MEXICO. THIS SHOULD KEEP SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE OVER THE GILA...BOOTHEEL AND PERHAPS LUNA COUNTY. AREAS TO THE EAST SHOULD BE LESS ACTIVE BOTH DAYS...JUST ISOLATED...AS EASTERLY DISTURBANCES COULD STILL KICK OFF THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. AREAS WEST OF DEMING COULD STILL SEE SOME LOCAL FLOODING BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY AS MODEL PW'S REMAIN AROUND 1.25 INCHES. THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...HIGH CENTER GRADUALLY RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY SATURDAY. THE INCREASING HEIGHTS AND SLIGHT WARMING ALOFT SHOULD REDUCE THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY EAST OF DEMING. GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW INVERTED TROUGH MOVING OVER AREA SATURDAY WITH SOME ADDITIONAL DRYING AND SUBSIDENCE. GFS ALSO SHOWING SHORT WAVE WITH SURGE OF MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE EASTERN CWA SUNDAY. THIS COULD BRING AN UPTICK IN CONVECTION BUT WILL NOT HIT TOO HARD AT THIS TIME. && .AVIATION...VALID 26/12Z-27/12Z. GENLY VFR. EAST OF DEMING AND SOUTH OF ALAMOGORDO...120 BKN/SCT LAYERS 300 WITH ISOLD -SHRA/-TSRA BKN100. CONDS DISSIPATING AFTER 14Z. DVLPG OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AFT 17Z...SCT 5SM TSRA BKN080CB TOPS 500. SAME CONDS...BUT ISOLD...WILL SPREAD TO REMAINDER OF AREA AFT 23Z. ASSOCD WITH THESE STORMS...WIND GUSTS TO 45 KTS AND SMALL HAIL. && .FIRE DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM NEW MEXICO EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WILL CONTINUE A EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. DEEPER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN WEST OF DEMING BUT THE EAST FLOW WILL PUSH SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES OVER THE AREA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...MOST FREQUENT WEST OF DEMING. MIN AFTERNOON RH'S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS WILL REMAIN 25-30% FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK...WHILE MIN RH'S FOR MOUNTAIN ZONES WILL REMAIN 35-45%. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 97 74 98 75 99 / 20 20 20 20 10 SIERRA BLANCA TX 95 70 96 71 97 / 20 20 20 20 10 LAS CRUCES 97 72 98 73 99 / 20 20 20 20 10 ALAMOGORDO 96 70 97 71 98 / 20 20 20 20 10 CLOUDCROFT 73 50 73 50 73 / 30 20 30 20 30 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 94 70 95 69 96 / 20 20 30 30 10 SILVER CITY 82 60 83 59 86 / 40 30 40 30 20 DEMING 95 71 96 70 98 / 20 20 20 20 10 LORDSBURG 95 70 96 69 97 / 40 40 30 20 10 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 17 HEFNER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 1107 AM MDT TUE JUL 26 2011 NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-271715- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION- TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH- 1107 AM MDT TUE JUL 26 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE WITH SCATTERED STORMS WEST OF THE RIVER. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT A FEW STORMS OUT WEST WILL CREATE HEAVY RAINFALL AND EXCESSIVE RUNOFF THAT WILL LEAD TO SOME MINOR FLASH FLOODING. BIGGEST AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE AROUND THE SILVER CITY AREA. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE STORMS COULD BE IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY OUR CHANCES FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. THE CHANCES OF FLOODING RAIN IS MINIMAL...BUT NOT ZERO. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 165 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:51 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Poverty Creek was overflowing its banks and water was crossing Highway 59 in Poverty Creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 331571.