Montana, 2011

Flooding in Montana, March 17 to 19, 2011

March 17 to 19, 2011 · NWS GGW · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

The Redwater River swelled due to above normal snowmelt and ice jams.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

The Redwater River swelled due to above normal snowmelt and ice jams.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 17, 8:59 AM MST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 8:59 AM MST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
959 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

MORNING UPDATE...
A FRONT IS DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE CWA WITH
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER TO THE NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLEAR
SKIES TO THE SOUTH. A SLIGHT SLIGHT CHANGE WAS MADE FOR A WIND
SHIFT LINE WITH THIS FRONT WHERE NORTHWEST WINDS EXIST TO THE
NORTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS EXIST TO THE SOUTH. POP GRIDS NEEDED TO
BE ADJUSTED UPWARDS AS WELL AS THE SLIGHT CONVERGENCE. ALONG THE
LINE IS LEADING TO ENOUGH LIFT TO GENERATE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND
FLURRIES THIS MORNING FROM MALTA TO GLASGOW. GAH

PREVIOUS SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 500 MB HEIGHT FIELD SHOWS A BROAD WEAK
TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN CONUS... AND A SHORTER SCALE UPPER TROUGH MOVING OFF
THE EAST COAST. ALSO... A SMALL UPPER LOW IS QUICKLY SPINNING EAST
AND AWAY ACROSS SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN. AS THIS SMALLER UPPER LOW
MOVES EAST... IT IS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT AND SOME LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES EARLY THIS MORNING.

FORECAST CHALLENGES FOCUS MAINLY ON TEMPERATURES... ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES. ATTENTION WILL ALSO NEED TO BE
CONSTANTLY FOCUSED ON FLOODING CONCERNS FROM SEASONAL SNOW MELT
ACROSS NORTHEAST MONTANA. REFER TO THE HYDROLOGY DISCUSSION BELOW.

THE TRAILING COLD FRONT BEING DRAGGED THROUGH OUR NORTHERN ZONES
WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR SOME LIGHT LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS
TODAY. AT THIS TIME... I DO NOT EXPECT MUCH MORE THAN A FEW TENTHS
OF AN INCH OF SNOW FALL PER SIX HOURS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS MAY
TRY TO SNEAK IN OVER OUR FAR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES TODAY AS WELL.

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TAKES OVER
ACROSS MONTANA... BRINGING DRY TRANQUIL AND COMPARATIVELY WARM
WEATHER TO THE REGION.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON... MONTANA WILL BEGIN TO FEEL THE EFFECTS OF A
VERY LARGE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST... WHICH WILL BE POISED TO EJECT MULTIPLE SHORT WAVE
DISTURBANCES ACROSS NORTHEAST MONTANA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
INCREASED CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA LATER ON SATURDAY. BMICKELSON

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS WITH AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE
REGION WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FOR THE REGION ON SUNDAY.

ON MONDAY SHORT LIVED RIDGE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION AS AN PACIFIC
UPPER LOW ENTERS THE GREAT BASIN.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT NORTHEAST MONTANA WILL BE
IMPACTED FROM THE PACIFIC SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE REGION.
DEPENDING ON THE PLACEMENT OF FEATURES WILL DETERMINE THE
PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNT FOR THE REGION. FOR NOW WILL PLAY IT
CONSERVATIVE AND NOT TRY TO PICK ALL SNOW OR A MIX AT THIS TIME.
WILL GO WITH THE TREND UPWARDS ON POPS FOR THIS EVENT WITH BOTH
THE GFS AND ECMWF ONBOARD WITH THE IDEA OF A WET AND COOLER
TUESDAY FOR THE AREA.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE TREND WILL BE TOWARD WARMER AND DRIER
FOR THE REGION AS RIDGING IS FORECASTED FOR THE AREA.   PROTON

&&

.AVIATION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WILL BRING
MVFR CEILINGS AND OCCASIONAL DROPS IN VISIBILITY IN LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS. THE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD CLEAR THE REGION THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
RAE

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ICE JAMS AND SNOW MELT ARE CAUSING FLOODING PROBLEMS IN MANY AREAS
IN NORTHEAST MONTANA AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DO SO FOR THE
NEXT WEEK.

OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 40S
IN THE AFTERNOONS AND BELOW FREEZING AT NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO SOME
CHANCE FOR NEW PRECIPITATION. CONSEQUENTLY...CONTINUED FLOODING
PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS THE SUBSTANTIAL LOAD
OF SURFACE ICE GRADUALLY MELTS AND ICE BREAKS-UP ON AREA RIVERS
AND STREAMS.

CURRENTLY...A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YELLOWSTONE RIVER
FROM NEAR SAVAGE TO NEAR TERRY DUE TO 3 KNOWN ICE JAMS. ONE ICE
JAM IS AFFECTING THE AREA FROM 5 MILES WEST OF TERRY TO PAST FALLON.
THIS ICE JAM IS THREATENING NEARBY RAILROAD TRACKS. A SECOND ICE
JAM IS AFFECTING AREAS NORTH OF THE I 94 BRIDGE IN GLENDIVE...AND
IS CAUSING LOW LAND FLOODING. A THIRD ICE JAM IS AFFECTING THE
AREA FROM SAVAGE TO NEAR THE DAWSON COUNTY LINE.

SMALL STREAMS THAT FEED BEAVER CREEK IN WIBAUX COUNTY ARE RUNNING
OUT OF THEIR BANKS AND HAVE FLOODED HIGHWAY SEVEN 12-13 MILES SOUTH OF
WIBAUX NEAR THE PINE UNIT TURNOFF. HIGHWAY 7 IS CLOSED AS A RESULT.

A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG THE
YELLOWSTONE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES THROUGH FRIDAY DUE TO THE
EXPECTATION OF FURTHER ICE JAM FLOODING. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS
THE FACT THAT ICE JAMS CAN BREAK UP AND REFORM DOWN STREAM. ALSO
OF CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING SHOULD AN ICE JAM
SUDDENLY COLLAPSE.

ALONG THE MUSSELSHELL RIVER...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH
FRIDAY FOR AREAS IN PETROLEUM AND GARFIELD COUNTIES DUE TO SWOLLEN
CREEKS FROM SNOW MELT RUN OFF AND ICE JAMS. THE MUSSELSHELL RIVER
IS CURRENTLY RIGHT AT FLOOD STAGE AT MOSBY...HOWEVER AN ICE JAM
EXISTS 5 MILES NORTH OF THE 200 BRIDGE. EARLIER ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN
REPORTED AS CLEARED AT MOSBY AND FLATWILLOW. IT IS EXPECTED THAT
ICE JAMS WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK-UP AND REFORM AT DOWN STREAM
LOCATIONS WITH THE AREA FROM NORTH OF THE 200 BRIDGE TO THE MOUTH
OF THE MUSSELSHELL MOST AT RISK. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING HAS BEEN
REPORTED ON THE 79 TRAIL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MUSSELSHELL RIVER
WITH A SUBDIVISION SURROUNDED BY WATER AND WATER OVER THE 79 TRAIL
ROAD.

IN GARFIELD COUNTY...A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT.  STEVE FORKS
CREEK AND THE MIDDLE FORK OF LODGEPOLE CREEK HAVE BEEN REPORTED
OUT OF THEIR BANKS DUE TO HIGH RUN OFF. THIS HAS FORCED ROAD
CLOSURES IN NORTHWEST GARFIELD COUNTY. THIS FLOODING IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE UNTIL AT LEAST SATURDAY AS SNOW CONTINUES TO MELT.

IN PHILLIPS COUNTY...A FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES UNTIL MONDAY.
MINOR FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ON PEOPLES CREEK WITH OTHER
STREAMS AND CREEKS RISING. THE MILK RIVER HAS ALSO BEEN RISING IN
THIS AREA WITH THE GAUGE AT DODSON BEING JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
BY LESS THAN 0.5 FEET. THIS FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND
BECOME MORE SIGNIFICANT AS SNOW CONTINUES TO MELT.

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR RICHLAND...DAWSON...
WIBAUX.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 9:47 AM MST, 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1047 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

MTZ016-021-022-024>027-060-180515-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS-PETROLEUM-GARFIELD-RICHLAND-DAWSON-
PRAIRIE-WIBAUX-SOUTHWEST PHILLIPS-
1047 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE
AREA. ICE JAMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT SEVERAL PLACES ALONG THE
YELLOWSTONE RIVER NORTH OF TERRY AND ALONG THE MUSSELSHELL RIVER NORTH
OF HIGHWAY 200. IN ADDITION...STREAMS IN NORTHWEST GARFIELD
COUNTY AND WESTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY HAVE BEEN REPORTED OUT OF THEIR
BANKS. PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING FROM BOTH ICE JAMS AND FROM
STREAM AND RIVER RISES DUE TO SNOW MELT RUNOFF. THE ICE JAMS HAVE
BEEN BREAKING UP AND REFORMING AT DOWNSTREAM LOCATIONS AND MAY
CONTINUE TO DO SO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 50
FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. CONSEQUENTLY...THE LARGE AMOUNT OF
SURFACE ICE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MELT AND RAISE CREEKS AND
RIVERS. CONTINUED PROBLEMS FROM ICE JAM FORMATION ARE ALSO
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MTZ017>020-023-059-061-062-180515-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY-DANIELS-SHERIDAN-WESTERN ROOSEVELT-
MCCONE-NORTHERN PHILLIPS-NORTHERN VALLEY-EASTERN ROOSEVELT-
1047 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO AT LEAST NEXT WEEK
WITH AN INCREASE IN FLOODING PROBLEMS.

HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S
FOR THE NEXT WEEK. THIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MELT THE LARGE
AMOUNT OF SURFACE ICE. TRIBUTARIES OF MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE
EXPECTED TO FLOOD FIRST FOLLOWED BY MAIN STEM FLOODING. SOME
FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THE TIMING AND EXTENT
OF FLOODING IS STILL UNCERTAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, McCone

When
March 17, 10:45 AM MST to March 19, 4:42 PM MST
Where
McCone County, 2.28 mi W of Circle to 2.64 mi SSE of Cow Creek Dot
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
47.417, -105.649

Small creeks and streams as well as the Redwater River were out of their banks.

Flood, Dawson

When
March 17, 10:45 AM MST to March 19, 4:42 PM MST
Where
Dawson County, 14.01 mi WSW of Richey to 14.68 mi NW of Richey
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
47.590, -105.358

Small creeks and streams as well as the Redwater River were out of their banks.

Flood, Richland

When
March 17, 10:45 AM MST to March 19, 4:42 PM MST
Where
Richland County, 24.11 mi W of Enid to 19.64 mi WNW of Enid
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
47.706, -105.299

Small creeks and streams as well as the Redwater River were out of their banks.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 288683, 288686, 288688.