Montana, 2011

Flood in Montana, March 14 to 21, 2011

March 14 to 21, 2011 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Warm temperatures and melting snow caused several road closures in the area.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Warm temperatures and melting snow caused several road closures in the area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 14, 2:00 PM MST, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 2:00 PM MST, 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
300 PM MDT MON MAR 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...CURRENT PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND EXPECT
MAINLY MOUNTAIN SHOWERS TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER A WEAK
DISTURBANCE ALOFT COULD KEEP SOME SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT LATE TONIGHT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST
TUESDAY AHEAD OF A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES ALOFT THAT WILL
AFFECT THE AREA MAINLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WILL ALSO GET
SOME ADDED LIFT FROM A NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ORIENTED COLD FRONT
THAT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHWEST MONTANA INTO WEDNESDAY. MODELS
INDICATE QUITE A BIT OF MOISTURE OVER SOUTHWEST MONTANA AND THE
MOUNTAINS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT LATE TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY SO WILL CONTINUE WITH THE HIGH CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION.
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AM NOT SEEING ENOUGH SNOWFALL IN
THE MOUNTAINS TO JUSTIFY A HIGHLIGHT. LOWER VALLEYS MIGHT BE WARM
ENOUGH TO PREVENT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. DOWNSLOPE
WILL SOMEWHAT LIMIT CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE PLAINS. A
FEW LOCATIONS ARE STILL REPORTING HIGH WINDS AS OF MID- AFTERNOON
SO WILL CONTINUE WITH THE HIGH WIND WARNING.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A GRADUAL AMPLIFICATION OF THE
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS EXPECTED LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED ALONG THE WEST COAST.
SOMEWHAT MOIST SW FLOW ALOFT WITH WEAK EMBEDDED ENERGY WILL BRING
MAINLY MTN SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
RIDGING DEVELOPING BY FRIDAY OVER THE REGION IN RESPONSE TO THE
TROUGH AMPLIFICATION UPSTREAM ALONG THE WEST COAST. MEDIUM RANGE
MODELS APPEAR TO BE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE
DETAILS THIS WEEKEND...INDICATING A PORTION OF THE TROUGH CLOSING
OFF AND DROPPING SOUTH ALONG THE COAST WHILE ANOTHER LOBE OF ENERGY
EJECTS OUT AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND MT DURING THE LATE
SATURDAY/SUNDAY TIME PERIOD BEFORE THE ENTIRE TROUGH BROADENS AND
SHIFTS INLAND SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. A TRANSITION TO A COOLER AND
WETTER REGIME IS FAIRLY CERTAIN WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA LOOKING TO BE LATE SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...HOWEVER TIMING DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST AMONG THE
MODELS. TEMPERATURES BEGIN AT SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS AND
GRADUALLY COOL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. COLD AIR DOES APPEAR SOMEWHAT
LIMITED AT THIS TIME... HOWEVER SNOW LEVELS LOOK TO LOWER TO NEAR
THE VALLEY FLOORS AND PLAINS BY SATURDAY NIGHT. HOENISCH

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1800Z TAFS.

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD ALONG
WITH AREAS OF STRONG WINDS TODAY. EXPECT HIGH WINDS AT KCTB
TODAY...CAN NOT RULE OUT GUSTS OVER 50 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
KHVR...KGTF...AND KLWT WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY STRONG WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS COULD CREATE BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS AT KHLN THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER 01Z WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO
DECREASE IN SPEED AND SKIES CLEAR. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL SPREAD INTO
THE REGION TOMORROW MORNING.
LANGLIEB

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT
SNOWMELT ACROSS THE AREA. AREAS OF RURAL FLOODING HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA. MODERATE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH HIGHS AND LOWS GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  29  54  35  46 /  10  10  30  30
CTB  28  47  33  41 /  10  10  30  20
HLN  29  56  36  48 /  20  20  70  50
BZN  28  53  33  47 /  20  10  70  60
WEY  19  38  27  35 /  60  60 100 100
DLN  28  51  35  45 /  20  30  80  50
HVR  24  40  28  41 /  10  10  30  20
LWT  31  51  36  46 /  10  10  30  40

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT EASTERN GLACIER...
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT...SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT...
TOOLE.

SMALL STREAM FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SELECTED AREAS OF CASCADE AND
PONDERA AND TETON AND CHOUTEAU COUNTIES CONTINUE IN EFFECT.

&&

SHORT TERM...BLANK
LONG TERM...COULSTON
AVIATION...COULSTON

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 1:54 PM MST, 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
254 PM MDT MON MAR 14 2011

MTZ009-010-012-013-044-046-048-049-151400-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN GLACIER-CASCADE-CHOUTEAU-
TOOLE-EASTERN PONDERA-SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN TETON-
254 PM MDT MON MAR 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MONTANA
AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN
FRONT...AS WELL AS TOOLE AND EASTERN GLACIER COUNTIES...THROUGH
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
PONDERA...TETON...CASCADE...AND CHOUTEAU COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY
THIS WEEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
REPORTS AND IMPACTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN GREAT FALLS.

MTZ008-011-014-015-045-047-050>055-151400-
BEAVERHEAD-HILL-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-MADISON-
LIBERTY-BLAINE-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-
GALLATIN-
254 PM MDT MON MAR 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 14, 11:33 AM MST, 2 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1233 PM MDT MON MAR 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE MCALLISTER        45.50N 111.70W
03/14/2011  M52 MPH          MADISON            MT   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            52 MPH WAS THE PEAK WIND GUST AT NORRIS HILL MT DOT
            SITE OVERNIGHT.

1041 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK           48.61N 112.38W
03/14/2011  M60 MPH          GLACIER            MT   ASOS

            60 MPH WIND GUST RECORDED AT CUT BANK ASOS AT 1041 AM
            MDT. ANOTHER HIGH WIND GUST OF 61 MPH OCCURRED AT 1127
            AM MDT.

1156 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  3 SW CUT BANK           48.61N 112.38W
03/14/2011  M42 MPH          GLACIER            MT   ASOS

            SUSTAINED WINDS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 42 MPH WERE RECORDED
            AT CUT BANK ASOS BETWEEN 1056 AM MDT AND 1156 AM MDT.

&&

COULSTON

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Chouteau

When
March 14, 2:04 PM MST to March 21, 1:36 PM MST
Where
Chouteau County, 23.97 mi NNE of Woods Arpt to 12.67 mi SSW of Genou
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
48.385, -110.973

Several area roads were closed due to flooding on the Missouri, Marias and Teton rivers across the county.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 370031.