Montana, 2011

Winter Storm in Montana, December 20 to 21, 2011

December 20 to 21, 2011 · NWS TFX · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

A Pacific storm brought heavy snow to portions of Southwest Montana. Snow amounts in excess of 8 inches were reported.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A Pacific storm brought heavy snow to portions of Southwest Montana. Snow amounts in excess of 8 inches were reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 20, 4:37 PM MST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 4:37 PM MST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
437 PM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ALONG THE
ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND ADJACENT PLAINS TODAY SO HAVE CANCELLED THE
HIGH WIND WARNING. MODELS REMAIN IN DISAGREEMENT REGARDING THE
PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. GFS
REMAINS TO BE THE WETTEST MODEL WHILE THE NAM IS THE DRIEST AND THE
ECMWF IS SOMEWHERE IN-BETWEEN. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING INTO
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES OVERNIGHT WITH PACIFIC MOISTURE
INCREASING...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST MONTANA. MODELS HINT AT
BEST LIFT AND MOISTURE OVER SOUTHWEST MONTANA WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL
JET ALSO SUPPORTING MAX LIFT. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE JET AND MID-LEVEL
DYNAMICS ALONG WITH OROGRAPHICS AND INCREASING MOISTURE HAVE
UPGRADED THE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR GALLATIN COUNTY TO A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET. ALSO INCLUDED MADISON
COUNTY ABOVE 6000 FEET MAINLY TO HIGHLIGHT THE MADISON RANGE AND
TOBACCO ROOTS. SNOW AMOUNTS IN THESE AREAS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. KEPT INHERITED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE REMAINDER
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA...THOUGH SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE MUCH
LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE PLAINS WHERE 1
TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE BUT EVEN THAT MAY BE GENEROUS. ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST MONTANA VALLEYS...SNOW AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN CENTRAL MONTANA WILL BE
ALONG AND BEHIND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. OTHER CONCERN IS FOR THE LITTLE/BIG BELT
MOUNTAINS WHERE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE INCONSISTENT IN THIS AREA. NAM
AND GFS HAVE A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON
WEDNESDAY SO THERE MAY BE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY MORNING
WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOWFALL BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. HAVE KEPT A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THIS AREA GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY. SNOW WILL TAPER WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE AND PARTS OF CENTRAL MONTANA AND THEN END BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING IN THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES FARTHER EAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S
ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN RISE TO AROUND FREEZING ON THURSDAY. MLV

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...EXPECT A RATHER BREEZY AND MILD
PERIOD OF WEATHER OVER THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
OVERALL...EITHER A BRISK WESTERLY FLOW OR SLIGHTLY UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL BE OVER THE REGION FROM FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION AND LIMIT THE
CHANCES FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. FOR NOW...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAIN AREAS FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ANY SNOWFALL BEING ON THE LIGHT
SIDE...GENERAL LESS THAN AN INCH PER DAY. IT WILL BE QUITE WINDY ON
FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT. HIGH WIND
HIGHLIGHTS COULD BE ISSUED LATER IN THE WEEK FOR THIS EVENT. IN
TERMS OF TEMPERATURES...MILD AIR WILL GENERALLY RESIDE OVER NORTH
CENTRAL MONTANA...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RUNNING ABOUT 4 TO 8 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. IN SOUTHWEST MONTANA...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS A BIT
COOLER IN THE VALLEYS...EXPECT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES A BIT CLOSER
TO NORMAL. AGAIN...NO MAJOR STORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CHRISTMAS
WEEKEND AT THIS TIME...BUT WITH SOME WIND...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
COULD CAUSE A FEW MINOR PROBLEMS FROM TIME TO TIME. BRUSDA

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 0000Z.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
TONIGHT WITH A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST AND
BECOMING INCREASINGLY MOIST AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE THROUGH THIS
EVENING. EXPECT LOWERING CLOUD BASES AND INCREASING MTN OBSCURATION
THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING AND INCREASING IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER TONIGHT. THE MOST WIDESPREAD AND
PERSISTENT SUB-VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SW MT WITH
A SECONDARY WAVE OF MOISTURE BRINGING MORE WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS
TO NORTH CENTRAL MT ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTY WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL
VEER TO NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND REMAIN OUT OF THE NW THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. HOENSICH

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  22  28  15  32 /  80  60  20   0
CTB  18  27  11  31 /  40  40  10   0
HLN  23  27   8  28 /  80  70  20   0
BZN  24  25  -1  25 /  80  80  20   0
WEY  12  20 -13  15 /  80  90  30  10
DLN  22  27   6  28 /  70  70  20   0
HVR  21  29   9  34 /  40  30  10   0
LWT  19  25   8  29 /  70  70  20   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MST
WEDNESDAY BEAVERHEAD...BROADWATER...CASCADE...CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK...EASTERN TETON...FERGUS...JEFFERSON...
JUDITH BASIN...MEAGHER...SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 6000 FEET FOR GALLATIN...MADISON.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR GALLATIN...MADISON.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 20, 6:30 AM MST, 13 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
630 AM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

MTZ009>010-048-211200-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN GLACIER-
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-
630 AM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS
EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT FOR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND THE CUT
BANK AREA AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MTZ011-013-044>047-211200-
HILL-CHOUTEAU-TOOLE-LIBERTY-EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-
630 AM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MTZ008-012-014-015-049>054-211200-
BEAVERHEAD-CASCADE-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-MADISON-
EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-
630 AM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM MST WEDNESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MONTANA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MTZ055-211200-
GALLATIN-
630 AM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GALLATIN COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 20, 2:09 PM MST, 5 hours 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
209 PM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK   48.45N 113.19W
12/19/2011  M58 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            58 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT DOT SENSOR NEAR TWO
            MEDICINE BRIDGE.

&&

NJL

Event by event

3 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Madison

When
December 20, 8:00 PM MST to December 21, 6:57 PM MST
Where
Madison forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet

Nine inches of snow fell at Cameron 15SSW (the Clover Meadow SNOTEL site - elevation 8800 feet). Also, nine inches of snow fell at Big Sky 5W.

Winter Storm, Gallatin

When
December 20, 8:00 PM MST to December 21, 6:57 PM MST
Where
Gallatin forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet

Eight inches of snow fell at Gallatin Gateway 18SE (the Shower Falls SNOTEL site - elevation 8100 feet). Also, eight inches of snow fell at West Yellowstone 11S (the Black Bear SNOTEL site - elevation 7949 feet) and 12 inches of snow fell at Gallatin Gateway 13ESE (the Lick Creek SNOTEL site - elevation 6860 feet).

Winter Storm, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
December 20, 8:00 PM MST to December 21, 6:57 PM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Nine inches of snow fell at Marysville 1WNW (the Great Divide Ski Area).

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, December 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 355293, 355295, 355296.