Heavy rainfall caused flooding of low lying areas along the Tug Fork River in northeastern Martin county. Floodwaters covered the Fluty Lick Dip section of KY 292, which is near the mouth of Buffalo Horn Creek, forcing the temporary closure of the roadway.
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The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Heavy rainfall caused flooding of low lying areas along the Tug Fork River in northeastern Martin county. Floodwaters covered the Fluty Lick Dip section of KY 292, which is near the mouth of Buffalo Horn Creek, forcing the temporary closure of the roadway.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 7, 12:35 PM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1235 PM EST WED DEC 7 2011 .SHORT TERM.../THE REST OF TODAY/...UPDATED THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WAS GENERALLY ON TRACK. ONLY SOME SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR RECENT OBS AND TRENDS. THIS ALSO INCLUDED TO ADD A BIT MORE SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN IN THE GRIDS AND ZFP IN THE MIDDAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON PERIOD BASED ON RECENT OBS AT JKL AND LOZ AND OTHER SPOTTER OR PUBLIC REPORTS OF MIXING FROM TIME TO TIME IN OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE SOUTHEAST CWA. SO FAR THIS MORNING... THE FIRST MEASURABLE SNOW OF THE SEASON HAS FALLEN AT JKL...A TENTH OF AN INCH SO FAR. TEMPS WILL COOL OFF RATHER QUICKLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS AND LOCATIONS 2000 FEET AND ABOVE SHOULD FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW BY MID AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES IN AND BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT DOES SO. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PRECIP REDEVELOPING FURTHER NORTHWEST FROM THE CURRENT BAND OF THE SOUTHEAST CWA. THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ALSO ON TRACK SO MAINLY JUST FRESHENED UP WORDING FOR THE WSW PRODUCT. AS HAS BEEN STRESSED PREVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE A RATHER SHORT LIVED EVENT...WITH PRECIP ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST BY EVENING. OTHER THAN THE WINTRY PRECIP...BLACK ICE FORMATION OVERNIGHT TONIGHT REMAINS A CONCERN AS TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 20S. THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/ RAIN OVERSPREAD THE AREA DURING THE NIGHT. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT...AND WEATHER EVOLUTION DURING THE NIGHT SUPPORTS THE THEM. WITH THAT SAID...IT COULD STILL BE A TRICKY FORECAST DUE TO SUBTLE TEMPERATURE CHANGES POTENTIALLY HAVING A BIG IMPACT. THE WIDESPREAD PRECIP OVER THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING IS OCCURRING IN THE FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN ANTICYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL JET COINCIDING WITH OVERRUNNING ON THE COLD SIDE OF A STALLED SURFACE FRONT. IT WILL LIKELY SHOW A DECLINING TREND FROM NW TO SE TODAY FOR A TIME...AS DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET SUPPORT MOVES EASTWARD. LOW-MID LEVELS WARMER THAN -10C SHOULD REMAIN SATURATED...SO SPOTTIER LIGHTER PRECIP SHOULD CONTINUE. DURING THE DAY...A MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND A SPEED MAX ROTATING AROUND IT WILL PLACE US IN ITS LEFT EXIT REGION. THIS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL LIFT AND DEEPER MOISTURE...WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN PRECIP INTENSITY EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO BE COOLING DURING THIS TIME AND SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL. TIMING OF TEMPS FALLING BELOW 32 COINCIDING WITH PRECIP WILL BE KEY FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. 00Z MODEL DATA STILL SUGGESTS THAT THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ABOVE 2000 FEET...WITH 2-4 INCHES. HOWEVER...THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS DOWN TO ABOUT 1500 FEET...AND WILL INCLUDE A MENTION OF THIS IN THE ZFP. A SLOWER OR FASTER COOLING BELOW 32 WOULD OBVIOUSLY ALTER THE SNOW FORECAST. THE PRECIP SHOULD QUICKLY PULL OUT TO THE EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING... FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM RACES AWAY AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. .LONG TERM.../THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/ GENERALLY DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL DOMINATE ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WITH AMPLIFIED FLOW TRANSITIONING TO MORE ZONAL ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ON THURSDAY...A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SETTLED IN ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WHILE A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL DROPPING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR AND PERHAPS A FEW FLURRIES TO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE ONCE AGAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK ACROSS THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS...UNTIL A PASSING SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES IN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS IS SLOWER AND MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THIS WAVE COMPARED TO THE ECMWF...HOWEVER BOTH HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE. FOR NOW...HAVE LEFT IN SLIGHT CHANCES FOR TUESDAY TO MAINTAIN CONTINUITY FROM THE INHERITED FORECAST. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RULE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH SATURDAY LOOKING TO BE THE COLDEST DAY. HIGHS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 30S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S. READINGS WILL GRADUALLY MODIFY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S EXPECTED BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. && .AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/...UPDATED PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS MOST AREAS...EVEN AREAS EXPERIENCING LIGHT RAIN OR A LIGHT RAIN...SNOW AND DRIZZLE MIX ACROSS THE NW TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA. COLDER AIR IS ALSO STARTING TO ARRIVE...FIRST AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SATURATED LOW LEVELS ARE BRINGING IFR OR LIFR CIGS AND VIS TO LIFR OR LOW IN PRECIP AND FOG...ESPECIALLY WHERE SNOW IS FALLING. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN IFR WITH PRECIP REDEVELOPING THROUGH WHEN PRECIP ENDS. THE PRECIP WILL END FROM NW TO SE FROM 21Z TO 02Z. CLEARING SKIES AND A RETURN TO VFR WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE ENDING OF PRECIP GENERALLY BETWEEN 22Z TO 2Z FROM THE WEST AND NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTHEAST. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR KYZ087- 088-118-120. && SHORT TERM...HAL/JP LONG TERM....GEOGERIAN AVIATION...JP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 749 AM EST WED DEC 7 2011 KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106-108-111-081200- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE- LEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...SANDY HOOK... WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE 749 AM EST WED DEC 7 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS TODAY...WITH PRECIPITATION THEN ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTES ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>086-107-109-110-112>117-119-081200- ESTILL-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX- JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE- MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET... LONDON...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON... HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ 749 AM EST WED DEC 7 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1500 FEET...WHERE A SLUSHY INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT. KYZ087-088-118-120-081200- BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 749 AM EST WED DEC 7 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL BE MOST PREVALENT ABOVE 1500 FEET...WITH ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES EXPECTED ABOVE 2000 FEET. PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAL
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 winter weather, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
An estimated 1.5 inches of snow was reported to have fallen at a mining operation at an elevation near 2000 feet 4 miles east of Kimper.
Heavy rainfall caused flooding of low lying areas along the Tug Fork River in northeastern Martin county. Floodwaters covered the Fluty Lick Dip section of KY 292, which is near the mouth of Buffalo Horn Creek, forcing the temporary closure of the roadway.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, December 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 355585, 355571.