High Surf, Niihau
- When
- January 19, 10:00 PM HST to January 26, 2:00 PM HST
- Where
- Niihau forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 22.011, -159.705 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A swell from a deep low far northwest of the Aloha State caused surf of 15 to 30 feet along the north- and west-facing shores of Niihau and Kauai, and along the north-facing shores of Oahu, Molokai, and Maui; and 8 to 15 feet along the west-facing shores of Oahu, Molokai, Maui, Lanai, and the Big Island of Hawaii. The surf was again high enough to close beaches on the west side of the Big…
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.
A swell from a deep low far northwest of the Aloha State caused surf of 15 to 30 feet along the north- and west-facing shores of Niihau and Kauai, and along the north-facing shores of Oahu, Molokai, and Maui; and 8 to 15 feet along the west-facing shores of Oahu, Molokai, Maui, Lanai, and the Big Island of Hawaii. The surf was again high enough to close beaches on the west side of the Big island, this time on the 20th. No significant property damage or injuries were reported across the state, however.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 19, 8:40 PM HST, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 840 PM HST WED JAN 19 2011 .SYNOPSIS... TRADE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN INTO FRIDAY...AND WILL BRING A BRIEF SURGE IN WINDWARD SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. LIGHTER TRADE WINDS WILL THEN PREVAIL OVER THE WEEKEND...AND INTO NEXT WEEK...WITH ONLY BRIEF WINDWARD SHOWERS EXPECTED. A LARGE NORTHWEST SWELL WILL BUILD OVERNIGHT...PEAK AT WARNING LEVELS THURSDAY...AND REMAIN VERY HIGH INTO THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION... CURRENTLY...A LOW ALOFT IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SW OF THE BIG ISLAND...AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE SSW AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS...AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IS ALSO EXITING THE ISLAND AREA...AND TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE GRADUALLY WARMING. RADAR SHOWS A DIMINISHING SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION ECHOES OVER WATERS SE OF THE BIG ISLAND OVER THE PAST 5 HOURS...DUE TO THE WANING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW. A N-S ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH ABOUT 150 MILES E OF THE BIG ISLAND...ALONG 153W FROM 16N TO 24N...IS MOVING SLOWLY W...WITH A RATHER SHARP GRADIENT IN MOISTURE FROM W TO E ACROSS THE TROUGH AXIS. THE ISLANDS LIE ON THE DRY SIDE OF THIS AXIS...AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL OVER ALL ISLANDS EXCEPT THE BIG ISLAND...WHERE SOME LAYERED CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW ARE LINGERING. WITH THE ISLANDS ON THE W SIDE OF THE LOW-LEVEL TROUGH... AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED JUST N OF THE ISLANDS...A WEAK NE FLOW PREVAILS AT MANY SURFACE OBSERVING STATIONS THIS EVENING. WINDS OVER THE SUMMITS OF THE BIG ISLAND MAY REACH ADVISORY LEVELS OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW ALOFT SLIDES S OF THE ISLANDS...BUT THUS FAR THESE WINDS HAVE NOT MATERIALIZED. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR THE SURFACE TROUGH E OF THE ISLANDS TO TRACK W AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH TRADE WINDS SURGING A BIT AS THE TROUGH PASSES. THIS TRADE SURGE LOOKS AS IF IT WILL BRING A SURGE IN WINDWARD-FOCUSED TRADE SHOWERS...WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE ISLANDS INCREASING BRIEFLY AS IT PASSES. SO THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT CALLS FOR LIMITED...BUT GRADUALLY INCREASING...MOISTURE TO SPREAD OVER THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM THE E...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY DRY STATEWIDE. AS THE TROUGH MOVES W...WINDWARD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE BIG ISLAND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH THESE SHOWERS SPREADING W TO THE SMALLER ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEARING KAUAI BY FRIDAY MORNING. WITH BUILDING HEIGHTS ALOFT...THESE SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE INTENSE...NOR LONG-LIVED. AFTER THE BRIEF SURGE IN TRADE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH...TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO EASE SLIGHTLY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND FAVOR AN ESE DIRECTION...DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A SURFACE RIDGE N OF KAUAI...WHICH WILL BE SHUNTED S DUE TO A FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NW. UNLIKE RECENT FRONTS...THIS ONE IS EXPECTED TO STALL AND DISSIPATE NW OF KAUAI ON SUNDAY...WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE REMAINING IN CLOSE PROXIMITY N OF KAUAI. THIS WILL MAINTAIN LIGHT TRADES WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...WITH LIMITED WINDWARD SHOWERS. SO...GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WINDWARD-BIASED...WITH TRADE WINDS SURGING AS A SHOWER-PRODUCING TROUGH PASSES. A MOSTLY DRY E TO ESE FLOW WILL THEN PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .AVIATION... SIGMET PAPA REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HIGH LEVEL MOD TO OCNL SEV TURB DUE TO THE UPPER LOW SINKING S OF THE BIG ISLAND. AN AIRMET IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR MOD TURB OVER THE ENTIRE STATE...FOR THE LAYER BETWEEN 100 AND FL400. FOR THE TERMINALS...PRIMARILY VFR WILL PREVAIL FROM MAUI TO KAUAI OVERNIGHT. PHTO MAY GO TO PRIMARILY MVFR AND BRIEF IFR CONDS LATE TONIGHT AS A SFC TROF BRINGS IN SHOWERS FROM THE EAST. && .MARINE... A PLOT OF SWELL HEIGHTS AT BUOY 51101 NW OF KAUAI SHOWS A RISING WNW SWELL...WITH THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT /SWH/ REACHING 20 FEET WITH A PERIOD OF 19 SECONDS AT 5 PM. ALTHOUGH SUBSEQUENT OBS HAVE NOT BEEN QUITE AS HIGH...THE EXPECTATION IS THAT SWH WILL HOVER NEAR 20 FEET AT THE BUOY OVERNIGHT...AND ONLY GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON THURSDAY. BECAUSE THE SWELL SOURCE IS A HUGE AND NEARLY STATIONARY LOW OVER THE NW PACIFIC...THE SURF WILL REMAIN ELEVATED FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THE SURF DISCUSSION /SRDHFO/ CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INSIGHT INTO THE SWELL...AND PROVIDES SOME HISTORICAL CONTEXT. COMBINED SEAS WILL RISE WITH THE ADDITION OF THE LARGE SWELL TO THE COASTAL WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT BECAUSE OF THE RISING SEAS. && .HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH SURF WARNING FOR NORTH AND WEST FACING SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU AND MOLOKAI...NORTH FACING SHORES OF MAUI...AND WEST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL WATERS EXCEPT MAALAEA BAY. && BIRCHARD
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
14 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Hawaii in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, January 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 274305, 274307, 274309, 274310, 274311, 274312, 274313, 274314, 274316, 274317, 274318, 274319, 274320, 274321.