A line of thunderstorms produced winds in excess of 60 mph that caused damage in the Florida panhandle.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.
A line of thunderstorms produced winds in excess of 60 mph that caused damage in the Florida panhandle.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 18, 5:45 PM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE TO AVIATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 545 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 .AVIATION...(00Z ISSUANCE)PASSING UPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING GENERAL MVFR CIGS TO THE AREA...WITH DIPS TO IFR LEVELS WITH PASSING SHRA/TSRA. GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING IF LEVEL CIGS...THOUGH KEEPING VISBYS MVFR OR ABOVE AFTER 06Z. WITH ABUNDANT RAIN OVER THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE LAND AREAS OF THE FA...HAVE A FEELING IFR LEVEL CIGS OR BELOW WILL BE PRESENT AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH THE HIGHER VISBYS CLOSER TO THE COAST. GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING SKIES CLEARING THE LATTER 6HRS OF THE FORECAST AS THE ARE COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE BACKSIDE OF THE PASSING UPPER SYSTEM. && .SHORT TERM [TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY]...MAP ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT MAKING STEADY SOUTHEASTWARD PROGRESS OVER THE LOWER MS RIVER DELTA. AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL ZONE...UPPER AIR DATA INDICATES A JET STREAK OF ~120 KTS POSITIONED FROM NORTHERN LA INTO CENTRAL GA. THE FORECAST AREA WILL COME UNDER ENHANCED DEEP LAYER LIFT AS THE FAVORED RIGHT REAR QUADRANT SWINGS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING WITH SURFACE FOCUS ENHANCED AS WELL WITH THE FRONT. THE LATEST SHORT RANGE WEATHER MODELS...INCLUDING THE SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLES HAVE COME INTO VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MORE ORGANIZED RAIN EVENT WILL BE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THIS LOOKS GOOD AS RADAR DATA JUST UPSTREAM SHOWS RAINFALL ACTIVITY FILLING IN. LATEST QPF SUGGESTS A QUARTER TO UPWARDS OF AROUND A HALF INCH OR SO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. BUT THERE ARE POCKETS OF HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE ONE HOUR RADAR ESTIMATES IN SE MS...SO WILL LIKELY MAKE SOME LAST MINUTE ADJUSTMENTS TO QPF BEFORE TRANSMITTING PM PACKAGE. A QUICK EASTWARD PROGRESSION TO THE RAIN IS FORECAST LATE AND EXPECT MOST OF THE WET WEATHER TO SHIFT EAST OUT OF THE AREA AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT MOVING THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL BE OUT OVER THE GULF ON WED. NO RAIN FORECAST ON WED AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS IN AND UPPER LEVEL WNW FLOW SETS UP AS THE UPPER TROF LIFTS OUT. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER/MID 40S AND HIGHS ON WED RANGING FROM THE MID/UPPER 50S. /10 .LONG TERM [WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY]... MID/UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST WIND FLOW BECOMING ZONAL (WEST-EAST) WED AFTN/EVE...AND THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH MID WEEK DUE TO LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE BETWEEN TROUGHS. THE SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL BRING A RAPID INCREASE IN GULF MOISTURE ON THURSDAY...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REBOUNDING TO AROUND ONE INCH. ALONG WITH THE INCREASING CLOUDS...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE TO A LIKELY EXPECTATION OF LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE LATEST MODEL OUTPUT OF RAINFALL WITH THE LATE WEEK SYSTEM TURNS OUT TO NOT BE AS BULLISH AND HAVE BACKED OFF ON AMOUNTS. STRONG COLD FRONT PROGGED TO PASS THROUGH EARLY FRI AM WITH THE BASE OF A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH PASSING OFF TO OUR EAST DURING THE DAY FRI. FOLLOWING WILL BE CLEARING SKIES AND ANOTHER DRY PERIOD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. INCREASING CLOUD AND RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A LOW FORMS OVER THE WRN GULF AND TRACKS EAST. 10/22 && .MARINE...A COLD FRONT JUST WEST OF THE MARINE AREA AT MID-AFTERNOON WILL EASE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE WEST AND THIS EVENING OVER THE EAST. WINDS WILL GO FORM SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST BY MORNING BUT SPEED SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES. DO EXPECT SOME SHOWERS THIS EVENING AND MAY BE A FEW GUSTY WINDS WITH THE STRONGER SHOWERS ALONG WITH BRIEFLY POOR VISIBILITY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS EAST TO THE NORTH OF THE MARINE AREA...TURNING THE WINDS TO EAST THEN SOUTHEAST AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES NORTHWEST OF THE MARINE AREA THURSDAY. SHOWERS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE 20 MILES OR MORE OFFSHORE.THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE MARINE AREA THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS BY FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR THE WEEKEND WILL BRING DIMINISHING WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LIGHT EASTERLY BY SUNDAY. /11 && .FIRE WEATHER...SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS EVENING. SHOWER ACTIVITY PROGRESSES QUICKLY EASTWARD AND LOOKS TO END BY AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. NEXT FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE PLAINS ON THURSDAY...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND CHANCES OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE NEAR TERM. LOWEST HUMIDITY THE NEXT TWO DAYS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. DAYTIME DISPERSION LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY FAIR. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY WITH GRIDDED VALUES RANGING FROM THE LOWER/MID 20% RANGES THEN...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH. /10 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MOBILE 47 57 40 62 / 60 05 10 30 PENSACOLA 48 57 42 62 / 60 05 10 30 DESTIN 50 58 44 61 / 60 05 10 20 EVERGREEN 43 56 33 62 / 60 05 10 20 WAYNESBORO 41 54 32 57 / 50 05 05 20 CAMDEN 42 54 32 62 / 50 05 10 20 CRESTVIEW 45 58 34 64 / 70 05 10 20 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. FL...NONE. MS...NONE. GM...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 600 AM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-191200- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 600 AM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA... .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF DENSE FOG MOSTLY OVER NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ALABAMA COUNTIES TO THE NORTH AND WEST WILL SLOWLY LIFT THROUGH 9 AM THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT LATE IN THE WEEK. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES LATER IN THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OR STORM SPOTTERS IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 500 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 MSZ075-076-182345- PERRY MS-GREENE MS- 500 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL PERRY AND CENTRAL GREENE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THROUGH 545 PM CST... AT 457 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RICHTON...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF NEW AUGUSTA...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BEAUMONT AROUND 510 PM CST... MCLAIN AROUND 515 PM CST... LEAKESVILLE AROUND 535 PM CST... THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED. &&
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
558 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0541 PM HAIL LEAKESVILLE 31.15N 88.56W
01/18/2011 E0.75 INCH GREENE MS EMERGENCY MNGR
GREENE COUNTY EMA REPORTED DIZE SIZE HAIL COVERING THE
GROUND IN LEAKESVILLE.
&&
KCSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 608 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 ALZ061-MSZ079-190045- UPPER MOBILE AL-GEORGE MS- 608 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN GEORGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHERN MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 645 PM CST... AT 607 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUCEDALE...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF VANCLEAVE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... OAK GROVE AROUND 630 PM CST... SARALAND...I65 AND AL 158 AROUND 635 PM CST... I65 AND US 43...SATSUMA AROUND 640 PM CST... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 13 AND 21. THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. &&
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 715 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 ALZ063-064-190145- LOWER BALDWIN AL-LOWER MOBILE AL- 715 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN BALDWIN AND SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 745 PM CST... AT 712 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM THEODORE TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND BAY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... POINT CLEAR AROUND 735 PM CST... DAUPHIN ISLAND AROUND 740 PM CST... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 7 AND 16. THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. &&
The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:13 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Winds estimated at 60 mph downed trees and tipped over a construction trailer.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, January 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 280584.