Heavy rainfall and melting snow pack caused the Cache River to rise above flood stage in early February.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rainfall and melting snow pack caused the Cache River to rise above flood stage in early February.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 6, 5:23 AM CST, 37 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 523 AM CST SUN FEB 6 2011 .UPDATE... UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW... && .AVIATION... LIGHT RAIN AND PATCHY SLEET MOVING INTO WRN SECTIONS OF THE STATE THIS MORNING...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST AND NE INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NRN AR THIS MORNING. THIS IS IN ADVANCE OF A SFC LOW PRESSURE OVER TX THAT WILL MOVE EAST INTO SRN AR OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING. EXPECT SCATTERED RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS AS TEMPS WARM ABOVE FREEZING. PRECIP WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE STATE. PRECIP WILL INITIALLY BE RAIN...THEN TRANSITION TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CIGS AND VIS THIS MORNING ARE VFR THIS MORNING...AND WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY. HOWEVER...EXPECT DETERIORATING CONDITIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT AS MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP IS EXPECTED. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CST SUN FEB 6 2011/ SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ANALYSIS EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS SEVERAL SURFACE AND UPPER FEATURES COMING INTO PLAY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ALONG AND NORTH OF A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW PRESSURE. BEHIND THAT SYSTEM IS THE MAIN FRONTAL BOUNDARY... WHICH WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS...EXTENDING INTO THE PLAINS OF WEST TEXAS WHERE A SURFACE LOW WAS STRENGTHENING. INITIAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY ON THIS MORNING. WITH A SHALLOW LAYER OF SUBFREEZING AIR...THERE WILL INITIALLY BE A CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR RAIN BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING BY MID MORNING. THE MAIN FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY...AS UPPER TROUGHING OUT IN THE PANHANDLES REGION OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA GIVES IT A PUSH. THE SURFACE LOW WILL ENHANCE UPLIFT INTO THE REGION...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WHAT PRECIPITATION TYPE THAT FALLS DEPENDS ON HOW QUICKLY THE COLD ADVECTION TAKES PLACE BEHIND THE FRONT. CURRENT THINKING BASED ON THE LATEST DATA IS THAT THE FRONT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS BY EARLY THIS EVENING. AS THE COLD AIR COMES IN BEHIND THE FRONT...PRECIP WILL START TO MAKE THE TRANSITION TO A RAIN/SLEET MIX ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND FAR WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON... BECOMING ALL SNOW BY EARLY EVENING. OVER THE CENTRAL PORTIONS... THE TRANSITION WILL BE MORE IN THE EARLY TO MID EVENING HOURS... BECOMING ALL SNOW AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. OVER THE SOUTHEAST...PRECIP SHOULD START MIXING AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH A BRIEF CHANGEOVER IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS. AS FAR AS ANY ACCUMULATIONS GO...IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL MOST LIKELY BE AN AXIS OF GENERAL ONE TO TWO INCH AMOUNTS FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST SOUTH OF A LINE FRONT WALDRON TO ASH FLAT. ACCUMULATIONS ALL DEPEND ON HOW QUICKLY THE COLD AIR ADVECTS IN BEHIND THE FRONT...AND RIGHT NOW THIS IS IN QUESTION. FOR NOW... WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING AN ADVISORY UNTIL THE PICTURE BECOMES A LITTLE CLEARER. ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY MONDAY. BEHIND THE SYSTEM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY PASS THROUGH THE REGION. ANOTHER...MORE SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING THE REGION BY TUESDAY...AS AN UPPER TROUGH PUSHING OUT OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES SENDS AN ARCTIC BOUNDARY TOWARD THE REGION. WITH ONE UPPER SYSTEM MOVING AWAY...AND ONE MOVING TOWARD THE REGION... THE UPPER FLOW WILL FLATTEN OUT A BIT...SLOWING THE SURFACE SYSTEM DOWN. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL ENHANCE UPLIFT OVER THE REGION...WITH PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING BY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH LITTLE TIME TO MODIFY BETWEEN SYSTEMS...THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN COLD...AND MOST IF NOT ALL PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS SNOW. CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM...THE MODELS HAVE BEEN VARYING TO A CERTAIN DEGREE WITH RESPECT TO DETAILS /I.E. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND HOW QUICKLY THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT/...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOWFALL /I.E. AS LONG AS 24 HOURS/. THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE FOCUSED OVER WESTERN INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS. FOR NOW...WILL CONTINUE TO EMPHASIZE THE SYSTEM IN THE HWO...BUT WILL NOT GET TOO SPECIFIC ON AMOUNTS...AS THE EVENT IS STILL AT LEAST THREE DAYS AWAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MUCH BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH THE PERIOD. LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WED NIGHT AS THE SFC LOW MOVES EAST...AND UPPER TROUGH TRAVERSES THE STATE. DRIER...AND MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. WITH SNOW PACK LIKELY ACROSS AT LEAST A GOOD PORTION OF THE STATE...REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE OF LATEST MED RANGE MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI MORNING. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXTENT OF THE COLD AIR...WHERE THE GFS KEEPS GOING BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN COLD AND A SLIGHTLY WARMER SOLUTION. THE ECMWF DOES HAVE A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE DIVES SE ACROSS THE STATE BY FRI MORNING...KEEPING MUCH COLDER AIRMASS ACROSS THE STATE. HOWEVER...BEYOND FRI MORNING...THE IS REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE SFC HIGH SLIDING SOUTH AND SE...AND SRLY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. TEMPS FOR THU AND FRI WILL SEE LOWS DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS WITH THE SNOW PACK...WITH HIGHS REMAINING BELOW FREEZING FOR THU. HOWEVER...WITH THE RETURN OF SRLY FLOW FRI AFTERNOON...HIGHS COULD WARM ABOVE FREEZING...WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S...POSSIBLY NEAR 40. THEN...SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SAT...WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S...EVEN SOME 50S POSSIBLE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 40 28 36 19 / 40 70 50 10 CAMDEN AR 53 33 42 23 / 30 70 50 10 HARRISON AR 39 23 32 16 / 40 50 20 10 HOT SPRINGS AR 46 32 39 23 / 40 70 40 10 LITTLE ROCK AR 46 32 41 24 / 40 70 40 10 MONTICELLO AR 52 36 41 24 / 20 70 60 10 MOUNT IDA AR 44 31 39 16 / 40 70 30 10 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 40 25 34 17 / 40 50 30 10 NEWPORT AR 40 29 37 21 / 40 70 50 10 PINE BLUFF AR 48 34 39 24 / 30 70 50 10 RUSSELLVILLE AR 43 31 38 20 / 40 70 30 10 SEARCY AR 42 29 34 20 / 40 70 50 10 STUTTGART AR 44 32 38 24 / 30 70 50 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && AVIATION...62
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 432 AM CST SUN FEB 6 2011 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-071100- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 432 AM CST SUN FEB 6 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE STATE THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE OVER TEXAS BEGINS MOVING EAST TOWARDS THE STATE. THE LIGHT RAIN COULD MIX WITH LIGHT SLEET AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE COULD FORM ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREES...POWER LINES...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. BE PREPARED FOR POTENTIAL PATCHY SLICK SPOTS ON AREA ROADS THIS MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING AS THE LOW PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO THE STATE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST INTO THE STATE AS THE LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE STATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL RUSH INTO THE STATE BEHIND THIS FRONT...WITH RAIN...CHANGING OVER TO SNOW THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS...AND OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE. EXPECT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A LINE FROM MENA TO LITTLE ROCK TO NEWPORT BY MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...IF THE COLDER AIR IS SLOWER TO ARRIVE...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE LESS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM THE WEST MONDAY MORNING AS THE LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF ARKANSAS. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH...AND LIMITED TO THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE STATE. THE BREAK FROM THE WINTER WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF...AS HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING ANOTHER...MORE SIGNIFICANT ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER TO MUCH OF ARKANSAS TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL MOSTLY FALL AS SNOW...AND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION THURSDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES COULD OCCUR...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. ON THURSDAY...MUCH OF THE REGION WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 30 DEGREES DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. KEEP IN MIND THAT THE FORECAST COULD CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY BETWEEN NOW AND THE WEDNESDAY AS UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING EXACT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. PEOPLE IN ARKANSAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND BE PREPARED FOR MORE WINTER WEATHER AND COLD TEMPERATURES. STAY INFORMED BY FOLLOWING THE LATEST STATEMENTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 62
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 408 AM CST SUN FEB 6 2011 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-070000- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTHEIMER...AMITY...ARKADELPHIA... ARKANSAS CITY...ASH FLAT...AUGUSTA...AVILLA...BATESVILLE... BAUXITE...BEARDEN...BEE BRANCH...BEEBE...BENTON...BISMARCK... BONNERDALE...BOONEVILLE...BRINKLEY...BRYANT...BULL SHOALS... CABOT...CALICO ROCK...CAMDEN...CAVE CITY...CENTER RIDGE... CHIDESTER...CLARENDON...CLARKSVILLE...CLINTON...CONWAY... COTTON PLANT...DANVILLE...DARDANELLE...DE VALLS BLUFF...DE WITT... DEER...DES ARC...DONALDSON...DRASCO...DUMAS...EL PASO...ENGLAND... FAIRFIELD BAY...FLIPPIN...FORDYCE...FOURCHE JUNCTION... GASSVILLE...GEORGETOWN...GILLETT...GLENWOOD...GOULD...GRADY... GRAVELLY...GREENBRIER...GREERS FERRY...GURDON...HAMPTON...HARDY... HARRISON...HASKELL...HAZEN...HEBER SPRINGS...HECTOR...HERMITAGE... HORSESHOE BEND...HOT SPRINGS...HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE...HOUSTON... HUMNOKE...HUMPHREY...JACKSONVILLE...JASPER...JESSIEVILLE... KINGSLAND...LACEY...LEAD HILL...LEOLA...LESLIE...LITTLE ROCK... LONOKE...MALVERN...MAMMOTH SPRING...MARSHALL...MAUMELLE... MAYFLOWER...MCCRORY...MCGEHEE...MELBOURNE...MENA...MONTICELLO... MORO BAY...MORRILTON...MOUNT IDA...MOUNT MAGAZINE... MOUNTAIN HOME...MOUNTAIN VIEW...MURFREESBORO...NEWPORT... NORFORK...NORMAN...NORTH LITTLE ROCK...OIL TROUGH...OKOLONA... OLA...OMAHA...OXFORD...OZONE...PARIS...PARON...PELSOR... PERRYVILLE...PINE BLUFF...PINE RIDGE...PLEASANT PLAINS...POYEN... PRATTSVILLE...REDFIELD...RISON...ROHWER...ROSE BUD... RUSSELLVILLE...SALEM...SEARCY...SHERIDAN...SHERWOOD...STAR CITY... STEPHENS...STUTTGART...SUMMIT...SWIFTON...THORNTON...TUCKERMAN... VILONIA...VIOLA...WALDRON...WARREN...WESTERN GROVE...WICKES... WRIGHTSVILLE...Y CITY...YELLVILLE 408 AM CST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...TWO MORE WINTER STORM SYSTEMS TO AFFECT THE NATURAL STATE THIS WEEK... PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE STATE...AND LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. WITH A SHALLOW LAYER OF FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS...PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BEGIN THIS MORNING AS A MIX OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SLEET...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN AS TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING LATER THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING. COLD AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET IN THE NORTHWEST BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. EARLY THIS EVENING...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE ALL SNOW IN THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF THE STATE. OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS...IT WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION DURING THE EVENING HOURS...BECOMING ALL SNOW AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. OVER THE SOUTHEAST...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A WINTRY MIX LATE IN THE NIGHT...AND ALL SNOW DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS. IN AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WALDRON...TO BATESVILLE...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS COULD RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES. OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...ACCUMULATIONS OF A LIGHT DUSTING TO AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. THERE IS STILL A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THIS SYSTEM. SPECIFICALLY...IF THE COLD AIR LAGS THE FRONT...THIS COULD DELAY THE TRANSITION TO WINTRY PRECIPITATION. IF THIS WERE TO OCCUR...EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WOULD BE LESS. ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY MORNING WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY. A MUCH MORE POWERFUL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY. THOUGH IT IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY AND UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON DETAILS...THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY ACCUMULATING SNOWS. PLEASE STAY TUNED AS THE EVENT APPROACHES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. 57
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Cache River rose slightly above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 278148.