Alaska, 2011

Coastal Flood in Alaska, November 8 to 10, 2011

November 8 to 10, 2011 · NWS AFG · 6 events in 5 counties and zones

A 960 mb low over the southern Aleutians at 0300AKST on the 8th intensified to 945 mb near the Gulf of Anadyr by 2100AKST on the 8th. The low crossed the Chukotsk Peninsula as a 956 mb low at 0900AKST on the 9th, and moved into the southern Chukchi Sea as a 958 mb low by 2100AKST on the 9th.

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
$24 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

A 960 mb low over the southern Aleutians at 0300AKST on the 8th intensified to 945 mb near the Gulf of Anadyr by 2100AKST on the 8th. The low crossed the Chukotsk Peninsula as a 956 mb low at 0900AKST on the 9th, and moved into the southern Chukchi Sea as a 958 mb low by 2100AKST on the 9th. The low then tracked to the northwest and weakened to 975 mb about 150 miles north of Wrangel Island by 1500AKST on the 10th. The storm was one of the strongest storms to impact the west coast of Alaska since November 1974.

Zone 207: Minor coastal flooding was observed at Shishmaref from approximately 1200AKST on the 9th through 0300AKST on the 10th. Approximately 20 to 30 feet of the shoreline was washed away. Water surrounded a house, but did not inundate the structure. Water was reported to have spilled over the bank and flooded areas along the west end of the village near the airport, but there were no reports of any structures that were flooded.

At Kivalina, Water flooded the lowest lying areas of the village, with flooding reported at the village dump site between the ocean and the lagoon. No homes or structures were flooded. The Red Dog Dock tide gauge crested at 5.46 ft above the normal mean low water level at 0042AKST on the 10th. The Red Dog Dock gauge is located approximately 17 miles down the coast from Kivalina.

Zone 211: Coastal flooding was observed at Nome and Golovin, and likely occurred in many uninhabited areas along the southern Seward Peninsula Coast. The coastal flooding at Nome began around 2300AKST on the 8th and continued through 01000AKST on the 10th. The water reached its highest peak at 1624AKST on the 9th, and the Nome Tide gage observed a maximum height of 8.73 feet above the normal mean low water level. The water levels at Nome peaked about 2 feet lower than during a major Bering Sea storm in November 1974. Low lying areas in Nome such as River Street, F Street and Belmont Point flooded. Dry Creek was wet and looked like a lake all the way to Chicken Hill. Waves crashed over the Nome seawall armor rock on East Front Street and deposited rocks, driftwood and other debris on the road. Water running into wet wells at the Sewer and water treatment plant overwhelmed the pumps, causing 165,000 gallons of raw wastewater flow into the emergency discharge to the small boat harbor. Some businesses on Front Street had water in their basements, but flooding in the main business district was minor. The Cape Nome Jetty sustained $500,000 worth of damage and another $80,000 is attributed to damages due to wave action and erosion, according to the City of Nome. Portions of the Nome-Council road suffered significant damage, especially beyond mile 25 where large portions of the road were either washed out or covered in a significant amount of debris. It is estimated that the damages to the road alone were approximately 24 million dollars. The storm caused schools in Nome to close early on the 8th and they were shut on the 9th. Many in Nome compared the storm to the storms of November 1974 and October 2004.

At Golovin, the coastal flooding began approximately 0300AKST on the 9th and continued until 1400AKST on the 10th. It is estimated that the water levels peaked at 7.4 feet above the normal mean low water levels at 1900AKST on the 9th. In Golovin, many of the downtown areas were flooded and the phone company facility was submerged. Water flooded many home in the downtown area. Ice driven by the storm surge moved into a campsite 6 miles northeast of Golovin on the lagoon side of the village and destroyed 4 cabins and damaged fish racks.

Zone 212: At Saint Michael, coastal flooding began at approximately 0800AKST on the 9th and continued until the early morning hours of the 10th. It was estimated that the maximum surge was 6 to 8 feet above the normal mean low water levels. Water several feet deep was observed flowing over one of the main village roads on the southwest side of the village. After the water receded there were about 20 large chunks of ice that required heavy equipment to remove from the road. There was a fishing camp about 2 to 3 miles from the village that was completely destroyed by the flood waters and large chunks of ice. Fish racks along the beach were completely destroyed.

At Koyuk, Front street was under water at 1310AKST on the 9th. The water contained a significant amount of ice chunks. The water began to recede by around 1800AKST. All of the fish racks were destroyed along the beach on the east side of the village, and some of the racks were destroyed along the beach on the west side of the village.

At Elim, there were reports of water flowing through the village, but there were no reports received of any damages. The tundra to the north of Elim was reported to all be under water during the afternoon on the 9th.

At Stebbins, local law enforcement reported during the afternoon on the 9th that there was coastal flooding with a lot of water around the village, but no reports that any structures were flooded.

Zone 213: Minor coastal flooding was observed at Gambell and it was estimated that the water levels rise about 8 to 10 feet above the normal mean low water levels with waves that were estimated to be about 20 feet. The water rose to the end of the airstrip with some water over the runway during the afternoon of the 9th.

At Wales, minor coastal flooding was observed during the afternoon and evening of the 9th by the school and old naval station. The water entered the creek and flooded the lagoon on the back side of the village. The water levels likely peaked during the late evening hours of the 9th.

At Brevig Mission, minor coastal flooding was observed during the afternoon of the 9th with water flooding along the lagoon side of the village. The storm ripped out a submerged cable between Brevig Mission and Teller. The cable is one of two cables that supplies power from Brevig Mission to Teller.

At Diomede, the waves were estimated to be 30 feet high and coastal flooding was observed. The water treatment plant was flooded, and waves shoved logs into the side of the water treatment plant damaging the entry door. Empty fuel tanks were pushed by the water into power poles. Cabins were damaged on the south side of the village. Two shipping container vans which are the size of mobile homes were swept out to sea. The container vans were filled with building materials and were relocated to the helicopter pad which is one of the higher spots in the village. A temporary construction road along the beach was filled with boulders and driftwood was piled up along the beach. The worst of the flooding was observed from the evening of the 9th into the early morning hours of the 10th.

At Teller, minor coastal flooding was observed as water moved over the top of the seawall. The most significant flooding was out at the spit where several hundred yards were washed over and the beach side road was flooded. Water filled the low areas around the school and clinic. The worst conditions were observed during the evening hours of the 9th into the early morning hours of the 10th. A 26 year old male is presumed drowned from the storm when he drove his four-wheeler into large waves bashing the spit north of the village.

Zone 214: Water levels rose an estimated 5 feet above the normal mean low water levels at KotliK on the morning of the 9th and crested at approximately 1130AKST. The water levels then fell rapidly after 1330AKST and within a couple of hours were back to normal. The storm caused water levels to rise significantly in the lower Yukon river with high water levels at Scammon Bay and Alakanuk. Water levels also rose significantly at Nunam Iqua and at 1515AKST the water level crested at the top of the river bank. There were reports of over flow covering the roadway to the airport that cut off the village from the airport.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 8, 6:50 AM AKST, 4 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 6:50 AM AKST, 4 hours 40 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
650 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THE INBOUND NORTH PACIFIC STORM THAT PASSED BY JUST WEST OF ATTU
ISLAND AT 3 AM THIS MORNING IS CLOSELY FOLLOWING THE COURSE WHICH
HAS BEEN FORECAST FOR IT. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PAST BERING
STRAIT TONIGHT AND INTO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA ON WEDNESDAY.

DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS THE WINDS HAVE PICKED UP TO GALE
STRENGTH AT WALES AND TIN CITY. TELLER IS FOLLOWING SUIT
PRESENTLY. AS OF 6 AM...GAMBELL AND SAVOONGA DO NOT YET HAVE GALE
FORCE WINDS. THE REASON FOR THIS ATYPICAL PATTERN IS THE APPROACH
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM SIBERIA TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA.
THIS HAS...FOR A FEW HOURS...FOCUSSED THE STRONG WINDS NEAR BERING
STRAIT. THE WINDS OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL CATCH UP BY
NOON.

THE INFLUX OF COLD AIR OUT OF SIBERIA APPEARS TO BE AMPLIFYING THE
STRENGTH OF THE BERING SEA STORM. HOWEVER...THE STRENGTH OF THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS WELL WITHIN THE COMPUTER WEATHER FORECAST MODEL
PREDICTIONS. THE MODELS HAVE PROVIDED EXCELLENT FORECASTS FOR THE
PAST 4 DAYS.

THE MEDIUM RANGE COMPUTER WEATHER FORECAST MODELS PREDICT COLDER
AIR AND LOW PRESSURE ALOFT TO BE REESTABLISHED OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA THIS WEEKEND...AND FOR VIGOROUS WESTERLIES ALOFT OVER THE
ALEUTIANS...THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND THE GULF OF ALASKA. A LARGE
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BE ESTABLISHED OVER SIBERIA
AND NORTHERN ALASKA NEXT TUESDAY...AND TO HOLD FOR THE REST OF
THE WEEK. COLDER AND LARGELY CLEAR WEATHER...AND GENERALLY LIGHT
WINDS SHOULD COME WITH THIS.

THE GREAT BERING SEA STORM OF TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE
FOLLOWED BY QUIETER WEATHER. THE GFS MODEL FORECASTS A 980
MILLIBAR LOW TO MOVE PAST THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO THE GULF OF
ANADYR...WELL TO THE WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND...ON THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. IT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND. THE
MAIN EFFECT OF THIS SYSTEM ON NORTHERN ALASKA WILL BE SOME DRY AND
BRISK EAST WINDS ABOVE THE ARCTIC CIRCLE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

THIS MORNINGS POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LINGERING
SNOW SHOWERS AND CLOUDS OVER THE EAST INTERIOR. THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL INTERIOR HAVE CLEARED. LOW CLOUDS BLANKET THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ARCTIC. THE WEST ARCTIC SLOPE AND WESTERN BROOKS RANGE ARE
STILL CLEAR FOR NOW...BUT NOT TO BE MUCH LONGER.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR AKZ207-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ201.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ213.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ230.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235.
&&

TF NOV 11

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 8, 9:32 AM AKST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
932 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

AKZ207>214-082045-
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
SOUTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST-
EASTERN NORTON SOUND AND NULATO HILLS-
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-YUKON DELTA-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG...
NOATAK...KIANA...RED DOG MINE...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK...
BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR...NOME...
WHITE MOUNTAIN...GOLOVIN...UNALAKLEET...STEBBINS...ST MICHAEL...
ELIM...KOYUK...SHAKTOOLIK...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...
TELLER...WALES...DIOMEDE...MOUNTAIN VILLAGE...EMMONAK...
ALAKANUK...KOTLIK...PILOT STATION...ST MARYS...SCAMMON BAY...
MARSHALL...NUNAM IQUA...PITKAS POINT
932 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...ALASKA WEST COAST TO BE HIT BY ONE OF THE MOST SEVERE BERING
SEA STORMS ON RECORD...

A POWERFUL AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM OF NEAR RECORD OR
RECORD MAGNITUDE IS BEARING DOWN ON THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA.
AT 9 AM THIS MORNING THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED ABOUT 600
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. THE STORM IS FORECAST
TO MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE CENTER
MOVING ACROSS THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA TONIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY
THE STORM WILL TAKE A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA.

THE STORM WILL BRING EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS TO ALL OF THE
ALASKA WEST COAST BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON OVER ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND AND BEGINNING THIS EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEST COAST...ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH EROSION OVER MANY PARTS OF THE
COASTLINE. THE WIND WILL PUSH LARGE AMOUNTS OF WATER INTO NORTON
SOUND...RAISING SEA LEVELS TO 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN NORTON
SOUND AND ALONG THE BERING STRAIT COAST. THE EXTREMELY STRONG
WINDS WILL PRODUCE HIGH WAVES WHICH WILL PUSH THE HIGH WATER
FARTHER INLAND.

OVER THE BERING STRAIT COAST AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 75 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
GUSTS OF 90 TO 100 MPH. ALONG THE CHUKCHI COAST...WIND
SPEEDS OF 65 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 90 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. IN THE NOME AREA...SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS
60 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. ALMOST ALL OTHER
AREAS OF THE WEST COAST WILL EXPERIENCE MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS
OF AT LEAST 50 TO 60 MPH.

WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

1. THE BERING SEA COAST FROM CAPE ROMANZOF TO POINT
   ROMANOF...ESPECIALLY THE WEST FACING SHORES.
2. ALL AREAS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SHORE OF NORTON
   SOUND WESTWARD TO AND INCLUDING THE BERING STRAIT COAST
   AND LITTLE DIOMEDE ISLAND.
3. SOUTH AND WEST FACING COASTLINE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
4. THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST FROM CAPE KRUSENSTERN TO POINT HOPE.

THIS INCLUDES THE VILLAGES OF NOME AND KIVALINA WHERE
MAJOR DAMAGE FROM COASTAL FLOODING AND STRONG WINDS
IS EXPECTED. THE VILLAGE OF SAVOONGA ON THE NORTH SHORE
OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL BE PROTECTED FROM COASTAL
FLOODING BUT WILL EXPERIENCE EXTREMELY STRONG AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

ADDITIONALLY...HIGH SEA LEVELS IN NORTON SOUND WILL CAUSE
COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORE.

THE STORM WILL PRODUCE BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
OVER MOST AREAS OF THE WESTERN ALASKA MAINLAND...WITH VISIBILITY
REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. PEOPLE ARE URGED
TO SEEK SHELTER NOW AND POSTPONE TRAVEL INTO THE BACK COUNTRY
UNTIL THE STORM ABATES.

ALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD SEEK SAFETY IN PORT IMMEDIATELY
IF THEY HAVE NOT ALREADY DONE SO. IN AREAS WHERE BEACH
EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...SMALL BOATS
AND PERSONAL PROPERTY SHOULD BE MOVED WELL AWAY FROM THE
SHORE AND TO HIGHER GROUND.

AGAIN...THIS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING
STORM OF AN EPIC MAGNITUDE RARELY EXPERIENCED. ALL PEOPLE
IN THE AREA SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SAFEGUARD THEIR LIVES
AND PROPERTY.

RF

Event by event

6 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Coastal Flood, St Lawrence Is. Bering Strait

When
November 8, 11:30 AM AKST to November 10, 11:00 AM AKST
Where
St Lawrence Is. Bering Strait forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Public

Coastal Flood, Srn Seward Peninsula Coast

When
November 8, 11:00 PM AKST to November 10, 2:00 PM AKST
Where
Srn Seward Peninsula Coast forecast zone
Property damage
$24 million
Reported by
NWS Employee

Coastal Flood, Ern Norton Sound Nulato Hills

When
November 9, 8:00 AM AKST to November 10, 5:00 PM AKST
Where
Ern Norton Sound Nulato Hills forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement

Coastal Flood, Yukon Delta

When
November 9, 11:30 AM AKST to 3:30 PM AKST
Where
Yukon Delta forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager

Coastal Flood, Chukchi Sea Coast

When
November 9, 12:00 PM AKST to November 10, 1:00 PM AKST
Where
Chukchi Sea Coast forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Coastal Flood, Chukchi Sea Coast

When
November 9, 12:00 PM AKST to November 10, 1:00 PM AKST
Where
Chukchi Sea Coast forecast zone
Reported by
Public

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Coastal Flood, St Lawrence Is. Bering Strait2011-11-0926MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Coastal Flood
Flooding of coastal land by the sea, from storm surge, onshore wind or high tides.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, November 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 350802, 350599, 350803, 350577, 350839, 350840.